Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal: the result in context
Atletico Madrid and Villarreal drew 2-2 in the La Liga on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Referee Alejandro Hernandez averages 5.37 cards a game, 0.67 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Atletico Madrid
Avg ratingAvg rating
13J. Oblak
18M. Pubill
24R. Le Normand
17D. Hancko
22A. Grimaldo
20G. Simeone
C6Koke
23M. Hjulmand
4R. Mendoza
11A. Lookman
7L. Kang-In
1L. Junior
15S. Mourino
C8J. Foyth
12R. Veiga
20C. Romero
19N. Pepe
14S. Comesana
18P. Gueye
10A. Moleiro
22A. Perez
9G. MikautadzeAtletico Madrid Substitutes
Villarreal Substitutes
Match Stats
Atletico MadridVillarreal Team Comparison
Atletico MadridVillarrealAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Madrid- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Villarreal- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Madrid4Wins · 40%1Wins · 10%Previous meetings
13/09/2025Atletico MadridVillarreal25/01/2025Atletico MadridVillarreal19/08/2024VillarrealAtletico Madrid01/04/2024VillarrealAtletico Madrid12/11/2023Atletico MadridVillarreal04/06/2023VillarrealAtletico Madrid21/08/2022Atletico MadridVillarreal09/01/2022VillarrealAtletico Madrid29/08/2021Atletico MadridVillarreal28/02/2021VillarrealAtletico MadridRecent Form
Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Malaga
MarseilleAtletico Madrid
Manchester CityAtletico Madrid
Manchester UnitedAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid
GetafeAtletico Madrid
Girona
OsasunaAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
ArsenalAtletico Madrid
ValenciaAtletico MadridVillarreal
Racing SantanderVillarreal
GalatasarayVillarrealVillarreal
Levante
LensVillarreal
PSV EindhovenVillarreal
BenficaVillarreal
Rayo VallecanoVillarrealVillarreal
Sevilla
MallorcaVillarrealVillarrealLevanteReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.37 cards a match, 0.67 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.70).
Cards come from 188 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46:12 | +34 | 30 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28:10 | +18 | 27 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | +3 | 23 | WDLWD |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 | LDDDD |
| 8 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | LWDLW |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 | LDWDW |
| 10 |  Alaves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 12 | LDLLD |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | LDDDW |
| 12 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 12 | WLDLW |
| 13 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 | WLLDL |
| 15 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:29 | -14 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 10 | LWDDW |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 5 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 9 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 11 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Alaves | 11 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 12 | Getafe | 11 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 10 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 8:21 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Madrid and Villarreal in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Atletico Madrid are 2nd and Villarreal 8th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Madrid 22-8, Villarreal 15-15. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.