Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata Prediction

Asteras Tripolis
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Kalamata
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripolis·Anastasios Papapetrou 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.9%
Asteras Tripolis Rest
6 days
Kalamata Rest
5 days

Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata: the result in context

Asteras Tripolis and Kalamata drew 1-1 in the Super League 1 on 8 Nov 2026. Kalamata had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Asteras Tripolis.

Referee Anastasios Papapetrou averages 4.35 cards a game, 0.66 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.05
X
27%3.28
2
28%3.66
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
56%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.78
No
47%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.4 = 2.55
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
49%1.99
Over 3.5
28%3.40
Under 1.5
26%3.30
Under 2.5
51%1.78
Under 3.5
72%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.7 = 9.1
Over 8.5
55%1.80
Over 9.5
43%2.30
Over 10.5
32%3.08
Under 8.5
45%1.91
Under 9.5
57%1.54
Under 10.5
68%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 1.9 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%1.23
Over 4.5
36%1.47
Under 3.5
45%3.90
Under 4.5
64%2.57

Match Events

36'Jordan SilvaFoul
37'Antônio Josenildo Rodrigues de OliveiraFoul
45'Stefanos Stroungis INM. Bakayoko out
45+1'Federico MachedaAssist: Franco Orozco
48'Giannis BouzoukisFoul
59'J. Cataldi INMarcelino Carreazo out
59'Ahmad Mendes Moreira INJovanny Bolivar out
62'Giannis Bouzoukis INAntonis Papakanellos out
62'Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka INKalvin Ketu out
67'Jovanny BolivarAssist: Marcelino Carreazo
74'Eder González INJulián Chicco out
74'Alejandro·Mendez Garcia INChrysanthos Gezos out
80'Arnór Sigurðsson INJulián Bonetto out
80'Federico MachedaFoul
81'Giannis KotsirasFoul
83'Jovanny Bolivar
83'Federico Macheda INRicardo Viana Filho out
86'Erik Hamza INMamadou Soumahoro out
89'Franco OrozcoFoul

Lineups

Asteras Tripolis
4-4-1-1Coach: Gonçalo Feio
Kalamata
4-2-3-1Coach: Panagiotis Christofileas
Avg rating6.52
Avg rating6.61
N. Papadopoulos6.31N. Papadopoulos
G. Kotsiras6.027G. Kotsiras
J. Silva6.732J. Silva
K. Chrisopoulos7.16K. Chrisopoulos
Alex Méndez6.728A. Méndez
F. Orozco6.119F. Orozco
D. Kourbelis6.621D. Kourbelis
Eder González6.510E. González
B. Mbunga Kimpioka6.175B. Mbunga Kimpioka
I. Bouzoukis6.58I. Bouzoukis
F. Macheda7.69F. Macheda
I. Gelios6.71I. Gelios
P. Kaloutsikidis6.822P. Kaloutsikidis
S. Stroungis6.94S. Stroungis
Rodrigues6.597Rodrigues
Julio Alonso6.117J. Alonso
E. Hamza6.324E. Hamza
D. Diarra7.26D. Diarra
A. Sigurðsson6.310A. Sigurðsson
J. Cataldi5.97J. Cataldi
A. Mendes Moreira6.020A. Mendes Moreira
D. Kurminowski6.291D. Kurminowski

Asteras Tripolis Substitutes

74D. Laskaris
11K. Ketu62'for Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka6.2
20N. Kaltsas
80B. Pérez
17A. Tereziou
39Ricardinho83'for Federico Macheda6.8
66Matias Zogu
44A. Papakanellos62'for Giannis Bouzoukis6.4
22Chrysanthos Gezos74'for Alejandro·Mendez Garcia6.6
64P. Deligiannidis
14J. Chicco74'for Eder González6.3
61V. Chatziemmanouil

Kalamata Substitutes

19M. J. Bakayoko45'for Stefanos Stroungis6.8
9J. Bolívar59'for Ahmad Mendes Moreira67'83'8.1
32J. Bonetto80'for Arnór Sigurðsson6.6
21M. Carreazo59'for J. Cataldi7.1
12I. Chatzitheodoridis
26P. Ginis
29U. Ignjatović
8A. Liatsikouras
11Josete Miranda
3Álex Perez
14M. Soumahoro86'for Erik Hamza6.4
40N. Vasiljević

Match Stats

Asteras TripolisKalamata
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks3
5Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots9
1Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
17Fouls12
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves0
450Total Passes428
356Passes Accurate340
11Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis
KalamataKalamata
1482Elo Rating 1652
0.72Attack 1.81
1.03Defense 1.12
14%Hit Rate 54%
8.7Shots per Game 11.3
3.3Shots on Target 4.9
2.7Corners per Game 2.2
1.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
KalamataKalamata
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Referee Profile

Anastasios Papapetrou136 matches

4.35Cards per match
4.18Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
28.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anastasios Papapetrou4.35
Other referees5.01

4.35 cards a match, 0.66 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.01).

Cards come from 115 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos1090122:5+1727WWWWL
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus1072116:5+1123DWWWW
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC962123:6+1720WLWWW
4PAOKPAOK1061319:13+619DWLWL
5Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis1061316:17-119WLWWW
6OFIOFI1052314:12+217DWWLL
7KifisiaKifisia1042415:15014WLWLW
8KalamataKalamata1033415:19-412DDLWW
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19081024411:14-310LDLLW
10PanetolikosPanetolikos103078:20-129LLLLL
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis101459:18-97DLDLW
12AtromitosAtromitos91359:12-36DWLLL
13LevadiakosLevadiakos101364:13-96LWDDL
14Volos NFCVolos NFC100377:19-120LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos1022:527
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus1016:523
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC923:620
4PAOKPAOK1019:1319
5Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis1016:1719
6OFIOFI1014:1217
7KifisiaKifisia1015:1514
8KalamataKalamata1015:1912
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19081011:1410
10PanetolikosPanetolikos108:209
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis109:187
12AtromitosAtromitos99:126
13LevadiakosLevadiakos104:136
14Volos NFCVolos NFC107:190
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata forecast

The forecasts for this Super League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Asteras Tripolis and Kalamata in the Super League 1 table

In the Super League 1 table, Kalamata are 8th and Asteras Tripolis 11th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Asteras Tripolis 9-18, Kalamata 15-19. The full standings are on the Super League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Asteras Tripolis and Kalamata have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.