HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa Prediction

Wanderers Grounds, Halifax 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-8.1%
HFX Wanderers FC Rest
6 days
Atlético Ottawa Rest
6 days

HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa: the result in context

Atlético Ottawa beat HFX Wanderers FC 1-0 in the Canadian Premier League on 26 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: HFX Wanderers FC had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Atlético Ottawa.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.00
X
26%3.65
2
32%3.00
Double Chance
1X
68%1.33
X2
58%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.41
No
38%2.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.42 = 2.74
Over 1.5
80%1.12
Over 2.5
60%1.45
Over 3.5
39%2.12
Under 1.5
20%5.00
Under 2.5
40%2.55
Under 3.5
61%1.62
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Ballou Tabla
23'Emiliano·GarcíaFoul
58'Emiliano·García INJean-Aniel Assi out
58'Kamron Habibullah ING. Antinoro out
63'Miguel Arilla Guinot INNelson Pierre out
66'G. AntinoroFoul
68'S. Zitman INLiam MacKenzie out
79'Jefferson Alphonse INFrancesco Troisi out
79'Lucas Olguin INTavio Ciccarelli out
81'Sergei KozlovskiyArgument
81'I. JohnstonArgument
86'Diego Gutiérrez INJuan Castro out
86'Tim Arnaud INTyr Walker out
87'Ballou Tabla INReinaldo Abraham out

Lineups

HFX Wanderers FC
4-3-3Coach: V. Sartini
Atlético Ottawa
4-2-3-1Coach: Gustavo Leal
Avg rating6.50
Avg rating6.82
M. Carducci6.91M. Carducci
Jefferson Alphonse6.521J. Alphonse
T. Meilleur-Giguère6.826T. Meilleur-Giguère
F. Linder6.72F. Linder
Kareem Sow6.416K. Sow
L. Callegari6.46L. Callegari
L. Olguin6.85L. Olguin
S. Zitman6.722S. Zitman
Miguel Arilla6.323M. Arilla
J. Bahamboula6.114J. Bahamboula
I. Johnston6.68I. Johnston
C. Kalongo7.031C. Kalongo
T. Arnaud7.137T. Arnaud
J. Dunn-Johnson6.63J. Dunn-Johnson
Sergei Kozlovskiy7.084S. Kozlovskiy
Joaquim Coulanges6.620J. Coulanges
D. Gutiérrez7.36D. Gutiérrez
M. Aparicio6.910M. Aparicio
K. Habibullah6.830K. Habibullah
B. Tabla8.113B. Tabla
E. García6.27E. García
N. Fleuriau Chateau6.421N. Fleuriau Chateau

HFX Wanderers FC Substitutes

27N. Pierre63'for Miguel Arilla Guinot6.6
25Liam Mackenzie68'for S. Zitman6.3
20Tavio Ciccarelli79'for Lucas Olguin6.5
12S. Astridge
37Caden Trestrail
17F. Troisi79'for Jefferson Alphonse6.2
4Jabu Deng

Atlético Ottawa Substitutes

11G. Antinoro58'for Kamron Habibullah66'6.5
77R. Abraham87'for Ballou Tabla6.4
14J. Assi58'for Emiliano·García7.1
2J. Castro86'for Diego Gutiérrez6.7
1T. Crampton
4T. Walker86'for Tim Arnaud6.5
9A. Escoto

Match Stats

HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
57%Ball Possession43%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots3
13Fouls12
2Goalkeeper Saves2
570Total Passes433
505Passes Accurate359
11Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
1439Elo Rating 1519
1.88Attack 1.48
1.11Defense 1.79
14%Hit Rate 59%
11.2Shots per Game 8.0
3.7Shots on Target 3.2
4.6Corners per Game 5.7
1.3Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC1Wins · 10%
Draws440%
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa5Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League08/08/2026
Atlético OttawaHFX Wanderers FC
21
Canadian Premier League01/07/2026
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
13
Canadian Premier League17/05/2026
Atlético OttawaHFX Wanderers FC
10
Canadian Premier League18/10/2025
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
01
Canadian Premier League19/07/2025
Atlético OttawaHFX Wanderers FC
20
Canadian Premier League24/05/2025
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
20
Canadian Premier League05/04/2025
Atlético OttawaHFX Wanderers FC
22
Canadian Premier League29/09/2024
Atlético OttawaHFX Wanderers FC
11
Canadian Premier League24/08/2024
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
11
Canadian Premier League02/06/2024
Atlético OttawaHFX Wanderers FC
22

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

About the HFX Wanderers FC vs Atlético Ottawa forecast

The forecasts for this Canadian Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

HFX Wanderers FC and Atlético Ottawa in the Canadian Premier League table

In the Canadian Premier League table, Atlético Ottawa are 3rd and HFX Wanderers FC 7th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: HFX Wanderers FC 44-50, Atlético Ottawa 42-45. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.