Birmingham vs QPR Prediction

Birmingham
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
QPR
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham·Thomas Kirk 17/10/2026
BirminghamBirmingham
3-0
Finished
QPRQPR

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-3.2%
Birmingham Rest
3 days
QPR Rest
2 days

Birmingham vs QPR: result, form and history

Birmingham beat QPR 3-0 in the Championship on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Birmingham had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for QPR.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.99
X
27%3.52
2
24%3.67
Double Chance
1X
76%1.26
X2
51%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.69
No
47%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 0.92 = 2.57
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.84
Over 3.5
29%3.14
Under 1.5
25%3.60
Under 2.5
49%1.93
Under 3.5
71%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.4 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.32
Over 9.5
58%1.60
Over 10.5
46%2.00
Under 8.5
31%2.98
Under 9.5
42%2.20
Under 10.5
54%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.67
Over 4.5
48%2.41
Under 3.5
33%2.10
Under 4.5
52%1.54

Match Events

23'Jhon Elmer Solís RomeroFoul
27'Liam MillarAssist: Tomoki Iwata
44'Harvey ValeFoul
49'Liam MillarAssist: Tomoki Iwata
50'Rayan Jawad KolliNot retreating
57'Jhon Elmer Solís Romero INMax Bird out
57'Patrick Roberts INCarlos Vicente out
62'Rayan Jawad Kolli INRichard Kone out
69'Christoph·KlarerFoul
71'Liam Millar INDemarai Gray out
72'Jake Clarke-Salter INJonathan Varane out
81'Paul Smyth INKoki Saito out
81'Glen Kamara INLeon Scarlett out
86'August Priske INLuis Vasquez out
90+1'Demarai GrayAssist: Luis Vasquez

Lineups

Birmingham
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Davies
QPR
4-2-3-1Coach: Julien Stéphan
Avg rating7.26
Avg rating6.14
J. Beadle6.81J. Beadle
B. Osayi-Samuel6.626B. Osayi-Samuel
P. Neumann7.45P. Neumann
C. Klarer7.64C. Klarer
A. Cochrane7.520A. Cochrane
T. Iwata8.624T. Iwata
J. Solis6.814J. Solis
P. Roberts6.916P. Roberts
J. Stansfield6.528J. Stansfield
L. Millar9.717L. Millar
A. Priske6.29A. Priske
P. Charles5.61P. Charles
K. Adamson5.82K. Adamson
J. Dunne6.63J. Dunne
J. Clarke-Salter5.96J. Clarke-Salter
B. Kemper5.412B. Kemper
G. Kamara6.418G. Kamara
R. Edwards7.25R. Edwards
K. Poku6.117K. Poku
H. Vale6.020H. Vale
P. Smyth5.811P. Smyth
Rayan Jawad Kolli6.426R. Jawad Kolli

Birmingham Substitutes

21R. Allsop
18M. Bird57'for Jhon Elmer Solís Romero6.9
33M. Ducksch
23D. Fry
19T. Gardner-Hickman
10D. Gray71'for Liam Millar90+1'7.6
2E. Laird
32L. Vázquez86'for August Priske7.1
7Carlos Vicente57'for Patrick Roberts6.6

QPR Substitutes

40J. Varane72'for Jake Clarke-Salter6.0
13C. Ward
14K. Saito81'for Paul Smyth6.3
25Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu
4L. Morrison
24N. Madsen
22R. Kone62'for Rayan Jawad Kolli6.2
23I. Alemayehu
33Leon Scarlett81'replaced by Glen Kamara

Match Stats

BirminghamQPR
52%Ball Possession48%
0Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots6
13Fouls7
0Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves2
503Total Passes445
407Passes Accurate355
7Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

BirminghamBirmingham
QPRQPR
1686Elo Rating 1647
1.91Attack 2.57
2.45Defense 1.67
59%Hit Rate 46%
12.7Shots per Game 13.3
4.9Shots on Target 5.1
3.9Corners per Game 4.3
2.1Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BirminghamBirmingham
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
QPRQPR
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BirminghamBirmingham4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
QPRQPR4Wins · 40%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship11/03/2026
BirminghamQPR
10
Championship09/12/2025
QPRBirmingham
21
Championship29/03/2024
QPRBirmingham
21
Championship22/09/2023
BirminghamQPR
00
Championship18/03/2023
QPRBirmingham
01
Championship28/10/2022
BirminghamQPR
20
Championship02/01/2022
BirminghamQPR
12
Championship28/09/2021
QPRBirmingham
20
Championship27/02/2021
BirminghamQPR
21
Championship24/10/2020
QPRBirmingham
00

Recent Form

QPRQPR
4W5D1L
14/10/2026
QPRDerby
41
W
09/10/2026
West HamQPR
11
D
19/09/2026
QPRPreston
22
D
12/09/2026
West BromQPR
11
D
09/09/2026
CharltonQPR
00
D
05/09/2026
QPRMiddlesbrough
01
L
02/09/2026
QPRCardiff
21
W
29/08/2026
BlackburnQPR
12
W
22/08/2026
QPRBolton
00
D
15/08/2026
PortsmouthQPR
13
W

Referee Profile

Thomas Kirk160 matches

4.25Cards per match
4.13Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Thomas Kirk4.25
Other referees3.94

4.25 cards a match, 0.31 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 129 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1172216:8+823LWWWW
3West HamWest Ham1164130:12+1822WWDDW
4BirminghamBirmingham1155120:11+920WWWDW
5West BromWest Brom1162315:12+320WWLLD
6Stoke CityStoke City1161418:16+219WLWWW
7WolvesWolves1153319:16+318DWLLW
8PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
9SouthamptonSouthampton1163221:10+1117DWWLW
10QPRQPR1145215:12+317LWDDD
11Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
12BlackburnBlackburn1143417:16+115LWWDW
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14WrexhamWrexham1135315:16-114WLDWL
15Bristol CityBristol City1142512:15-314LLDWL
16BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
17CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
18NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
19LincolnLincoln113359:19-1012DLLLW
20CardiffCardiff1125418:17+111DWLWL
21WatfordWatford1132610:19-911WLLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1115516:21-58LDWDL
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston111199:24-154LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1116:823
3West HamWest Ham1130:1222
4BirminghamBirmingham1120:1120
5West BromWest Brom1115:1220
6Stoke CityStoke City1118:1619
7WolvesWolves1119:1618
8PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
9SouthamptonSouthampton1121:1017
10QPRQPR1115:1217
11Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
12BlackburnBlackburn1117:1615
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14WrexhamWrexham1115:1614
15Bristol CityBristol City1112:1514
16BoltonBolton1216:2314
17CharltonCharlton1211:1814
18NorwichNorwich1220:2212
19LincolnLincoln119:1912
20CardiffCardiff1118:1711
21WatfordWatford1110:1911
22BurnleyBurnley1116:218
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston119:244
PromotionRelegation

About the Birmingham vs QPR forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Birmingham and QPR in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Birmingham are 4th and QPR 10th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Birmingham 20-11, QPR 15-12. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Birmingham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. QPR have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.