Forge vs York United Prediction

Forge
5-0
Finished
HT 3-0
York United
Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton 12/10/2026
ForgeForge
5-0
Finished
York UnitedYork United

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.35
SignalSOLIDModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
Forge Rest
4 days
York United Rest
5 days

Forge vs York United: the result in context

Forge beat York United 5-0 in the Canadian Premier League on 12 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Forge have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. Forge tend to win more corners, 6.8 a game to 4.5 for York United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.35
X
19%4.86
2
13%6.53
Double Chance
1X
87%1.07
X2
32%2.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.60
No
44%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.48 + 0.95 = 3.43
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
66%1.40
Over 3.5
48%2.04
Under 1.5
16%5.35
Under 2.5
34%2.65
Under 3.5
52%1.72
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Noah Jensen
9'Nana AmpomahAssist: M. Bourgeois
11'Nana Ampomah INBen Paton out
28'Antoine BatisseAssist: D. Nimick
30'Goal confirmedAntoine Batisse
45'Oswaldo Leon INSebastian Gonzales out
45'Juan Córdova INCarlos Guzman out
45'Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán INKevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke out
46'Marko Jevremović
67'Lucas Cavallini INIsmael Oketokoun Hassane out
67'Rezart Rama INLevonte Johnson out
67'Antoine Batisse INaghilas sadek out
68'Kembo·Kibato INShola Jimoh out
73'Anthony AromatarioPersistent infringement
83'Anthony Aromatario INTristan Borges out
88'Beni Badibanga INLuca accettola out
89'Ben PatonAssist: Ismael Oketokoun Hassane

Lineups

Forge
4-2-3-1Coach: Bobby Smyrniotis
York United
3-4-3Coach: M. Eustáquio
Avg rating7.07
Avg rating6.13
Dino Bontis7.336D. Bontis
R. Rama6.724R. Rama
D. Nimick7.35D. Nimick
5555M. James
M. Jevremović7.93M. Jevremović
A. Batisse7.78A. Batisse
A. Aromatario6.623A. Aromatario
M. Bourgeois6.387M. Bourgeois
N. Jensen8.222N. Jensen
N. Ampomah7.811N. Ampomah
L. Cavallini6.490L. Cavallini
Campos Ralston Kai Antonio6.017C. Ralston Kai Antonio
R. López5.66R. López
L. Singh6.83L. Singh
O. León5.74O. León
M. Ferrari6.416M. Ferrari
J. Córdova5.823J. Córdova
O. Bassett6.610O. Bassett
K. Kibato5.921K. Kibato
S. Yeates6.37S. Yeates
B. Badibanga6.239B. Badibanga
J. Almagro6.311J. Almagro

Forge Substitutes

7I. Oketokoun67'for Lucas Cavallini6.9
4D. Krutzen
33Cuba Grant
14L. Johnson67'for Rezart Rama6.6
19T. Borges83'for Anthony Aromatario6.5
6B. Paton11'for Nana Ampomah89'7.5
26A. Sadek67'for Antoine Batisse6.6

York United Substitutes

13L. Accettola88'for Beni Badibanga5.8
36K. Clarke45'for Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán6.0
9S. Gonzales45'for Oswaldo Leon6.6
8C. Guzmán45'for Juan Córdova5.9
19Shola Jimoh68'for Kembo·Kibato6.5
35C. Onyeocha
12I. Pavela

Match Stats

ForgeYork United
45%Ball Possession55%
5Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards0
17Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal7
15Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots3
21Fouls12
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
378Total Passes467
303Passes Accurate400
12Free Kicks21

Team Comparison

ForgeForge
York UnitedYork United
1638Elo Rating 1399
2.62Attack 1.11
2.08Defense 0.00
59%Hit Rate 17%
18.8Shots per Game 11.5
6.7Shots on Target 3.2
6.8Corners per Game 4.5
1.5Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+239 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.43 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ForgeForge
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
York UnitedYork United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ForgeForge6Wins · 60%
Draws440%
York UnitedYork United0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League06/09/2026
ForgeYork United
11
Canadian Premier League26/07/2026
York UnitedForge
13
Canadian Premier League07/06/2026
York UnitedForge
14
Canadian Premier League18/10/2025
ForgeYork United
30
Canadian Premier League09/08/2025
York UnitedForge
12
Canadian Premier League29/06/2025
ForgeYork United
22
Canadian Premier League27/04/2025
York UnitedForge
22
Canadian Premier League28/09/2024
ForgeYork United
20
Canadian Premier League24/08/2024
York UnitedForge
00
Canadian Premier League01/06/2024
ForgeYork United
30

Recent Form

ForgeForge
4W5D1L
08/10/2026
ForgePacific FC
30
W
03/10/2026
ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
33
D
27/09/2026
Vancouver FCForge
11
D
19/09/2026
Cavalry FCForge
11
D
16/09/2026
ForgeSupra du Quebec
10
W
13/09/2026
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
30
W
06/09/2026
ForgeYork United
11
D
02/09/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
11
D
29/08/2026
Supra du QuebecForge
10
L
23/08/2026
ForgePacific FC
20
W
York UnitedYork United
2W4D4L

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

About the Forge vs York United forecast

The forecasts for this Canadian Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Forge and York United in the Canadian Premier League table

In the Canadian Premier League table, Forge are 2nd and York United 6th, 28 points apart. League goal record so far: Forge 49-22, York United 42-65. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Forge have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.