Ceara vs Botafogo SP Prediction

Ceara
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
A. Filho 21/06/2026
CearaCeara
0-1
Finished
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.44
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Ceara Rest
4 days
Botafogo SP Rest
6 days

Ceara vs Botafogo SP: the result in context

Botafogo SP beat Ceara 1-0 in the Serie B on 20 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Ceara have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 4.3 goals a game. Botafogo SP tend to win more corners, 6.2 a game to 4.0 for Ceara.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.91
X
23%3.20
2
26%4.25
Double Chance
1X
73%1.20
X2
49%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%2.09
No
41%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 1 = 2.84
Over 1.5
79%1.44
Over 2.5
58%2.38
Over 3.5
33%4.47
Under 1.5
21%2.62
Under 2.5
42%1.55
Under 3.5
67%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4 = 10.2
Over 8.5
62%1.36
Over 9.5
50%1.64
Over 10.5
45%2.05
Under 8.5
38%2.91
Under 9.5
50%2.12
Under 10.5
55%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.8 = 5.4
Over 3.5
78%-
Over 4.5
63%1.48
Under 3.5
22%-
Under 4.5
37%2.40

Match Events

6'Yuri FelipeFoul
19'Claudio TencatiUnsportsmanlike conduct
51'Gabriel Inocencio INPedro Henrique out
54'Fernando INSanchez out
55'R. Ramos INEnzo Lodovico out
55'Wendel Silva INLucca out
61'Matheus Araujo INMatheusinho out
66'Kelvin INZe Hugo out
66'Jefferson Nem INWesley Santos out
67'Hygor INArthur Caike out
71'Pedro HenriqueFoul
73'EderFoul
77'Rafael Gava
79'Richardson INPedro Esli out
83'Rafael Gava INErik Rebello out
87'Goal Disallowed - handballEder
90+5'LuccaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

CearaCeara
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
1579Elo Rating 1599
0.80Attack 2.00
1.45Defense 2.77
14%Hit Rate 77%
14.7Shots per Game 13.2
4.0Shots on Target 3.9
4.0Corners per Game 6.2
2.5Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CearaCeara
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CearaCeara3Wins · 75%
Draws125%
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP0Wins · 0%
4.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
100%3+ goals4 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B13/11/2024
Botafogo SPCeara
14
Serie B26/07/2024
CearaBotafogo SP
41
Serie B04/11/2023
Botafogo SPCeara
22
Serie B08/07/2023
CearaBotafogo SP
30

Recent Form

CearaCeara
2W2D6L
16/06/2026
CriciumaCeara
11
D
11/06/2026
CearaAvai
21
W
31/05/2026
CearaOperario-PR
12
L
23/05/2026
NovorizontinoCeara
21
L
17/05/2026
CearaFortaleza EC
21
W
14/05/2026
CearaAtletico-MG
2241
L
10/05/2026
CearaAtletico Goianiense
01
L
03/05/2026
Sport RecifeCeara
20
L
26/04/2026
CearaVila Nova
33
D
24/04/2026
Atletico-MGCeara
21
L
Botafogo SPBotafogo SP
1W4D5L
15/06/2026
Botafogo SPOperario-PR
21
W
09/06/2026
Vila NovaBotafogo SP
10
L
02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
00
D
26/05/2026
Botafogo SPAthletic Club
12
L
16/05/2026
GoiasBotafogo SP
10
L
11/05/2026
NovorizontinoBotafogo SP
10
L
02/05/2026
Botafogo SPNautico Recife
11
D
23/04/2026
CuiabaBotafogo SP
11
D
19/04/2026
Botafogo SPAtletico Goianiense
11
D
11/04/2026
CriciumaBotafogo SP
10
L

Referee Profile

A. Filho77 matches

5.12Cards per match
4.97Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Filho5.12
Other referees5.15

5.12 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.15).

Cards come from 34 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Ceara vs Botafogo SP forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ceara and Botafogo SP in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Botafogo SP are 12th and Ceara 16th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Ceara 38-47, Botafogo SP 45-39. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.