Morton vs Stenhousemuir Prediction

Morton
4-3
Finished
HT 2-2
Stenhousemuir
Cappielow Park, Greenock·R. Hardie 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-2.3%
Morton Rest
3 days
Stenhousemuir Rest
3 days

Morton vs Stenhousemuir: result, form and history

Morton beat Stenhousemuir 4-3 in the Championship on 7 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Morton had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Stenhousemuir.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and not once did both teams score.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.58
X
28%3.20
2
40%2.52
Double Chance
1X
60%1.44
X2
67%1.42
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'D. Borso
9'M. Garrity
11'I. Wilson
17'D. BorsoAssist: C. Sandilands
27'C. Okike
28'D. Carrick
29'H. Cochrane INC. Cupps out
33'E. O'Reilly
41'D. Borso
46'F. Robson
51'D. Borso
58'C. Penman INR. Meechan out
72'M. Garrity INZ. Robinson out
75'S. Young
76'D. BorsoAssist: C. Sandilands
77'G. Stevenson INL. Hodgkiss out
84'D. Carrick INH. Kargbo out
87'G. Gillespie
89'C. Sandilands INJ. Gorman out
89'D. Borso INS. Bashir out

Team Comparison

MortonMorton
StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
1328Elo Rating 1516
1.55Attack 1.22
1.82Defense 1.21
59%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

MortonMorton
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

MortonMorton1Wins · 33%
Draws00%
StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2Wins · 67%
3.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Championship08/08/2026
StenhousemuirMorton
20
FA Cup17/01/2026
StenhousemuirMorton
40
League Cup15/07/2025
MortonStenhousemuir
30

Recent Form

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
4W1D5L
03/11/2026
StenhousemuirBerwick Rangers
41
W
30/10/2026
StenhousemuirLivingston
03
L
27/10/2026
StenhousemuirDunfermline
01
L
24/10/2026
PartickStenhousemuir
30
L
17/10/2026
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
11
D
10/10/2026
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
20
L
25/09/2026
Ayr UtdStenhousemuir
01
W
19/09/2026
StenhousemuirArbroath
10
W
15/09/2026
StenhousemuirPartick
10
W
11/09/2026
StenhousemuirHeart Of Midlothian
03
L

Referee Profile

R. Hardie135 matches

4.41Cards per match
4.25Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Hardie4.41
Other referees4.03

4.41 cards a match, 0.38 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.03).

Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PartickPartick1484218:7+1128WLWDW
2Raith RoversRaith Rovers1474320:9+1125DWLDW
3DunfermlineDunfermline1467115:7+825DWWWD
4StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1472516:16023LLLLD
5LivingstonLivingston1463519:12+721DWWDL
6Inverness CTInverness CT1455418:17+120DLWWL
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1343614:18-415LWLDW
8ArbroathArbroath1442811:23-1214WLLLL
9MortonMorton1341816:23-713WWWWL
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park1421118:23-157LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1PartickPartick1418:728
2Raith RoversRaith Rovers1420:925
3DunfermlineDunfermline1415:725
4StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1416:1623
5LivingstonLivingston1419:1221
6Inverness CTInverness CT1418:1720
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1314:1815
8ArbroathArbroath1411:2314
9MortonMorton1316:2313
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park148:237
PromotionRelegation

About the Morton vs Stenhousemuir forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Morton and Stenhousemuir in the Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Stenhousemuir are 4th in the Championship, while Morton sit 9th, 10 points behind. League goal record so far: Morton 16-23, Stenhousemuir 16-16. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.