Atlante FC vs Monterrey Prediction

Atlante FC
4-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Monterrey
Estadio Azul, Mexico City·Mario Terrazas Chavez 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.52
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Atlante FC Rest
7 days
Monterrey Rest
5 days

Atlante FC vs Monterrey: result, form and history

Atlante FC beat Monterrey 4-2 in the Liga MX on 26 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Monterrey had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Atlante FC.

Atlante FC tend to win more corners, 8.2 a game to 5.0 for Monterrey.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.25
X
27%3.60
2
40%2.07
Double Chance
1X
60%1.71
X2
67%1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.60
No
41%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.29 = 2.60
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.72
Over 3.5
34%2.75
Under 1.5
24%4.00
Under 2.5
45%2.10
Under 3.5
66%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.8 = 10.7
Over 8.5
67%1.52
Over 9.5
55%1.90
Over 10.5
42%2.44
Under 8.5
33%2.29
Under 9.5
45%1.83
Under 10.5
58%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
67%1.62
Over 4.5
48%2.10
Under 3.5
33%2.22
Under 4.5
52%1.67

Match Events

11'Luis PuenteAssist: Walter Portales
16'Juan CarreraFoul
18'Hugo CuypersAssist: Óliver Torres
53'Luis Calzadilla
58'Jesús CoronaFoul
59'Jesús Corona INDiego Rossi out
59'Daniel Aceves INRoberto de la Rosa out
64'Eduardo TerceroAssist: Jhojan Julio
69'Lucas Orellano INO. Gálvez out
69'César Garza INUros Djurdjevic out
73'Luis Puente INJoaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa out
73'Martín Sarrafiore INChristian Bermudez out
82'Walter Clar INArmando Escobar out
82'Roberto de la Rosa
88'Walter Portales INCristóbal Alfaro out
88'Luis Calzadilla INMartín Fernández out
90+3'Óliver TorresDissent
90+6'Jhojan Julio

Lineups

Atlante FC
5-3-2Coach: Miguel Herrera
Monterrey
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Almeyda
Avg rating6.74
Avg rating6.31
Ó. Jiménez7.41Ó. Jiménez
Walter Portales6.829W. Portales
J. N. Carrera6.56J. N. Carrera
E. Tercero7.64E. Tercero
A. Quiroz5.744A. Quiroz
W. Clar5.837W. Clar
M. Sarrafiore6.330M. Sarrafiore
E. Pizzuto6.48E. Pizzuto
L. Calzadilla7.319L. Calzadilla
L. Puente8.29L. Puente
J. Julio9.07J. Julio
E. Andrada5.71E. Andrada
R. Chávez6.22R. Chávez
C. Salcedo6.213C. Salcedo
A. Aceves5.619A. Aceves
G. Arteaga6.53G. Arteaga
F. Ambríz6.35F. Ambríz
Óliver Torres6.58Ó. Torres
Cesar Garza Cantu6.418C. Garza Cantu
L. Orellano6.110L. Orellano
J. Corona5.617J. Corona
H. Cuypers8.199H. Cuypers

Atlante FC Substitutes

20G. Adame
14C. Alfaro88'for Walter Portales6.1
22R. Barragan
18C. Bermúdez73'for Martín Sarrafiore6.0
15Jairón Andrés Charcopa Cabezas
27A. Escobar82'for Walter Clar6.2
25M. Fernández88'for Luis Calzadilla6.0
11Joaquin Alejandro Moxica Chapa73'for Luis Puente6.6
3G. Sánchez
10O. Vazquez

Monterrey Substitutes

32U. Đurđević69'for César Garza6.4
27R. de la Rosa59'for Daniel Aceves82'7.4
9D. Rossi59'for Jesús Corona6.0
30J. Rodríguez
21L. Reyes
33S. Medina
200O. Galvez69'for Lucas Orellano5.8
11Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
22L. Cárdenas
14É. Aguirre

Match Stats

Atlante FCMonterrey
40%Ball Possession60%
2Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots17
7Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots3
8Fouls10
0Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves3
373Total Passes544
283Passes Accurate446
9Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Atlante FCAtlante FC
MonterreyMonterrey
1557Elo Rating 1628
1.30Attack 1.32
1.68Defense 1.72
44%Hit Rate 44%
14.9Shots per Game 13.0
5.6Shots on Target 4.6
8.2Corners per Game 5.0
2.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atlante FCAtlante FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
MonterreyMonterrey
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Atlante FCAtlante FC0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
MonterreyMonterrey0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs04/07/2026
Atlante FCMonterrey
11

Referee Profile

Mario Terrazas Chavez81 matches

4.95Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.50Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mario Terrazas Chavez4.95
Other referees4.63

4.95 cards a match, 0.32 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.63).

Cards come from 22 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1283132:16+1627WWDWD
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1365220:12+823WDDLD
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1372429:22+723WWDDL
4TolucaToluca1364328:18+1022DDLDL
5Club LeonClub Leon1363420:17+321DWDLW
6AtlasAtlas1363421:23-221LWDWD
7MonterreyMonterrey1262423:17+620WWDLW
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1262416:15+120LLWWD
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1361619:16+319WWWWW
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1245317:16+117DDDLD
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1344519:22-316LWDLD
12Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1344518:22-416WDLWW
13PueblaPuebla1344513:17-416LDDLD
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1335514:18-414LDWWL
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1335514:19-514WLLWD
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1334620:18+213LLDLD
17NecaxaNecaxa1323815:26-119LLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1311118:32-244LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1232:1627
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1320:1223
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1329:2223
4TolucaToluca1328:1822
5Club LeonClub Leon1320:1721
6AtlasAtlas1321:2321
7MonterreyMonterrey1223:1720
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1216:1520
9Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1319:1619
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1217:1617
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1319:2216
12Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1318:2216
13PueblaPuebla1313:1716
14Tigres UANLTigres UANL1314:1814
15Atlante FCAtlante FC1314:1914
16CF PachucaCF Pachuca1320:1813
17NecaxaNecaxa1315:269
18FC JuarezFC Juarez138:324
Promotion

About the Atlante FC vs Monterrey forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atlante FC and Monterrey in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Monterrey are 7th and Atlante FC 15th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Atlante FC 14-19, Monterrey 23-17. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Atlante FC and Monterrey have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.