Avai vs Cuiaba Prediction

Avai
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Cuiaba
Ressacada·Y. Ferreira 21/06/2026
AvaiAvai
1-0
Finished
CuiabaCuiaba

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.51
SignalGOODModel10%SurpriseHighGap+6.8%
Avai Rest
5 days
Cuiaba Rest
6 days

Avai vs Cuiaba: result, form and history

Avai beat Cuiaba 1-0 in the Serie B on 21 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.50
X
32%2.85
2
32%3.10
Double Chance
1X
69%1.33
X2
64%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.09
No
53%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 0.91 = 2.06
Over 1.5
69%1.51
Over 2.5
38%2.60
Over 3.5
14%5.00
Under 1.5
31%2.46
Under 2.5
62%1.47
Under 3.5
86%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.3 = 9
Over 8.5
50%1.68
Over 9.5
44%2.06
Over 10.5
36%2.73
Under 8.5
50%2.06
Under 9.5
56%1.67
Under 10.5
64%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.5 = 3.9
Over 3.5
45%-
Over 4.5
26%1.52
Under 3.5
55%-
Under 4.5
74%2.30

Match Events

31'Jean LucasAssist: Sorriso
46'Vinicius Peixoto INKauan Cristtyan out
52'Joao Maistro INGuilherme Aquino out
54'Sorriso INDG out
54'Leo GamalhoFoul
57'MarlonFoul
62'David Miguel INLuiz Otavio out
66'Leo Gamalho INWalace Franca out
66'William INWenderson out
69'Jean LucasDelay of game
73'Calebe Costa INVictor Barbara out
73'Pepe INWeverson out
79'Thayllon INJamerson out
79'Luiz Henrique INPaulo Vitor out
80'Marlon INEric Melo out
81'Vitor Mendes INMarcos Junior out
90+2'Cauan de AlmeidaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

AvaiAvai
CuiabaCuiaba
1532Elo Rating 1596
0.53Attack 0.28
2.15Defense 2.31
36%Hit Rate 14%
18.7Shots per Game 20.3
5.5Shots on Target 5.3
8.6Corners per Game 9.2
3.2Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AvaiAvai
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CuiabaCuiaba
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

AvaiAvai1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
CuiabaCuiaba2Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B10/08/2025
AvaiCuiaba
20
Serie B11/04/2025
CuiabaAvai
22
Serie A28/10/2022
CuiabaAvai
10
Serie A03/07/2022
AvaiCuiaba
12

Recent Form

AvaiAvai
3W2D5L
16/06/2026
LondrinaAvai
32
L
11/06/2026
CearaAvai
21
L
07/06/2026
Chapecoense-scAvai
4350
W
04/06/2026
AvaiChapecoense-sc
30
W
30/05/2026
AvaiCriciuma
12
L
28/05/2026
AvaiVolta Redonda
30
W
25/05/2026
AvaiGoias
02
L
21/05/2026
Volta RedondaAvai
22
D
17/05/2026
Vila NovaAvai
20
L
10/05/2026
AvaiFortaleza EC
00
D
CuiabaCuiaba
4W5D1L
14/06/2026
CuiabaVila Nova
10
W
10/06/2026
Ponte PretaCuiaba
12
W
01/06/2026
CuiabaCRB
20
W
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
L
17/05/2026
CuiabaNovorizontino
00
D
09/05/2026
Athletic ClubCuiaba
00
D
02/05/2026
CuiabaCriciuma
11
D
23/04/2026
CuiabaBotafogo SP
11
D
19/04/2026
GoiasCuiaba
02
W
12/04/2026
Operario-PRCuiaba
00
D

Referee Profile

Y. Ferreira117 matches

5.44Cards per match
5.22Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
28.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Y. Ferreira5.44
Other referees5.40

5.44 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.40).

Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino361910764:31+3367WWDWW
2JuventudeJuventude361811747:25+2265DWDDW
3Vila NovaVila Nova36189952:38+1463DLDWD
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC361614643:31+1262DDWDW
6CRBCRB361671354:51+355LWLDW
7GoiasGoias361671338:41-355WWDWW
8Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
9Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense361413942:33+955DLDDL
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3614101251:40+1152WWLDL
11Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
12Operario-PROperario-PR361491346:48-251LWLLL
13CuiabaCuiaba3611141133:30+347LLLLD
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3611141142:41+147WLDDL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3612101440:46-646WLDLL
16CearaCeara3611101538:46-843LLDLW
17AvaiAvai361071933:46-1337LLDWW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36752426:55-2926WWWLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3664:3167
2JuventudeJuventude3647:2565
3Vila NovaVila Nova3652:3863
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3643:3162
6CRBCRB3654:5155
7GoiasGoias3638:4155
8Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
9Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3642:3355
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3651:4052
11Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
12Operario-PROperario-PR3646:4851
13CuiabaCuiaba3633:3047
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3642:4147
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3640:4646
16CearaCeara3638:4643
17AvaiAvai3633:4637
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3626:5526
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

About the Avai vs Cuiaba forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Avai and Cuiaba in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Cuiaba are 13th and Avai 17th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Avai 33-46, Cuiaba 33-30. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.