Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction
England · Regular Season - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Brighton vs Aston Villa: result, form and history
Brighton beat Aston Villa 4-0 in the Premier League on 23 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Brighton had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Aston Villa.
Aston Villa have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Brighton
Avg ratingAvg rating
1B. Verbruggen
27M. Wieffer
44L. Vušković
C5L. Dunk
21O. Boscagli
13P. Groß
26Y. Ayari
25D. Gómez
8J. Hinshelwood
29M. De Cuyper
10G. Rutter
40M. Bizot
2M. Cash
3V. Lindelöf
14P. Torres
22I. Maatsen
8B. Kamara
35J. Gomes
C7J. McGinn
6R. Barkley
53G. Hemmings
10E. BuendíaBrighton Substitutes
Aston Villa Substitutes
Match Stats
BrightonAston Villa Team Comparison
BrightonAston VillaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Brighton- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Aston Villa- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.8 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Brighton1Wins · 10%8Wins · 80%Previous meetings
11/02/2026Aston VillaBrighton03/12/2025BrightonAston Villa02/04/2025BrightonAston Villa30/12/2024Aston VillaBrighton05/05/2024BrightonAston Villa30/09/2023Aston VillaBrighton28/05/2023Aston VillaBrighton13/11/2022BrightonAston Villa26/02/2022BrightonAston Villa20/11/2021Aston VillaBrightonRecent Form
Brighton
TromsoBrightonBrighton
BolognaBrighton
AS RomaBrighton
StrasbourgBrighton
Manchester United
LeedsBrightonBrighton
Wolves
NewcastleBrightonBrighton
Chelsea
TottenhamBrightonAston Villa
Borussia MönchengladbachAston Villa
Paris Saint GermainAston Villa
Bayern MünchenAston Villa
BG Pathum UnitedAston VillaAston Villa
Real Sociedad
FC PortoAston Villa
WalsallAston Villa
Manchester CityAston Villa
SC FreiburgAston VillaAston Villa
LiverpoolReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.00 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.71).
Cards come from 160 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24:7 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:15 | +4 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 15 | WWLWD |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | +1 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 11 | DDLDL |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 13 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | LLDDD |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 7 | LLLWD |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 | LDLLL |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 9 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 8 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Hull City | 9 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 7:17 | 5 |
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About the Brighton vs Aston Villa forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Brighton and Aston Villa in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Brighton are 3rd and Aston Villa 9th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Brighton 24-7, Aston Villa 10-13. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Aston Villa have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.