Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 22
Allianz Field, Saint Paul· A. Chapman 30/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.43SignalSOLIDModel48%RiskMediumGap+3.2%
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
2.00SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+8.2%
Minnesota United FC Rest
6 days
Orlando City SC Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
147%1.80
X26%4.08
227%3.86
Double Chance
1X73%1.25
X253%1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes71%1.43
No29%2.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.27 = 2.91
Over 1.585%1.12
Over 2.564%1.44
Over 3.539%2.10
Under 1.515%6.00
Under 2.536%2.75
Under 3.561%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.8
Over 8.565%1.35
Over 9.553%1.60
Over 10.539%2.00
Under 8.535%2.92
Under 9.547%2.19
Under 10.561%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.4
Over 3.547%1.81
Over 4.524%2.40
Under 3.553%1.96
Under 4.576%1.50
Match Events
28'D. Dike
32'A. Markanich
46'D. Callender INA. Smir out
54'A. Griezmann
59'D. Dike INH. Sarajian out
59'J. Gerbet INLuis Otavio out
64'A. GriezmannAssist: J. Ellis
66'M. Boxall
71'M. CaldeiraAssist: K. Yeboah
72'M. Caldeira INN. Triantis out
72'W. Trapp INM. Gonzalez out
73'J. Ellis INT. Spicer out
74'A. MarkanichAssist: J. Pereyra
76'K. Yeboah
81'Z. Taifi INM. Ojeda out
81'E. Atuesta INM. Pasalic out
85'K. Yeboah INT. Chancalay out
90+2'M. Pasalic
90+2'J. Pereyra INC. Harvey out
90+3'T. SpicerAssist: A. Griezmann
Lineups
Minnesota United FCOrlando City SC
4-4-2Coach: Oscar Pareja
12D. CallenderDrake Callender
28J. DíazJefferson Díaz
15M. BoxallMichael Boxall
23M. DugganMorris Duggan
3K. DuncanKyle Duncan
30O. GeneOwen Gene
20W. TrappWil Trapp
13A. MarkanichAnthony Markanich
26J. PereyraJoaquín Pereyra
22M. CaldeiraMarcus Caldeira
9K. YeboahKelvin Yeboah
71M. CrépeauMaxime Crépeau
24G. DorseyGriffin Dorsey
4D. BrekaloDavid Brekalo
6R. JanssonRobin Jansson
19Z. TaifiZakaria Taifi
22J. EllisJustin Ellis
20E. AtuestaEduard Atuesta
35J. GerbetJoran Gerbet
77I. AnguloIván Angulo
9D. DikeDaryl Dike
7A. GriezmannAntoine GriezmannMinnesota United FC Substitutes
1Alec SmirG
25Nectarios TriantisD
18Mauricio GonzálezF
8Tomás ChancalayF
67Carlos HarveyM
5Nicolás RomeroD
2Devin PadelfordD
16Aziel JacksonM
29Mamadou DiengF
Orlando City SC Substitutes
23Harvey SarajianF
5Luis OtávioM
14Tyrese SpicerF
87Marco PašalićF
10Martín OjedaM
12Javier OteroG
57Iago SilvaD
16Wilder CartagenaM
11Tiago SouzaF
Match Stats
Minnesota United FCOrlando City SC 44%Ball Possession56%
8Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots6
9Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal1
20Shots Inside Box4
1Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
13Fouls10
4Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
411Total Passes569
353Passes Accurate478
86%Pass Accuracy84%
Team Comparison
Minnesota United FCOrlando City SC1565Elo Rating 1641
2.75Attack 2.13
0.00Defense 1.65
14%Hit Rate 59%
13.1Shots per Game 12.4
5.3Shots on Target 6.5
4.1Corners per Game 4.1
1.9Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Minnesota United FC- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Orlando City SC- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Based on 2 historical meetings
Minnesota United FC 54%Draw 0%46% Orlando City SC
4.08Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Minnesota United FC2W1D2L
Orlando City SC2W1D2L
23/08/2026Orlando City SC
Real Salt Lake
Orlando City SCReal Salt Lake21
W20/08/2026Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
Orlando City SCChicago Fire12
L16/08/2026Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SCFC Cincinnati11
D13/08/2026Orlando City SC
Atletico San Luis
Orlando City SCAtletico San Luis5232
W09/08/2026Orlando City SC
Leon
Orlando City SCLeon12
LReferee Profile
A. Chapman · 103 matches analysed
3.6Avg Yellows
3.7Avg Cards
21.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 8% of referees analysed
League Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | +33 | 49 | WLWLW |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | +4 | 44 | DLWDD |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | +9 | 44 | WWDWD |
| 4 |  FC Dallas | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | +7 | 44 | DWWWD |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | +8 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | +14 | 41 | DLWDD |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | +1 | 36 | DWDLW |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | WDLWL |
| 9 |  Portland Timbers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 | LLDWL |
| 10 |  San Diego | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 0 | 30 | LLLWW |
| 11 |  Austin | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 | DWDDW |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 | LLLDL |
| 13 |  Seattle Sounders | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 | DDDDD |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 | LLLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 56:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 34:30 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 26 | 45:36 | 44 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 26 | 49:42 | 44 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 43:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 36:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 47:48 | 32 |
| 10 | San Diego | 25 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 11 | Austin | 26 | 32:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 37:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 26 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 29:63 | 18 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | +32 | 57 | WDLDW |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | +12 | 46 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | +15 | 45 | DDDWL |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | +10 | 43 | WDWDW |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | +7 | 39 | LLDDD |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 36 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 | WWLDL |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 | DDLLD |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | +5 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 11 |  DC United | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 | LDWDL |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 | LLWDD |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 | WLLWL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 | WDLDL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 53:21 | 57 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 26 | 45:33 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 25 | 61:46 | 45 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 26 | 47:37 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 45:38 | 39 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 50:42 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 26 | 46:60 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 34:48 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 54:61 | 33 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 26 | 39:34 | 32 |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 31:39 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 39:49 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 37:42 | 26 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 26 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 26 | 31:53 | 21 |
Promotion
Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
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Key Factors for This Match
Orlando City SC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Minnesota United FC and Orlando City SC have met 2 times recently, averaging 4.08 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.