Brighton vs Tromso Prediction

Brighton
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Tromso
American Express Stadium, Falmer·Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands 27/08/2026
BrightonBrighton
4-0
Finished
TromsoTromso

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
Value Analysis
50%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.10
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseHighGap+6.8%
Brighton Rest
4 days
Tromso Rest
5 days

Brighton vs Tromso: result, form and history

Brighton beat Tromso 4-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 27 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Brighton tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 4.0 for Tromso.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.15
X
16%7.33
2
13%15.00
Double Chance
1X
87%1.02
X2
29%5.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.10
No
50%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.02 + 0.92 = 2.94
Over 1.5
80%1.10
Over 2.5
57%1.38
Over 3.5
32%2.00
Under 1.5
20%6.00
Under 2.5
43%2.85
Under 3.5
68%1.78
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.7 + 2.8 = 10.5
Over 8.5
61%1.50
Over 9.5
51%1.85
Over 10.5
36%2.38
Under 8.5
39%2.35
Under 9.5
49%1.84
Under 10.5
64%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
42%2.04
Over 4.5
30%2.80
Under 3.5
58%1.70
Under 4.5
70%1.32

Match Events

12'V. Skjaervik INL. Hien out
22'C. KostoulasAssist: M. De Cuyper
33'M. De Cuyper
38'M. WiefferAssist: C. Kostoulas
44'A. Thongla-Iad WarnerydHolding
46'H. Larsen INIeltsin Camoes out
46'A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd INS. Innvaer out
46'J. Grundt INL. O. Larsen out
46'L. Dunk INP. Struijk out
46'M. Wieffer INCostinha out
66'D. Gomez INZ. Yohanna out
66'M. De Cuyper INI. Osman out
81'M. O'Riley INM. Yalcouye out
81'L. Hien INC. Oyvann out
86'O. Boscagli

Lineups

Brighton
4-3-3Coach: Fabian Hurzeler
Tromso
5-3-2Coach: Jorgen Vik
Avg rating7.41
Avg rating6.25
Bart Verbruggen7.01B. Verbruggen
Mats Wieffer8.527M. Wieffer
Luka Vušković7.344L. Vušković
Lewis DunkC7.25L. Dunk
Olivier Boscagli9.521O. Boscagli
Matt O'Riley6.633M. O'Riley
Yasin Ayari7.726Y. Ayari
Pascal Groß6.913P. Groß
Diego Gómez6.625D. Gómez
Charalampos Kostoulas7.719C. Kostoulas
Maxim De Cuyper9.329M. De Cuyper
Jakob Haugaard5.21J. Haugaard
Isak Dahlqvist5.217I. Dahlqvist
Isak Vadebu5.530I. Vadebu
Vetle Skjaervik6.94V. Skjaervik
Mathias Tonnessen6.23M. Tonnessen
Alexander Warneryd5.529A. Warneryd
David Edvardsson6.75D. Edvardsson
Ruben JenssenC6.311R. Jenssen
Jesper Andreas Grundt6.28J. Andreas Grundt
Troy Nyhammer6.310T. Nyhammer
Heine Asen Larsen6.222H. Asen Larsen

Brighton Substitutes

23Jason Steele
38Tom McGill
4Pascal Struijk46'for L. Dunk6.9
41Freddie Simmonds
20Costinha46'for M. Wieffer6.9
24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
15Ibrahim Osman66'for M. De Cuyper6.6
50Shane Nti
43Josh Robertson
35Malick Yalcouyé81'for M. O'Riley
36Zadok Yohanna66'for D. Gomez6.5
49Nehemiah Oriola

Tromso Substitutes

21Leon Hien12'for V. Skjaervik81'for C. Oyvann6.7
12Ole Lauvli
32Abderrahmane Sarr
2Leo Cornic
24Vince Osuji
25Casper Öyvann81'replaced by L. Hien
27Mads Mikkelsen
37Sander Innvær46'for A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd6.9
7Lars Olden Larsen46'for J. Grundt6.9
15Viktor Ekblom
19Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu
20Ieltsin Camões7.0

Match Stats

BrightonTromso
78%Ball Possession22%
7Corner Kicks0
0Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots5
8Shots on Goal0
9Shots off Goal2
16Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots3
13Fouls6
3Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves4
759Total Passes217
681Passes Accurate148
90%Pass Accuracy68%

Team Comparison

BrightonBrighton
TromsoTromso
1936Elo Rating 1652
1.93Attack 1.82
2.00Defense 1.13
31%Hit Rate 41%
21.3Shots per Game 15.9
5.4Shots on Target 5.3
6.9Corners per Game 4.0
1.8Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+284 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

BrightonBrighton
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
TromsoTromso
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

BrightonBrighton0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
TromsoTromso0Wins · 0%
0.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

BrightonBrighton
6W1D3L
23/08/2026
BrightonAston Villa
40
W
20/08/2026
TromsoBrighton
00
D
15/08/2026
BrightonBologna
10
W
08/08/2026
BrightonAS Roma
30
W
01/08/2026
BrightonStrasbourg
43
W
24/05/2026
BrightonManchester United
03
L
17/05/2026
LeedsBrighton
10
L
09/05/2026
BrightonWolves
30
W
02/05/2026
NewcastleBrighton
31
L
21/04/2026
BrightonChelsea
30
W

Referee Profile

Sander van der Eijk180 matches

3.55Cards per match
3.30Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
21.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sander van der Eijk3.55
Other referees3.31

3.55 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.31).

Cards come from 173 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded

League Table

UEFA Europa Conference League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PanathinaikosPanathinaikos22007:2+56WW
2FC LuganoFC Lugano22008:4+46WW
3BrannBrann22006:2+46WW
4TrabzonsporTrabzonspor22006:2+46WW
5TwenteTwente22005:1+46WW
6MonacoMonaco22005:1+46WW
7St. TruidenSt. Truiden22003:0+36WW
8HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split22003:1+26WW
9BrightonBrighton21104:0+44DW
10FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen21105:2+34DW
11Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova21104:2+24WD
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF21103:1+24DW
13AjaxAjax21013:2+13WL
14Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka21013:2+13WL
15AtalantaAtalanta21013:303LW
16SC BragaSC Braga21012:3-13WL
17GentGent21011:2-13LW
18SC FreiburgSC Freiburg21013:5-23LW
19FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland20203:302DD
20Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë20202:202DD
21RigaRiga20202:202DD
22FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda20114:5-11DL
23CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia20113:4-11DL
24FK JablonecFK Jablonec20112:3-11DL
25FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland20111:2-11LD
26AarhusAarhus20111:2-11DL
27PafosPafos20112:4-21DL
28Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian20111:3-21LD
29FC Iberia 1999FC Iberia 199920111:3-21DL
30GetafeGetafe20113:6-31LD
31Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty20112:6-41LD
32FC ThunFC Thun20020:2-20LL
33Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC20022:6-40LL
34KuPSKuPS20022:6-40LL
35Inter Club d'EscaldesInter Club d'Escaldes20021:5-40LL
36Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris20021:8-70LL
Conference League

About the Brighton vs Tromso forecast

As a knockout tie in the UEFA Europa Conference League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Brighton and Tromso have met only 1 time recently, with 0.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.