Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC Prediction

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta· Armando Villarrea, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.57
SignalSTRONGModel70%RiskMediumGap+9.9%
Atlanta United FC Rest
4 days
Orlando City SC Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.15
X
29%3.80
2
39%2.94
Double Chance
1X
61%1.36
X2
68%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.40
No
30%2.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.35 = 2.74
Over 1.5
78%1.13
Over 2.5
56%1.44
Over 3.5
35%2.15
Under 1.5
22%5.88
Under 2.5
44%2.70
Under 3.5
65%1.70
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.6 = 10.1
Over 8.5
68%1.44
Over 9.5
54%1.70
Over 10.5
42%2.10
Under 8.5
32%2.60
Under 9.5
46%2.02
Under 10.5
58%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.9 = 4.1
Over 3.5
59%1.52
Over 4.5
39%2.08
Under 3.5
41%2.25
Under 4.5
61%1.66

Match Events

7'David BrekaloOG
26'Antoine GriezmannAssist: Joran Gerbet
42'David BrekaloFoul
45'Griffin Dorsey INZakaria Taifi out
45'Ajani Fortune INAdrian Gill out
58'Iván AnguloAssist: Martin Ojeda
59'Goal confirmedIván Angulo
64'Tristan Muyumba INLuke Brennan out
67'Tomás JacobFoul
71'Bernardo Rhein INTyrese Spicer out
74'Martin Ojeda INMarco Pašalić out
74'Joran Gerbet INWilder Cartagena out
77'Antoine GriezmannAssist: Justin Ellis
78'Aleksey Miranchuk INFafà Picault out
78'Paulo Díaz INEnea Mihaj out
78'Breel Embolo INSergi Santos out
79'David Brekalo INIago Teodoro out
88'Justin EllisFoul
90+7'Tyrese SpicerOG

Lineups

Atlanta United FC
4-3-3Coach: G. Martino
Orlando City SC
4-3-3Coach: M. Perelman
L. Hoyos1L. HoyosL. Hoyos
T. Jacob55T. JacobT. Jacob
P. Díaz27P. DíazP. Díaz
J. Alonso6J. AlonsoJ. Alonso
E. Báez3E. BáezE. Báez
1414M. Federico Amaro ViegaMauricio Federico Amaro Viega
T. Muyumba8T. MuyumbaT. Muyumba
A. Fortune35A. FortuneA. Fortune
A. Miranchuk59A. MiranchukA. Miranchuk
B. Embolo36B. EmboloB. Embolo
M. Almirón10M. AlmirónM. Almirón
M. Crépeau71M. CrépeauM. Crépeau
G. Dorsey24G. DorseyG. Dorsey
D. Brekalo4D. BrekaloD. Brekalo
R. Jansson6R. JanssonR. Jansson
Bernardo Rhein Goncalves44B. Rhein GoncalvesBernardo Rhein Goncalves
E. Atuesta20E. AtuestaE. Atuesta
Joran Gerbet35J. GerbetJoran Gerbet
I. Angulo77I. AnguloI. Angulo
Justin Ellis22J. EllisJustin Ellis
A. Griezmann7A. GriezmannA. Griezmann
M. Ojeda10M. OjedaM. Ojeda

Atlanta United FC Substitutes

20L. BrennanM
47Matthew EdwardsD
16Adrian GillM
30C. TogashiF
42Jayden HibbertG
4E. MihajD
22F. PicaultF
28William ReillyM
19Sergio SantosF

Orlando City SC Substitutes

19Z. TaifiM
14T. SpicerF
11TiagoF
87Marco PasalicF
12Javier OteroG
9D. DikeF
5Luis OtávioM
16W. CartagenaM
57IagoD

Match Stats

Atlanta United FCOrlando City SC
40%Ball Possession60%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots14
2Shots on Goal7
9Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box11
2Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots3
9Fouls9
6Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves1
425Total Passes658
368Passes Accurate577
87%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
1500Elo Rating 1641
1.13Attack 2.13
1.45Defense 1.65
14%Hit Rate 59%
15.6Shots per Game 12.4
3.2Shots on Target 6.5
7.0Corners per Game 4.1
1.8Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend69% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Atlanta United FC 19%Draw 23%58% Orlando City SC
3.42Avg Goals
69%BTTS Rate
63%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Armando Villarrea, USA · 16 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
23.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 19% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
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Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Orlando City SC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Atlanta United FC and Orlando City SC have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.42 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.