Alianza Valledupar vs Junior Prediction

Alianza Valledupar
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Junior
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.32
SignalSTRONGModel79%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
Alianza Valledupar Rest
3 days
Junior Rest
6 days

Alianza Valledupar vs Junior: result, form and history

Alianza Valledupar beat Junior 1-0 in the Primera A on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Junior have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%3.17
X
28%3.25
2
50%2.19
Double Chance
1X
50%1.62
X2
78%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.80
No
46%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.05 + 1.19 = 2.24
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
45%2.05
Over 3.5
25%3.60
Under 1.5
29%3.10
Under 2.5
55%1.74
Under 3.5
75%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.4 = 8.7
Over 8.5
47%1.85
Over 9.5
36%2.60
Over 10.5
28%3.62
Under 8.5
53%1.83
Under 9.5
64%1.44
Under 10.5
72%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 3 = 5.4
Over 3.5
79%-
Over 4.5
63%-
Under 3.5
21%-
Under 4.5
37%-

Match Events

4'Ever Meza
18'Ever Meza INWiston Fernández out
26'Israel AlbaFoul
45'Edgar PardoDissent
45'Jesús Rivas INHarold Rivera out
45'Guillermo Paiva INFrancisco Fydriszewski out
47'Juan David RíosFoul
50'Francisco FydriszewskiFoul
57'Cristian Andrés Vergara RivasDissent
63'Cristian Barrios INDéiber Caicedo out
63'Jannenson Sarmiento INTeófilo Gutiérrez out
70'Card upgrade confirmedJ. Lasso
71'J. LassoViolent conduct
73'Jesús Muñoz INJosy Pérez out
73'Edgar Pardo INCharly Villegas González out
79'Edwin Herrera INJosé David Munive Manotas out
80'José David Munive ManotasFoul
80'Daniel RiveraFoul
81'Deinner Quiñones INKevin Moreno out
81'Cristian Andrés Vergara Rivas INMisael Martinez out
90+3'Red card cancelledDaniel Rivera
90+6'Misael MartinezTime wasting

Lineups

Alianza Valledupar
4-2-3-1Coach: Flabio Torres
Junior
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Viera
Avg rating6.81
Avg rating6.57
E. Esteban7.640E. Esteban
I. Alba6.623I. Alba
J. Figueroa7.422J. Figueroa
J. Viveros7.232J. Viveros
J. Lasso6.133J. Lasso
E. Meza8.26E. Meza
J. Castillo6.57J. Castillo
F. Pardo6.217F. Pardo
D. Quiñónes6.410D. Quiñónes
J. Muñoz7.08J. Muñoz
C. Vergara6.718C. Vergara
M. Silveira6.91M. Silveira
E. Herrera7.33E. Herrera
J. Peña8.098J. Peña
D. Rivera6.35D. Rivera
Y. Súarez7.126Y. Súarez
J. Ríos6.114J. Ríos
Jesús Rivas6.722J. Rivas
C. Barrios5.777C. Barrios
J. Sarmiento6.420J. Sarmiento
B. Castrillón6.688B. Castrillón
G. Paiva7.09G. Paiva

Alianza Valledupar Substitutes

55W. Fernández18'for Ever Meza6.6
77M. Martínez81'for Cristian Andrés Vergara Rivas90+6'6.3
3K. Moreno81'for Deinner Quiñones6.9
88L. Palacios
25J. Perez73'for Jesús Muñoz6.8
26Howenn Rada
14C. Villegas73'for Edgar Pardo6.5
1J. Wallens
11Brayan Stiven Viafara Aponza

Junior Substitutes

25D. Caicedo63'for Cristian Barrios6.2
80F. Ángel
38Andrés Shmalbach
7H. Rivera45'for Jesús Rivas6.3
15J. D. Munive79'for Edwin Herrera80'5.9
30J. Martínez
29T. Gutiérrez63'for Jannenson Sarmiento6.4
19F. Fydriszewski45'for Guillermo Paiva50'6.1
28G. Celis

Match Stats

Alianza ValleduparJunior
28%Ball Possession72%
4Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots19
4Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box10
2Blocked Shots8
14Fouls12
2Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
182Total Passes471
118Passes Accurate394
11Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
JuniorJunior
1474Elo Rating 1559
0.91Attack 1.10
1.95Defense 1.82
36%Hit Rate 19%
10.2Shots per Game 10.6
3.0Shots on Target 3.0
3.4Corners per Game 3.4
3.7Cards per Game 2.7

Game State Tendencies

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
JuniorJunior
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar0Wins · 0%
Draws330%
JuniorJunior7Wins · 70%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A06/03/2026
JuniorAlianza Valledupar
11
Primera A12/10/2025
Alianza ValleduparJunior
01
Primera A20/04/2025
JuniorAlianza Valledupar
20
Primera A05/08/2024
JuniorAlianza Valledupar
22
Primera A05/02/2024
Alianza ValleduparJunior
01
Primera A15/09/2023
Alianza ValleduparJunior
15
Primera A04/04/2023
JuniorAlianza Valledupar
10
Primera A27/09/2022
Alianza ValleduparJunior
01
Primera A03/04/2022
JuniorAlianza Valledupar
31
Primera A21/11/2021
Alianza ValleduparJunior
11

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040LWWWD
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735DWWLW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434LWWDL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWWLW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DWDDD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LWLDW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729WWDDL
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028WLWDL
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427WLDWW
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826WLDLD
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWWLD
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526DLLWL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623DLWLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DLDWD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LLWDD
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318DLLWL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417DLLWD
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LLWLW
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DLWDW
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional18123337:17+2039LWWWD
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali18106231:12+1936LWWLW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1897226:10+1634WLDWW
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1888230:17+1332DLWLL
5Santa FeSanta Fe1894528:18+1031WWDDL
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1892728:25+329WWWLD
7MillonariosMillonarios1869325:16+927WLDLD
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1876522:18+427DWDDD
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1875623:21+226LWLDW
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1867522:21+125DLLWL
11CucutaCucuta1873819:26-724DLWDW
12LlanerosLlaneros1872921:24-323DLDWD
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1848622:25-320WLWDL
14JuniorJunior1847725:27-219DWWLW
15ChicoChico1854915:29-1419LLWLW
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar18531018:31-1318DLLWD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1838716:26-1017WLDLL
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto18431113:29-1615LWWDL
19JaguaresJaguares18341117:35-1813DLLWL
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1819817:28-1112LLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1837:1739
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1831:1236
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1826:1034
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1830:1732
5Santa FeSanta Fe1828:1831
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1828:2529
7MillonariosMillonarios1825:1627
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1822:1827
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1823:2126
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1822:2125
11CucutaCucuta1819:2624
12LlanerosLlaneros1821:2423
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1822:2520
14JuniorJunior1825:2719
15ChicoChico1815:2919
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1818:3118
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1816:2617
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1813:2915
19JaguaresJaguares1817:3513
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1817:2812

About the Alianza Valledupar vs Junior forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alianza Valledupar and Junior in the Primera A table

The table shows a wide gap: Junior are 2nd in the Primera A, while Alianza Valledupar sit 17th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Alianza Valledupar 13-27, Junior 31-24. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.