Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers Prediction

Beijing Workers' Stadium, Beijing·Abdulrahman Al-Jassim 15/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
2.05
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Beijing Guoan Rest
10 days
Pohang Steelers Rest
3 days

Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers: result, form and history

Beijing Guoan beat Pohang Steelers 3-1 in the AFC Champions League Elite on 15 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Abdulrahman Al-Jassim averages 4.81 cards a game, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.80
X
24%3.75
2
29%4.00
Double Chance
1X
71%1.22
X2
53%1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%1.69
No
55%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.82 + 1.24 = 3.06
Over 1.5
72%1.22
Over 2.5
51%1.78
Over 3.5
30%2.88
Under 1.5
28%3.75
Under 2.5
49%2.00
Under 3.5
70%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'Chadrac Akolo
6'Jakob Tranziska(Penalty)
12'Zhang Xizhe
34'Chadrac Akolo INYang Liyu out
40'Kim Ho-JinFoul
43'Wang GangFoul
45'An Jae-Joon INJuninho Rocha out
45'Kim Ye-Sung INWanderson Oliveira out
45'Kim Ho-Jin INJorge Luiz Barbosa Teixeira out
46'Jeremy DudziakAssist: Zhang Xizhe
52'Jo Sung-WookFoul
58'Jung Han-Min INKim Dong-Jin out
67'Juninho RochaFoul
68'Wang Gang INLi Lei out
68'Zhang Xizhe INAbduhamit Abdugheni out
73'Lee Chang-Woo INShin Kwang-Hoon out
82'Jeremy Dudziak INWang Yu out
82'Béni Nkololo INFabio Abreu out
88'Wang YuFoul

Lineups

Beijing Guoan
4-4-2Coach: Nick Montgomery
Pohang Steelers
5-4-1Coach: Tae-Ha Park
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.18
Hou Sen6.934H. Sen
Tze-Nam Yue6.121T. Yue
Gang Wang5.927G. Wang
Guilherme Ramos7.35G. Ramos
Deng Jiefu6.347D. Jiefu
Jeremy Dudziak28J. Dudziak
Dawhan6.323Dawhan
Sai Erjini'ao6.47S. Erjini'ao
Zhang Xizhe8.810Z. Xizhe
Béni Nkololo6.720B. Nkololo
Chadrac Akolo8.177C. Akolo
Pyeong-guk Yun5.91P. Yun
Chang-woo Lee5.714C. Lee
Jin Si-Woo5J. Si-Woo
Jo Sung-wook5.833J. Sung-wook
Ho-jin Kim6.136H. Kim
Ye-Sung Kim6.03Y. Kim
Han-min Jung6.237H. Jung
Kento Nishiya6.331K. Nishiya
Seung-ho Kim6.18S. Kim
An Jae-joon6.69A. Jae-joon
Jakob Tranziska6.510J. Tranziska

Beijing Guoan Substitutes

31Shaoziyang Liu
24Abdugheni Abduhamit68'for Zhang Xizhe6.4
25Uroš Spajić
4Li Lei68'for Wang Gang6.5
30Shuangjie Fan
6Chi Zhongguo
17Yang Liyu34'for Chadrac Akolo6.5
18Wang Yu82'for Jeremy Dudziak88'6.1
41Cheng Xi
50Zhang Haoran
43Xia Xiaoyu
29Fabio Abreu82'for Béni Nkololo6.8

Pohang Steelers Substitutes

29Sung-min Hong
17Kwang-hun Shin73'for Lee Chang-Woo5.9
20Park Chan-Yong
4Min-kwang Jeon
77Wanderson45'for Kim Ye-Sung6.4
22Kim Gwang-won
16Dong-jin Kim58'for Jung Han-Min6.6
70Hwang Seo-woong
18Sang-hyeok Cho
25Jorge Teixeira45'for Kim Ho-Jin6.9
11Juninho Rocha45'for An Jae-Joon67'5.7
7Ki-jong Won

Match Stats

Beijing GuoanPohang Steelers
49%Ball Possession51%
2Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box4
0Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
14Fouls17
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
493Total Passes503
408Passes Accurate422
17Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
1777Elo Rating 1539
2.42Attack 0.82
2.05Defense 1.43
100%Hit Rate 14%
12.1Shots per Game 7.0
4.9Shots on Target 3.2
4.5Corners per Game 5.6
2.2Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+238 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
6W4D0L
Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers
3W3D4L
12/09/2026
Daejeon CitizenPohang Steelers
22
D
09/09/2026
Pohang SteelersGimcheon Sangmu FC
00
D
05/09/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsPohang Steelers
20
L
30/08/2026
Gangwon FCPohang Steelers
00
D
25/08/2026
Jeju United FCPohang Steelers
12
W
22/08/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Pohang Steelers
30
L
19/08/2026
Pohang SteelersJinju Citizen
31
W
15/08/2026
Gwangju FCPohang Steelers
12
W
08/08/2026
Pohang SteelersUlsan Hyundai FC
02
L
01/08/2026
Pohang SteelersGimcheon Sangmu FC
01
L

Referee Profile

Abdulrahman Al-Jassim148 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.58Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
27.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Abdulrahman Al-Jassim4.81
Other referees3.91

4.81 cards a match, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.91).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

AFC Champions League Elite 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe33005:1+49WWW
2Johor Darul Takzim FCJohor Darul Takzim FC32106:1+57WWD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan32106:3+37DWW
4KashimaKashima22008:1+76WW
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka22007:2+56WW
6Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga32016:3+36WWL
7Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol31116:3+34DWL
8SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG31119:8+14LDW
9Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen31112:204LDW
10Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors31114:5-14DLW
11Công An Nhân DânCông An Nhân Dân31024:7-33WLL
12Buriram UnitedBuriram United20111:2-11LD
13RatchaburiRatchaburi30124:7-31DLL
14Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers20021:5-40LL
15Port FCPort FC30032:10-80LLL
16Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets30034:15-110LLL

About the Beijing Guoan vs Pohang Steelers forecast

This is a AFC Champions League Elite cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About AFC Champions League Elite

More AFC Champions League Elite fixtures and forecasts are on the AFC Champions League Elite Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Beijing Guoan and Pohang Steelers have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.