Aalesund vs Tromso Prediction

Aalesund
2-6
Finished
HT 1-1
Tromso
Color Line Stadion, Aalesund·Marius Grotta, Norway 02/08/2026
AalesundAalesund
2-6
Finished
TromsoTromso

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-1.5%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.85
SignalNEUTRALModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+6.9%
Aalesund Rest
6 days
Tromso Rest
2 days

Aalesund vs Tromso: the result in context

Tromso beat Aalesund 6-2 in the Eliteserien on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.6 a game across 5 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5. Aalesund tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 2.8 for Tromso.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.52
X
28%3.65
2
39%1.95
Double Chance
1X
61%1.80
X2
67%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.57
No
45%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.49 = 2.81
Over 1.5
82%1.20
Over 2.5
57%1.67
Over 3.5
31%2.62
Under 1.5
18%4.20
Under 2.5
43%2.15
Under 3.5
69%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5.4 = 10.2
Over 8.5
65%1.33
Over 9.5
58%1.57
Over 10.5
45%1.91
Under 8.5
35%2.88
Under 9.5
42%2.25
Under 10.5
55%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.6 = 3.8
Over 3.5
47%-
Over 4.5
31%-
Under 3.5
53%-
Under 4.5
69%-

Match Events

7'M. Tonnessen
9'D. EdvardssonAssist: T. Nyhammer
42'I. VadebuOG
44'Goal Disallowed - video reviewH. Melland
46'S. Haram INU. Syversen out
48'A. Thongla-Iad WarnerydAssist: L. O. Larsen
54'A. Thongla-Iad WarnerydAssist: I. Dahlqvist
59'E. OsenbrochAssist: H. Hammer
60'H. Hammer INE. Myrlid out
60'M. Andresen INK. Nesso out
69'A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
72'T. Nyhammer INIeltsin Camoes out
77'O. Gudmundsson INM. Kristensen out
77'K. Lonebu INI. Djantou out
81'H. LarsenAssist: D. Edvardsson
90'L. O. Larsen INJ. Grundt out
90+2'U. SyversenOG
90+3'A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd INS. Innvaer out
90+3'H. Larsen INA. L. Elvebu out

Lineups

Aalesund
5-3-2Coach: Kjetil-Andre Rekdal
Tromso
5-3-2Coach: Jorgen Vik
Avg rating6.36
Avg rating7.09
Luca Podlech4.91L. Podlech
Marius Andresen6.02M. Andresen
Simen Haram5.94S. Haram
Emil Engqvist5.722E. Engqvist
Ólafur Guðmundsson5.93Ó. Guðmundsson
Uba Charles6.714U. Charles
Hakon Butli Hammer7.36H. Butli Hammer
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen7.018E. Kristoffersen Hagen
Henrik MellandC6.98H. Melland
Kristian Lonebu6.939K. Lonebu
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch8.915E. Hjertager Osenbroch
Jakob Haugaard7.51J. Haugaard
Isak Dahlqvist6.317I. Dahlqvist
Isak Vadebu6.230I. Vadebu
Vetle Skjaervik6.94V. Skjaervik
Mathias Tonnessen6.73M. Tonnessen
Alexander Warneryd9.029A. Warneryd
David Edvardsson8.95D. Edvardsson
Ruben JenssenC6.311R. Jenssen
Lars Olden Larsen6.37L. Olden Larsen
Heine Asen Larsen7.922H. Asen Larsen
Troy Nyhammer6.210T. Nyhammer

Aalesund Substitutes

25Ulrik Syversen4.6
7Kristoffer Nessø60'for M. Andresen6.0
17Elias Heggland Myrlid60'replaced by H. Hammer6.2
10Mathias Kristensen6.2
20Ivan Djantou77'for K. Lonebu6.6
26Tor Erik Larsen
45Philip Sandvik Aukland
16Jakob Nyland Örsahl
11Davíð Snær Jóhannsson

Tromso Substitutes

20Ieltsin Camões6.9
8Jesper Andreas Grundt90'for L. O. Larsen
37Sander Innvær90+3'for A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
19Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu90+3'for H. Larsen
12Ole Lauvli
27Mads Mikkelsen
25Casper Öyvann
16Benjamin Myrvold
9Daniel Braut

Match Stats

AalesundTromso
53%Ball Possession47%
9Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal6
10Shots off Goal4
15Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box3
9Blocked Shots2
14Fouls14
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
488Total Passes450
415Passes Accurate363
85%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

AalesundAalesund
TromsoTromso
1575Elo Rating 1622
2.41Attack 1.19
0.80Defense 0.57
39%Hit Rate 23%
15.4Shots per Game 11.1
5.3Shots on Target 2.6
6.6Corners per Game 2.8
2.5Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AalesundAalesund
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TromsoTromso
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

AalesundAalesund1Wins · 20%
Draws360%
TromsoTromso1Wins · 20%
3.6Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored5 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Eliteserien25/05/2026
TromsoAalesund
11
Eliteserien08/10/2023
TromsoAalesund
12
Eliteserien11/06/2023
AalesundTromso
23
Eliteserien13/11/2022
TromsoAalesund
22
Eliteserien18/04/2022
AalesundTromso
22

Recent Form

AalesundAalesund
3W5D2L
26/07/2026
AalesundViking
11
D
16/07/2026
ValerengaAalesund
61
L
11/07/2026
AalesundMolde
22
D
27/06/2026
Kristiansund BKAalesund
03
W
29/05/2026
AalesundHam-Kam
22
D
25/05/2026
TromsoAalesund
11
D
20/05/2026
AalesundBrann
21
W
16/05/2026
RosenborgAalesund
23
W
03/05/2026
SandefjordAalesund
10
L
26/04/2026
AalesundKristiansund BK
11
D
TromsoTromso
3W3D4L
30/07/2026
Hradec KrálovéTromso
31
L
23/07/2026
TromsoHradec Králové
01
L
18/07/2026
Ham-KamTromso
14
W
11/07/2026
TromsoValerenga
40
W
29/05/2026
KFUM OsloTromso
00
D
25/05/2026
TromsoAalesund
11
D
16/05/2026
Bodo/GlimtTromso
50
L
10/05/2026
TromsoMolde
20
W
03/05/2026
StartTromso
11
D
29/04/2026
TromsoBrann
05
L

Referee Profile

Marius Grotta119 matches

3.50Cards per match
3.39Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marius Grotta3.50
Other referees3.29

3.50 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.29).

Cards come from 98 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking26202469:27+4262WLWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt26202463:23+4062WWLWW
3RosenborgRosenborg26144853:32+2146WWWWD
4LillestromLillestrom26143939:35+445WWWWD
5MoldeMolde26135864:44+2044DLWWD
6TromsoTromso26117843:40+340LLLDD
7BrannBrann261031347:44+333DWLLL
8ValerengaValerenga25951143:46-332WWWLD
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF26871132:42-1031LLWLW
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo26871133:46-1331LDDDW
11Ham-KamHam-Kam26861238:53-1530WDLLW
12FredrikstadFredrikstad26861231:46-1530DLLLD
13SandefjordSandefjord26771231:39-828DWLLD
14AalesundAalesund26591245:60-1524LLLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart26541727:59-3219LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2669:2762
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2663:2362
3RosenborgRosenborg2653:3246
4LillestromLillestrom2639:3545
5MoldeMolde2664:4444
6TromsoTromso2643:4040
7BrannBrann2647:4433
8ValerengaValerenga2543:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2632:4231
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2633:4631
11Ham-KamHam-Kam2638:5330
12FredrikstadFredrikstad2631:4630
13SandefjordSandefjord2631:3928
14AalesundAalesund2645:6024
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2627:5919
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Aalesund vs Tromso forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aalesund and Tromso in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Tromso are 6th and Aalesund 14th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Aalesund 45-60, Tromso 43-40. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.