Atletico Nacional vs Junior Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-2.3%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.79
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Atletico Nacional Rest
4 days
Junior Rest
3 days
Atletico Nacional vs Junior: result, form and history
Atletico Nacional beat Junior 3-1 in the Primera A on 1 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
168%1.42
X20%4.40
212%7.00
Double Chance
1X88%1.09
X232%2.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.80
No47%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 0.86 = 2.64
Over 1.579%1.20
Over 2.556%1.65
Over 3.534%2.63
Under 1.521%4.40
Under 2.544%2.19
Under 3.566%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.1 = 9.1
Over 8.555%1.59
Over 9.539%1.88
Over 10.532%2.39
Under 8.545%2.23
Under 9.561%1.79
Under 10.568%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.9 = 5
Over 3.574%-
Over 4.556%-
Under 3.526%-
Under 4.544%-
Match Events
8'Andrés SarmientoAssist: Neider Parra Moya
17'Andrés RománAssist: James Rodríguez
20'Neider Parra MoyaArgument
22'Déiber CaicedoArgument
24'Guillermo PaivaAssist: Bryan Castrillón
51'Andrés Sarmiento INJuan Rosa out
52'Elías Lautaro CabreraFoul
62'Yeicar Perlaza INEdwin Cardona out
62'Bryan Castrillón INCristian Barrios out
62'Teófilo Gutiérrez INLuis Muriel out
65'Pablo OrtízArgument
65'Milton CascoDissent
70'Fabian BernalFoul
71'Andrés RománAssist: Ian Carlo Poveda
73'Fabian Bernal INGuillermo Celis out
73'Déiber Caicedo INJannenson Sarmiento out
74'James Rodríguez INJuan Zapata out
74'Elías Lautaro Cabrera INMateus Uribe out
74'Edwin CardonaFoul
74'Ian Carlo Poveda INEmanuel Benitez out
77'Ian Carlo PovedaDissent
83'Juan David Ríos INJesús Rivas out
89'Jermein PenaFoul
90+2'Daniel RiveraFoul
Lineups
Atletico NacionalJunior
4-2-3-1Coach: S. VieraAvg ratingAvg rating
34F. Armani
6A. Román
3N. Parra
16W. Tesillo
20M. Casco
22E. Cabrera
26F. Marin
27Y. Perlaza
23J. Rodríguez
29A. Sarmiento
99I. Poveda
30J. Martínez
98J. Peña
5D. Rivera
23P. Ortíz
26Y. Súarez
14J. Ríos
80F. Ángel
25D. Caicedo
9G. Paiva
88B. Castrillón
29T. GutiérrezAtletico Nacional Substitutes
10E. Cardona62'for Yeicar Perlaza74'
4C. Haydar
30K. Parra
24J. Rosa51'for Andrés Sarmiento
8M. Uribe74'for Elías Lautaro Cabrera
80J. Zapata74'for James Rodríguez
31X. Rios
25L. Marquinez
Junior Substitutes
12J. Acosta
77C. Barrios62'for Bryan Castrillón
10L. Muriel62'for Teófilo Gutiérrez
22Jesús Rivas83'for Juan David Ríos
7H. Rivera
20J. Sarmiento73'for Déiber Caicedo
34Daniel Socarras
6D. Villarreal
28G. Celis73'for Fabian Bernal
Match Stats
Atletico NacionalJunior 58%Ball Possession42%
7Corner Kicks5
5Yellow Cards5
19Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box6
10Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots2
13Fouls16
0Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves3
421Total Passes295
367Passes Accurate241
15Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
Atletico NacionalJunior1728Elo Rating 1568
1.92Attack 0.93
1.97Defense 1.46
56%Hit Rate 0%
15.0Shots per Game 14.3
5.7Shots on Target 3.6
6.1Corners per Game 5.4
2.1Cards per Game 3.1
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+161 Elo
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Nacional- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
Junior- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Nacional3Wins · 30%Draws330%
Junior4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
09/06/2026Atletico NacionalJunior10
03/06/2026JuniorAtletico Nacional30
11/03/2026JuniorAtletico Nacional04
01/12/2025JuniorAtletico Nacional21
27/11/2025Atletico NacionalJunior11
14/11/2025JuniorAtletico Nacional21
25/05/2025Atletico NacionalJunior23
27/09/2024Atletico NacionalJunior20
03/03/2024JuniorAtletico Nacional00
18/09/2023JuniorAtletico Nacional11
Recent Form
Atletico Nacional6W2D2L
26/09/2026Atletico Nacional
Chapecoense-sc
25/09/2026Atletico NacionalChapecoense-sc11
DAtletico Nacional
Millonarios11
D21/09/2026
LlanerosAtletico Nacional20
L17/09/2026
Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional23
W13/09/2026Atletico Nacional
Águilas Doradas20
W08/09/2026Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Cali30
W30/08/2026
Alianza ValleduparAtletico Nacional15
W27/08/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali
23/08/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali21
W
Fortaleza FCAtletico Nacional12
W10/08/2026
America de CaliAtletico Nacional10
LJunior2W3D5L
27/09/2026Junior
Independiente Medellin
JuniorIndependiente Medellin20
W20/09/2026Fortaleza FCJunior
13/09/2026Fortaleza FCJunior14
WAlianza ValleduparJunior10
L06/09/2026Junior
Jaguares33
D30/08/2026Junior
Santa Fe11
D27/08/2026America de CaliJunior42
L24/08/2026Junior
Once Caldas11
D02/08/2026JuniorMillonarios01
L30/07/2026
BarranquillaJunior
26/07/2026BarranquillaJunior5333
L
Deportes TolimaJunior21
LReferee Profile
5.99Cards per match
5.59Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.99 cards a match, 0.41 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.58).
Cards come from 200 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | DWWLW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WWLWL |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LWWLW |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLDWD |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDLDW |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | LWWDD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | DLLDD |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WWLDW |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWDLW |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLDD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | WDDDL |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DLLLW |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LDLLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLWWD |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDDLL |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28:12 | +16 | 29 | DWWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23:9 | +14 | 29 | WWLDW |
| 3 | America de Cali | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 28 | WLDWD |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22:13 | +9 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 25 | LWWDD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | +2 | 23 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Cucuta | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 21 | WDDLL |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | +2 | 20 | DDLDW |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 20 | DWWDW |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 | LWDLW |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 18:21 | -3 | 17 | DLLDD |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 17 | WDDDL |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:26 | -11 | 15 | DLWWD |
| 15 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 13 | LLDDL |
| 17 | Junior | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 12 | WWLWL |
| 18 | Fortaleza FC | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Jaguares | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:28 | -12 | 10 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 9 | LWWLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 14 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 15 | 23:9 | 29 |
| 3 | America de Cali | 14 | 26:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 22:13 | 25 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 14 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Cucuta | 14 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 15 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 18:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 14 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 15 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 14 | 15:26 | 15 |
| 15 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 14 | 10:18 | 13 |
| 17 | Junior | 14 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 18 | Fortaleza FC | 14 | 15:21 | 11 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 14 | 16:28 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 14 | 9:22 | 9 |
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This match
About the Atletico Nacional vs Junior forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Nacional and Junior in the Primera A table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Atletico Nacional are 1st in the Primera A, 5 points ahead of Junior in 2nd. League goal record so far: Atletico Nacional 35-15, Junior 31-24. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.