U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa Prediction

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Necaxa
Estadio Olimpico Universitario, Mexico City·Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava, Mexico 24/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+2.9%
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
2.00
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Rest
7 days
Necaxa Rest
6 days

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa: the result in context

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Necaxa drew 1-1 in the Liga MX on 24 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Necaxa tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.3 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.95
X
25%3.55
2
14%3.63
Double Chance
1X
86%1.25
X2
39%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.62
No
44%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 0.87 = 2.62
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.75
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
25%4.00
Under 2.5
49%2.06
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.1 = 10
Over 8.5
66%1.50
Over 9.5
53%1.91
Over 10.5
39%2.36
Under 8.5
34%2.29
Under 9.5
47%1.80
Under 10.5
61%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.7 = 5
Over 3.5
69%1.30
Over 4.5
55%1.71
Under 3.5
31%2.85
Under 4.5
45%2.00

Match Events

37'P. ViteFoul
46'Juninho INL. Herrera out
46'P. Vite INI. Luna out
61'C. Vargas INM. Zaleta out
61'A. Carrasquilla INA. Medina out
61'O. Gonzalez INE. Rodriguez out
72'M. Espindola INJ. P. Torres Patino out
73'C. Calderon INP. Bennevendo out
76'J. CarranzaAssist: E. Rodriguez
82'V. Arteaga ING. Martinez out
83'L. Faravelli INP. Pedraza out
88'L. HerreraAssist: G. Martinez
90'R. MonrealUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+4'I. LunaFoul
90+5'E. RodriguezFoul

Lineups

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4-3-3Coach: Esteban Solari
Necaxa
3-5-2Coach: Martin Varini
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.98
Keylor NavasC7.01K. Navas
Rodrigo Lopez6.67R. Lopez
Nathan Silva6.96N. Silva
Rubén Duarte6.95R. Duarte
Cristian Calderón7.712C. Calderón
Adalberto Carrasquilla7.08A. Carrasquilla
Pedro Vite6.645P. Vite
Victor Arteaga6.918V. Arteaga
Uriel Antuna8.321U. Antuna
Robert Morales7.231R. Morales
Juninho6.723Juninho
Luis Jimenez7.312L. Jimenez
Kaiky Naves7.35K. Naves
Alexis PeñaC6.64A. Peña
Agustín Oliveros7.23A. Oliveros
Ricardo Monreal6.930R. Monreal
Matías Espíndola6.921M. Espíndola
Danny Leyva7.76D. Leyva
Lorenzo Faravelli7.38L. Faravelli
Carlos Vargas6.688C. Vargas
Julián Carranza7.99J. Carranza
Owen González6.913O. González

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Substitutes

14Luciano Herrera46'for Juninho88'7.2
15Israel Luna46'for P. Vite90+4'6.9
22Alan Medina61'for A. Carrasquilla7.0
2Pablo Bennevendo73'for C. Calderon6.6
9Guillermo Martínez82'for V. Arteaga7.2
35Pablo Lara
34Angel Azuaje
13Pablo Monroy
199Kléber Carranza
20Santiago Trigos

Necaxa Substitutes

99Emilio Rodriguez61'for O. Gonzalez90+5'6.9
14Mauro Zaleta61'for C. Vargas6.2
11Juan Torres72'for M. Espindola6.5
16Pedro Pedraza83'for L. Faravelli6.5
1Christopher Andrade
20Francisco Méndez
15Diego Ochoa
33Raúl Martínez
17Rogelio Cortéz Pineda
90Juan Valencia

Match Stats

U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
48%Ball Possession52%
8Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
23Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box10
8Shots Outside Box6
8Blocked Shots7
10Fouls12
2Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves4
426Total Passes466
354Passes Accurate379
83%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
NecaxaNecaxa
1638Elo Rating 1473
1.52Attack 0.65
1.52Defense 1.55
44%Hit Rate 0%
10.4Shots per Game 17.0
3.4Shots on Target 6.0
3.3Corners per Game 6.3
2.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+165 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
NecaxaNecaxa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
NecaxaNecaxa4Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX07/03/2026
NecaxaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
01
Liga MX11/08/2025
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
11
Liga MX12/01/2025
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
21
Liga MX14/09/2024
NecaxaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
20
Liga MX01/02/2024
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
22
Liga MX28/10/2023
NecaxaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
10
Liga MX16/02/2023
NecaxaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
31
Copa por México21/12/2022
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
00
Liga MX17/07/2022
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
10
Liga MX20/03/2022
U.N.A.M. - PumasNecaxa
13

Recent Form

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
3W1D6L
16/08/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasClub Queretaro
00
D
12/08/2026
Columbus CrewU.N.A.M. - Pumas
3121
L
08/08/2026
FC CincinnatiU.N.A.M. - Pumas
20
L
05/08/2026
CharlotteU.N.A.M. - Pumas
30
L
01/08/2026
FC JuarezU.N.A.M. - Pumas
15
W
22/07/2026
TolucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
12
W
19/07/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
03
L
12/07/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasAmerica de Cali
01
L
05/07/2026
CancúnU.N.A.M. - Pumas
03
W
25/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul
12
L
NecaxaNecaxa
5W1D4L
18/08/2026
NecaxaLeon
12
L
14/08/2026
New York City FCNecaxa
12
W
10/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionNecaxa
31
L
07/08/2026
Chicago FireNecaxa
20
L
03/08/2026
TolucaNecaxa
31
L
27/07/2026
NecaxaMonterrey
21
W
17/07/2026
NecaxaAtlante FC
21
W
04/07/2026
AtlasNecaxa
00
D
01/07/2026
Correcaminos UatNecaxa
36
W
20/06/2026
NecaxaMonarcas
10
W

Referee Profile

Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava206 matches

4.69Cards per match
4.34Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava4.69
Other referees4.57

4.69 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.57).

Cards come from 194 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul16102437:26+1132WWWWW
2Club AmericaClub America1686238:23+1530DDDLW
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1686226:15+1130DWWWD
4TolucaToluca1676335:21+1427WDDDD
5AtlasAtlas1683527:30-327LWWLW
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1681723:20+325WWLWW
7LeonLeon1665523:21+223DLDWL
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1664629:20+922WWWLL
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1657425:22+322LDDWD
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626:25+121LDLWW
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1656524:26-221DWDLW
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1562718:23-520LLLLL
13PueblaPuebla1654719:23-419WLLLD
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1654719:24-519LLWWD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1636717:25-815LLDLD
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1635816:26-1014LLLWL
17NecaxaNecaxa1634917:28-1113WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez16321113:34-2111WWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1637:2632
2Club AmericaClub America1638:2330
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1626:1530
4TolucaToluca1635:2127
5AtlasAtlas1627:3027
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1623:2025
7LeonLeon1623:2123
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1629:2022
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1625:2222
10MonterreyMonterrey1526:2521
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1624:2621
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1518:2320
13PueblaPuebla1619:2319
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1619:2419
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1617:2515
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1616:2614
17NecaxaNecaxa1617:2813
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1613:3411
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About the U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Necaxa forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Necaxa in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th and Necaxa 17th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 24-26, Necaxa 17-28. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.