Kashima vs Newcastle Jets Prediction

Kashima
7-1
Finished
HT 5-0
Newcastle Jets
Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima·Khaled Al Teris, Saudi Arabia 15/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
2.05
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+5.8%
Kashima Rest
4 days
Newcastle Jets Rest
56 days

Kashima vs Newcastle Jets: result, form and history

Kashima beat Newcastle Jets 7-1 in the AFC Champions League Elite on 15 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.27
X
14%5.70
2
11%9.40
Double Chance
1X
89%1.05
X2
25%3.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%1.69
No
55%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.37 + 1.16 = 3.53
Over 1.5
74%1.07
Over 2.5
53%1.33
Over 3.5
34%1.96
Under 1.5
26%6.00
Under 2.5
47%2.83
Under 3.5
66%1.81
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'A. CavricAssist: H. Tokuda
16'A. CavricAssist: Y. Matsumura
19'J. DelianovOG
40'H. TokudaAssist: R. Ogawa
42'A. CavricAssist: Yan
46'Y. Matsumura INH. Hayashu out
46'W. Dobson INX. Bertoncello out
46'K. Misao INK. Tsukui out
46'A. Cavric INY. Suzuki out
56'H. Tokuda
62'Z. Clough INP. Wood out
70'R. OgawaFoul
72'Yan INK. Tagawa out
73'K. TagawaAssist: H. Hayashu
75'P. WoodFoul
79'P. WoodAssist: J. Lolley
84'R. Ogawa INR. Koike out
87'Kim Tae-HyeonUnsportsmanlike conduct
90'N. Vergos INJ. Recchia out

Lineups

Kashima
4-4-2Coach: Toru Oniki
Newcastle Jets
4-2-3-1Coach: Mark Milligan
Avg rating7.36
Avg rating5.78
Tomoki Hayakawa6.51T. Hayakawa
Rikuto Hirose6.937R. Hirose
Naomichi Ueda7.255N. Ueda
Kim Tae-hyeon7.73K. Tae-hyeon
Ryoya Ogawa6.77R. Ogawa
Yan Matheus7.718Y. Matheus
Gaku ShibasakiC7.310G. Shibasaki
Kento Misao6.96K. Misao
Yuta Matsumura7.027Y. Matsumura
Homare Tokuda9.334H. Tokuda
Aleksandar Čavrić10.077A. Čavrić
James Nicholas Delianov4.01J. Nicholas Delianov
Joel Bertolissio4.922J. Bertolissio
Joe Shaughnessy5.65J. Shaughnessy
Angus Reid4.661A. Reid
Daniel Wilmering4.923D. Wilmering
Zane Schreiber6.26Z. Schreiber
Max BurgessC6.914M. Burgess
Joe Lolley6.011J. Lolley
Will Dobson6.228W. Dobson
Zach Clough6.010Z. Clough
Nikolaos Vergos6.69N. Vergos

Kashima Substitutes

23Keisuke Tsukui46'for K. Misao6.9
24Haruki Hayashi46'for Y. Matsumura7.2
40Yuma Suzuki46'for A. Cavric6.3
11Kyosuke Tagawa72'for Yan73'7.3
21Taiki Yamada
28Yugo Okawa
4Kaito Chida
5Ikuma Sekigawa
25Ryuta Koike84'for R. Ogawa6.9
8Matheus Bueno
30Minato Yoshida
9Léo Ceará

Newcastle Jets Substitutes

43Xavier Bertoncello46'for W. Dobson6.3
8Patrick Wood62'for Z. Clough75'79'7.0
20Alex Nassiep
65Kaiden Walshe
24Alex Diogo Nunes
27Julian Recchia90'for N. Vergos
52Nicholas Badolato
26Oscar Gonzalez
46Ethan Debono
63Callan Prestwidge
64Jesse Hill

Match Stats

KashimaNewcastle Jets
62%Ball Possession38%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots4
10Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal2
16Shots Inside Box1
2Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots1
11Fouls7
0Offsides4
0Goalkeeper Saves4
609Total Passes606
550Passes Accurate552
7Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

KashimaKashima
Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
1696Elo Rating 1568
1.83Attack 1.37
1.73Defense 0.11
50%Hit Rate 0%
15.4Shots per Game 11.0
4.5Shots on Target 3.1
4.3Corners per Game 6.2
0.4Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+128 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.53 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

KashimaKashima
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

KashimaKashima1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets0Wins · 0%
5.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

AFC Champions League19/02/2019
KashimaNewcastle Jets FC
41

Recent Form

KashimaKashima
7W0D3L
11/09/2026
Vissel KobeKashima
21
L
06/09/2026
KashimaUrawa
01
L
02/09/2026
Mito HollyhockKashima
42
L
29/08/2026
Tokyo VerdyKashima
02
W
26/08/2026
KashimaSuzuka Unlimited
30
W
22/08/2026
KashimaAvispa Fukuoka
32
W
15/08/2026
KashimaNagoya Grampus
21
W
07/08/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosKashima
34
W
15/07/2026
KashimaVegalta Sendai
50
W
06/06/2026
KashimaVissel Kobe
20
W
Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
3W3D4L
21/07/2026
Preston LionsNewcastle Jets
32
L
16/05/2026
Newcastle JetsSydney
2141
L
09/05/2026
SydneyNewcastle Jets
11
D
25/04/2026
Newcastle JetsCentral Coast Mariners
40
W
17/04/2026
Melbourne VictoryNewcastle Jets
22
D
11/04/2026
Newcastle JetsAdelaide United
11
D
02/04/2026
MacarthurNewcastle Jets
32
L
22/03/2026
SydneyNewcastle Jets
12
W
14/03/2026
Newcastle JetsAuckland
12
L
07/03/2026
Newcastle JetsWestern Sydney Wanderers
21
W

Referee Profile

Khaled Al Teris82 matches

4.03Cards per match
3.83Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Khaled Al Teris4.03
Other referees4.28

4.03 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

AFC Champions League Elite 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KashimaKashima22008:1+76WW
2Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka22007:2+56WW
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe22004:1+36WW
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan22004:1+36WW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG21107:5+24DW
6Johor Darul Takzim FCJohor Darul Takzim FC21103:1+24WD
7Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen21102:1+14DW
8Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol21016:3+33WL
9Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga21011:103WL
10Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors21012:3-13LW
11Buriram UnitedBuriram United20111:2-11LD
12RatchaburiRatchaburi20024:7-30LL
13Công An Nhân DânCông An Nhân Dân20021:5-40LL
14Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers20021:5-40LL
15Port FCPort FC20022:7-50LL
16Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets20022:10-80LL

Bracket

Preliminary Round 1

About the Kashima vs Newcastle Jets forecast

This is a AFC Champions League Elite cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About AFC Champions League Elite

More AFC Champions League Elite fixtures and forecasts are on the AFC Champions League Elite Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kashima and Newcastle Jets have met only 1 time recently, with 5.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.