PAOK vs Kalamata Prediction

PAOK
1-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Kalamata
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki·Alexandros Katsikogiannis 12/10/2026
PAOKPAOK
1-3
Finished
KalamataKalamata

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.20
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-8.3%
PAOK Rest
21 days
Kalamata Rest
21 days

PAOK vs Kalamata: the result in context

Kalamata beat PAOK 3-1 in the Super League 1 on 12 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: PAOK had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Kalamata.

Referee Alexandros Katsikogiannis averages 4.97 cards a game, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.20
X
17%6.50
2
9%12.00
Double Chance
1X
91%1.03
X2
26%4.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.10
No
52%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.88 + 0.86 = 2.74
Over 1.5
80%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.52
Over 3.5
37%2.31
Under 1.5
20%5.00
Under 2.5
41%2.40
Under 3.5
63%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4 = 9.5
Over 8.5
61%1.81
Over 9.5
50%2.27
Over 10.5
38%3.08
Under 8.5
39%1.91
Under 9.5
50%1.52
Under 10.5
62%1.28
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 3 = 5
Over 3.5
73%1.29
Over 4.5
56%1.73
Under 3.5
27%3.35
Under 4.5
44%2.00

Match Events

28'Kenneth Vargas(Penalty)
43'Gonzalo Agustín PiñeiroFoul
44'Cherif Ndiaye
45'Dimitrios Chatsidis INAndrija Živković out
45'Giannis Michailidis INAritz Elustondo out
56'Kenneth VargasAssist: Julio Alonso
60'David KurminowskiDissent
61'Card upgrade confirmedAntonis Tsiftsis
62'Antonis Tsiftsis
63'Dimitrios Pelkas INDimitrios Monastirlis out
66'David KurminowskiAssist: Julio Alonso
73'Antônio Josenildo Rodrigues de Oliveira INM. Bakayoko out
74'Taison Barcellos Freda INSimon Banza out
74'Kristijan Jakić INOgnjen ugresic out
78'Djibril Diarra INJ. Cataldi out
84'Ahmad Mendes Moreira INArgyrios Liatsikouras out
84'Erik Hamza INArnór Sigurðsson out
84'David Kurminowski INJosete Miranda out
89'Aritz ElustondoFoul

Lineups

PAOK
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Lisci
Kalamata
4-2-3-1Coach: Panagiotis Christofileas
Avg rating6.20
Avg rating6.73
A. Tsiftsis5.299A. Tsiftsis
J. Kenny6.13J. Kenny
Diego Costa6.519D. Costa
G. Michailidis5.95G. Michailidis
A. Baba6.221A. Baba
C. Zafeiris5.920C. Zafeiris
K. Jakić6.418K. Jakić
D. Chatsidis5.652D. Chatsidis
D. Pelkas6.310D. Pelkas
Taison6.311Taison
C. Ndiaye7.827C. Ndiaye
N. Vasiljević7.440N. Vasiljević
P. Kaloutsikidis6.322P. Kaloutsikidis
S. Stroungis6.54S. Stroungis
Rodrigues6.897Rodrigues
Julio Alonso8.017J. Alonso
G. Piñeiro6.723G. Piñeiro
D. Diarra6.26D. Diarra
K. Vargas8.177K. Vargas
E. Hamza6.024E. Hamza
A. Mendes Moreira5.920A. Mendes Moreira
D. Kurminowski7.791D. Kurminowski

PAOK Substitutes

2M. Camara
24S. Banza74'for Taison Barcellos Freda6.7
6Elustondo45'for Giannis Michailidis89'6.1
13D. Giannoulis
4P. Hatzidiakos
41D. Monastirlis63'for Dimitrios Pelkas5.1
56A. Mythou
7B. Santamaría
47S. Shoretire
32G. Taylor
16O. Ugresić74'for Kristijan Jakić5.8
14A. Živković45'for Dimitrios Chatsidis7.2

Kalamata Substitutes

10A. Sigurðsson84'for Erik Hamza6.4
11Josete Miranda84'for David Kurminowski6.6
8A. Liatsikouras84'for Ahmad Mendes Moreira6.3
29U. Ignjatović
44A. Guessand
26P. Ginis
1I. Gelios
12I. Chatzitheodoridis
7J. Cataldi78'for Djibril Diarra6.2
32J. Bonetto
19M. J. Bakayoko73'for Antônio Josenildo Rodrigues de Oliveira6.4
14M. Soumahoro

Match Stats

PAOKKalamata
61%Ball Possession39%
7Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
19Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots1
8Fouls12
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
505Total Passes324
423Passes Accurate259
12Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

PAOKPAOK
KalamataKalamata
1702Elo Rating 1659
1.80Attack 2.35
1.85Defense 1.46
77%Hit Rate 64%
17.0Shots per Game 13.3
4.4Shots on Target 6.5
4.9Corners per Game 2.4
2.5Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

PAOKPAOK
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KalamataKalamata
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

PAOKPAOK2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
KalamataKalamata0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Cup10/01/2023
PAOKKalamata
20
Cup14/12/2022
KalamataPAOK
02

Recent Form

KalamataKalamata
4W3D3L
20/09/2026
KalamataPanathinaikos
01
L
17/09/2026
KalamataLarisa
11
D
13/09/2026
KalamataVolos NFC
31
W
06/09/2026
AtromitosKalamata
11
D
01/09/2026
Volos NFCKalamata
22
D
29/08/2026
PanetolikosKalamata
20
L
22/08/2026
KalamataAris Thessalonikis
23
L
19/08/2026
KalamataPanetolikos
42
W
10/08/2026
Volos NFCKalamata
02
W
28/03/2026
KalamataIraklis 1908
10
W

Referee Profile

Alexandros Katsikogiannis67 matches

4.97Cards per match
4.62Yellow cards per match
0.34Red cards per match
28.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alexandros Katsikogiannis4.97
Other referees5.64

4.97 cards a match, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.64).

Cards come from 29 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos870118:4+1421WWLWW
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus861112:2+1019WWWWL
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC752021:3+1817WWWDW
4Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis851213:14-116WWWDL
5PAOKPAOK850316:11+515LWLWW
6OFIOFI841313:12+113WLLDW
7KifisiaKifisia832310:11-111WLWWD
8KalamataKalamata831413:17-410LWWLW
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 190882339:11-29LLWDD
10PanetolikosPanetolikos83058:16-89LLLLL
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis81347:15-86DLWDD
12LevadiakosLevadiakos80350:11-113DDLLD
13AtromitosAtromitos70256:12-62LLLDD
14Volos NFCVolos NFC80356:13-70LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos818:421
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus812:219
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC721:317
4Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis813:1416
5PAOKPAOK816:1115
6OFIOFI813:1213
7KifisiaKifisia810:1111
8KalamataKalamata813:1710
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 190889:119
10PanetolikosPanetolikos88:169
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis87:156
12LevadiakosLevadiakos80:113
13AtromitosAtromitos76:122
14Volos NFCVolos NFC86:130
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the PAOK vs Kalamata forecast

The forecasts for this Super League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

PAOK and Kalamata in the Super League 1 table

In the Super League 1 table, PAOK are 5th and Kalamata 8th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: PAOK 16-11, Kalamata 13-17. The full standings are on the Super League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

PAOK have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. PAOK and Kalamata have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.