Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction

Estadio Azul, Mexico City·Luis Enrique Santander Aguirre 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+6.4%
Atlante FC Rest
6 days
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Rest
5 days

Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: result, form and history

U.N.A.M. - Pumas beat Atlante FC 2-1 in the Liga MX on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Luis Enrique Santander Aguirre averages 4.10 cards a game, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.57
X
27%3.48
2
39%2.54
Double Chance
1X
60%1.48
X2
66%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.60
No
41%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.43 = 2.89
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.75
Over 3.5
33%2.81
Under 1.5
23%3.90
Under 2.5
46%2.04
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 5 = 10.8
Over 8.5
72%1.38
Over 9.5
62%1.69
Over 10.5
50%2.10
Under 8.5
28%2.65
Under 9.5
38%2.02
Under 10.5
50%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.67
Over 4.5
41%2.10
Under 3.5
40%2.10
Under 4.5
59%1.67

Match Events

34'Miguel Ernesto Herrera AguirreDissent
34'Miguel Ernesto Herrera AguirreAbusive Language
42'Olávio Vieira dos Santos JúniorAssist: Robert Morales
45+1'Luis CalzadillaAssist: Edgar Jiménez
47'Aarón QuirósFoul
63'Alan Medina INVictor Arteaga out
70'Pablo BennevendoFoul
71'Edgar Jiménez INDiogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar out
72'Olávio Vieira dos Santos JúniorAssist: Adalberto Carrasquilla
76'Aarón Quirós INChristian Bermudez out
85'Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior INÁlvaro Angulo out
86'Eduardo Tercero INJairon Charcopa out
86'Eugenio Pizzuto INJoaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa out
90+2'Walter PortalesFoul
90+5'Carlos Antuna INSantiago Lopez out

Lineups

Atlante FC
5-3-2Coach: Miguel Herrera
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4-4-2Coach: E. Solari
Avg rating6.34
Avg rating6.93
Ó. Jiménez6.31Ó. Jiménez
Walter Portales5.929W. Portales
J. N. Carrera6.56J. N. Carrera
E. Tercero6.84E. Tercero
A. Quiroz5.944A. Quiroz
E. Jiménez6.434E. Jiménez
M. Sarrafiore6.630M. Sarrafiore
E. Pizzuto6.18E. Pizzuto
L. Calzadilla7.519L. Calzadilla
L. Puente6.99L. Puente
J. Julio5.97J. Julio
K. Navas8.01K. Navas
R. López6.97R. López
Nathan Silva7.26N. Silva
Rubén Duarte6.95R. Duarte
P. Bennevendo6.32P. Bennevendo
A. Medina6.222A. Medina
A. Carrasquilla7.78A. Carrasquilla
P. Vite6.645P. Vite
U. Antuna6.121U. Antuna
R. Morales6.831R. Morales
Juninho8.623Juninho

Atlante FC Substitutes

10O. Vazquez
15Jairón Andrés Charcopa Cabezas86'for Eduardo Tercero6.3
18C. Bermúdez76'for Aarón Quirós6.0
22R. Barragan
32D. Bagüí71'for Edgar Jiménez6.2
37W. Clar
25M. Fernández
16José González
11Joaquin Alejandro Moxica Chapa86'for Eugenio Pizzuto6.3
3G. Sánchez

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Substitutes

18V. Arteaga63'for Alan Medina6.4
34Á. Azuaje
202Julio Cesar Dominguez Castillejos
14L. Herrera
35P. Lara
24T. Leone
15I. Luna
30Santiago López López90+5'for Carlos Antuna
19J. Rivas
77Á. Angulo85'for Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior6.4

Match Stats

Atlante FCU.N.A.M. - Pumas
54%Ball Possession46%
10Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots1
15Fouls11
4Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
426Total Passes448
348Passes Accurate367
11Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Atlante FCAtlante FC
U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
1557Elo Rating 1653
1.30Attack 1.78
1.68Defense 0.87
44%Hit Rate 27%
14.9Shots per Game 10.4
5.6Shots on Target 4.3
8.2Corners per Game 4.6
2.2Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atlante FCAtlante FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Recent Form

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
1W4D5L
12/10/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul
33
D
27/09/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasAtletico San Luis
23
L
20/09/2026
AtlasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
11
D
14/09/2026
Guadalajara ChivasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
30
L
11/09/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasLeon
31
W
29/08/2026
Club TijuanaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
20
L
24/08/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
11
D
16/08/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasClub Queretaro
00
D
12/08/2026
Columbus CrewU.N.A.M. - Pumas
3121
L
08/08/2026
FC CincinnatiU.N.A.M. - Pumas
20
L

Referee Profile

Luis Enrique Santander Aguirre154 matches

4.10Cards per match
3.86Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luis Enrique Santander Aguirre4.10
Other referees4.77

4.10 cards a match, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.77).

Cards come from 143 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1283132:16+1627WWDWD
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1365220:12+823WDDLD
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1372429:22+723WWDDL
4TolucaToluca1364328:18+1022DDLDL
5LeonLeon1363420:17+321WLDWD
6AtlasAtlas1363421:23-221LWDWD
7MonterreyMonterrey1262423:17+620WWDLW
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1262416:15+120LLWWD
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1361619:16+319WWWWW
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1245317:16+117DDDLD
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1344519:22-316LWDLD
12Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1344518:22-416WDLWW
13PueblaPuebla1344513:17-416LDDLD
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1335514:18-414LDWWL
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1335514:19-514WLLWD
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1334620:18+213LLDLD
17NecaxaNecaxa1323815:26-119LLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1311118:32-244LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1232:1627
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1320:1223
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1329:2223
4TolucaToluca1328:1822
5LeonLeon1320:1721
6AtlasAtlas1321:2321
7MonterreyMonterrey1223:1720
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1216:1520
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1319:1619
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1217:1617
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1319:2216
12Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1318:2216
13PueblaPuebla1313:1716
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1314:1814
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1314:1914
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1320:1813
17NecaxaNecaxa1315:269
18FC JuarezFC Juarez138:324
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About the Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th and Atlante FC 15th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Atlante FC 14-19, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 19-22. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.