Molde vs Tromso Prediction

Molde
3-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Tromso
Aker Stadion, Molde·Espen Eskas, Norway 16/08/2026
MoldeMolde
3-2
Finished
TromsoTromso

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.46
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+6.8%
Molde Rest
6 days
Tromso Rest
2 days

Molde vs Tromso: result, form and history

Molde beat Tromso 3-2 in the Eliteserien on 16 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Tromso had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Molde.

Molde have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game. Molde tend to win more corners, 6.2 a game to 4.0 for Tromso.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.04
X
30%3.65
2
26%3.30
Double Chance
1X
74%1.32
X2
57%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.53
No
42%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.4 = 2.88
Over 1.5
82%1.18
Over 2.5
58%1.62
Over 3.5
31%2.50
Under 1.5
18%4.45
Under 2.5
42%2.25
Under 3.5
69%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.36
Over 9.5
53%1.64
Over 10.5
43%2.03
Under 8.5
36%2.83
Under 9.5
47%2.13
Under 10.5
57%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2 = 4.6
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
39%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
61%-

Match Events

31'J. Haugaard INO. Lauvli out
35'M. Lovik
41'E. Hestad(Penalty)
46'L. O. Larsen INIeltsin Camoes out
50'S. Granaas
53'H. LarsenAssist: T. Nyhammer
55'O. Spiten-NysaeterAssist: J. Abdullai
60'J. Abdullai
70'I. Dahlqvist INS. Innvaer out
74'D. Daga INV. Bender out
75'J. Abdullai INT. Kone-Doherty out
75'M. Lovik INS. Kabini out
84'H. Larsen
85'T. Nyhammer IND. Braut out
85'L. Hien INC. Oyvann out
87'M. Linnes
90+2'O. Spiten-Nysaeter
90+4'M. Linnes INE. Haugan out
90+5'O. Spiten-Nysaeter INC. Zady out
90+8'Ieltsin CamoesAssist: S. Innvaer

Lineups

Molde
4-2-3-1Coach: Sindre Tjelmeland
Tromso
5-3-2Coach: Jorgen Vik
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.54
Albert Posiadała6.622A. Posiadała
Martin Linnes7.325M. Linnes
Sivert Sira Hansen7.04S. Sira Hansen
Birk Risa7.533B. Risa
Mathias Løvik7.08M. Løvik
Emil BreivikC6.210E. Breivik
Daniel Daga6.630D. Daga
Eirik Hestad7.65E. Hestad
Sondre Milian Granaas6.723S. Milian Granaas
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter7.221O. Spiten-Nysæter
Jalal Abdullai6.59J. Abdullai
Jakob Haugaard7.31J. Haugaard
Isak Dahlqvist7.217I. Dahlqvist
Isak Vadebu6.630I. Vadebu
Leon Hien6.221L. Hien
Mathias Tonnessen6.63M. Tonnessen
Alexander Warneryd5.329A. Warneryd
David Edvardsson6.95D. Edvardsson
Ruben JenssenC6.511R. Jenssen
Lars Olden Larsen6.27L. Olden Larsen
Troy Nyhammer7.210T. Nyhammer
Heine Asen Larsen7.322H. Asen Larsen

Molde Substitutes

12Peder Hoel Lervik
26Samukelo Kabini75'for M. Lovik6.9
45Noah Ljøen Bye
19Eirik Haugan90+4'for M. Linnes
28Viktor Bender74'for D. Daga6.3
11Caleb Zady Sery90+5'for O. Spiten-Nysaeter
17Mats Møller Dæhli
24Trent Kone Doherty75'for J. Abdullai6.6
44Igor Fabian Gosik

Tromso Substitutes

12Ole Lauvli31'for J. Haugaard5.5
20Ieltsin Camões6.2
27Mads Mikkelsen
25Casper Öyvann85'for L. Hien6.5
37Sander Innvær70'for I. Dahlqvist6.6
8Jesper Andreas Grundt
19Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu
9Daniel Braut85'for T. Nyhammer6.5
15Viktor Ekblom

Match Stats

MoldeTromso
55%Ball Possession45%
3Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
16Fouls12
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
621Total Passes515
530Passes Accurate413
85%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

MoldeMolde
TromsoTromso
1738Elo Rating 1652
3.87Attack 1.82
1.69Defense 1.13
69%Hit Rate 41%
20.8Shots per Game 15.9
10.6Shots on Target 5.3
6.2Corners per Game 4.0
2.3Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MoldeMolde
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
TromsoTromso
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MoldeMolde6Wins · 60%
Draws00%
TromsoTromso4Wins · 40%
3.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Eliteserien10/05/2026
TromsoMolde
20
Eliteserien24/08/2025
MoldeTromso
20
Eliteserien05/07/2025
TromsoMolde
10
Eliteserien28/09/2024
MoldeTromso
53
Eliteserien28/06/2024
TromsoMolde
02
Eliteserien30/10/2023
MoldeTromso
14
Eliteserien10/04/2023
TromsoMolde
10
Eliteserien01/10/2022
TromsoMolde
01
Eliteserien10/07/2022
MoldeTromso
51
Eliteserien16/10/2021
MoldeTromso
30

Recent Form

MoldeMolde
3W2D5L
09/08/2026
Kristiansund BKMolde
21
L
02/08/2026
MoldeSarpsborg 08 FF
33
D
26/07/2026
KFUM OsloMolde
24
W
18/07/2026
MoldeBrann
12
L
11/07/2026
AalesundMolde
22
D
05/07/2026
RosenborgMolde
21
L
28/06/2026
MoldeBodo/Glimt
14
L
21/06/2026
MoldeKFUM Oslo
51
W
30/05/2026
MoldeSandefjord
21
W
25/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
21
L

Referee Profile

Espen Eskas167 matches

3.57Cards per match
3.49Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Espen Eskas3.57
Other referees3.68

3.57 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.68).

Cards come from 151 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso25117743:38+540LLDDW
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8ValerengaValerenga25951143:46-332WWWLD
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2543:3840
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8ValerengaValerenga2543:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Molde vs Tromso forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Molde and Tromso in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Molde are 3rd and Tromso 6th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Molde 59-39, Tromso 43-38. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Molde have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.