West Ham vs QPR Prediction

West Ham
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
QPR
London Stadium, London·Ruebyn Ricardo 09/10/2026
West HamWest Ham
1-1
Finished
QPRQPR

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+2.7%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
West Ham Rest
20 days
QPR Rest
20 days

West Ham vs QPR: the result in context

West Ham and QPR drew 1-1 in the Championship on 9 Oct 2026. West Ham had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for QPR.

Referee Ruebyn Ricardo averages 5.03 cards a game, 1.24 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.44
X
18%4.75
2
11%6.16
Double Chance
1X
89%1.11
X2
29%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.65
No
43%2.11
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.14 + 0.92 = 3.06
Over 1.5
82%1.13
Over 2.5
62%1.50
Over 3.5
40%2.31
Under 1.5
18%5.00
Under 2.5
38%2.38
Under 3.5
60%1.60
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.9 = 10.1
Over 8.5
69%1.32
Over 9.5
57%1.60
Over 10.5
46%1.99
Under 8.5
31%3.02
Under 9.5
43%2.25
Under 10.5
54%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.61
Over 4.5
39%2.23
Under 3.5
42%2.23
Under 4.5
61%1.61

Match Events

17'Arne Engels
18'Nicolas Madsen(Penalty)
24'Boy KemperTime wasting
45'Kyle Walker-Peters INEdvin Austbö out
45'Tomáš Souček INPablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus out
60'Paul Smyth INHarvey Vale out
62'Maximilian KilmanArgument
65'Felipe MoratoFoul
66'Glen KamaraDissent
68'Manor Solomon INJoel Piroe out
68'Divine Mukasa INLewis Orford out
69'Rayan Jawad Kolli INRichard Kone out
69'Boy Kemper INTariq Lamptey out
70'Jarrod Bowen
80'Kwame Poku INAmadou Salif Mbengue out
90'Amadou Salif MbengueFoul
90+1'Richard KoneTime wasting
90+1'Jarrod Bowen(Penalty missed)

Lineups

West Ham
4-2-3-1Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
QPR
4-3-3Coach: Julien Stéphan
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.50
M. Hermansen6.81M. Hermansen
K. Walker-Peters6.22K. Walker-Peters
K. Mavropanos6.915K. Mavropanos
M. Kilman6.53M. Kilman
Morato6.15Morato
T. Souček6.328T. Souček
A. Engels6.47A. Engels
J. Bowen7.620J. Bowen
D. Mukasa6.214D. Mukasa
M. Solomon6.610M. Solomon
V. Castellanos6.711V. Castellanos
P. Charles7.21P. Charles
K. Adamson6.52K. Adamson
J. Dunne6.73J. Dunne
J. Clarke-Salter6.96J. Clarke-Salter
B. Kemper6.012B. Kemper
N. Madsen6.924N. Madsen
R. Edwards6.15R. Edwards
G. Kamara6.418G. Kamara
K. Poku6.417K. Poku
Rayan Jawad Kolli6.326R. Jawad Kolli
P. Smyth6.911P. Smyth

West Ham Substitutes

23A. Areola
35E. Austbö45'for Kyle Walker-Peters6.6
58A. Golambeckis
27S. Magassa
61L. Orford68'for Divine Mukasa6.8
19Pablo45'for Tomáš Souček6.5
9J. Piroe68'for Manor Solomon6.4
30O. Scarles
34J. Veltman

QPR Substitutes

22R. Kone69'for Rayan Jawad Kolli90+1'6.3
48T. Lamptey69'for Boy Kemper6.6
27A. Mbengue80'for Kwame Poku90'6.3
4L. Morrison
25Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu
20H. Vale60'for Paul Smyth6.2
40J. Varane
13C. Ward
33Leon Scarlett

Match Stats

West HamQPR
65%Ball Possession35%
4Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards4
12Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots1
9Fouls9
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
606Total Passes331
529Passes Accurate256
9Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

West HamWest Ham
QPRQPR
1802Elo Rating 1647
2.38Attack 2.57
1.74Defense 1.67
42%Hit Rate 46%
19.9Shots per Game 13.3
7.6Shots on Target 5.1
8.1Corners per Game 4.3
2.2Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+155 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

West HamWest Ham
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
QPRQPR
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

West HamWest Ham0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
QPRQPR0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

FA Cup11/01/2026
West HamQPR
2111

Recent Form

QPRQPR
4W4D2L
19/09/2026
QPRPreston
22
D
12/09/2026
West BromQPR
11
D
09/09/2026
CharltonQPR
00
D
05/09/2026
QPRMiddlesbrough
01
L
02/09/2026
QPRCardiff
21
W
29/08/2026
BlackburnQPR
12
W
22/08/2026
QPRBolton
00
D
15/08/2026
PortsmouthQPR
13
W
08/08/2026
QPRMillwall
0121
L
01/08/2026
AFC WimbledonQPR
23
W

Referee Profile

Ruebyn Ricardo29 matches

5.03Cards per match
4.83Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
21.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ruebyn Ricardo5.03
Other referees3.79

5.03 cards a match, 1.24 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.79).

Cards come from 29 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the West Ham vs QPR forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

West Ham and QPR in the Championship table

In the Championship table, West Ham are 3rd and QPR 8th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: West Ham 32-15, QPR 20-12. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

QPR have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. West Ham and QPR have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.