Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 9
Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga· Carlos Ortega 18/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.62SignalGOODModel62%RiskMediumGap+3.3%
Bucaramanga Rest
4 days
Independiente Medellin Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%2.15
X30%3.25
231%3.30
Double Chance
1X69%1.30
X261%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.80
No46%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.03 = 2.17
Over 1.571%1.33
Over 2.545%2.06
Over 3.524%3.64
Under 1.529%3.10
Under 2.555%1.72
Under 3.576%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.1 = 9.1
Over 8.558%1.88
Over 9.545%2.31
Over 10.534%3.15
Under 8.542%1.84
Under 9.555%1.50
Under 10.566%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.9 = 5.8
Over 3.583%-
Over 4.569%-
Under 3.517%-
Under 4.531%-
Match Events
16'Fabián SambuezaViolent conduct
21'Yony GonzálezFoul
26'Luciano PonsAssist: Emerson Batalla
39'Esneyder MenaFoul
40'Felix CharrupiAssist: Luciano Pons
45+4'Jeison MedinaAssist: Didier Moreno
45'Esneyder Mena INHayen Palacios out
45'Yony González INCarlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez out
45'Jhan Carlos Mena Hinestroza INDaniel Cataño out
49'Penalty confirmedJohn Montano
51'Juan Quintero(Penalty)
71'John Montano INKeiner David Klinger Vasquez out
72'Carlos RomañaFoul
76'Goal cancelledKeiner David Klinger Vasquez
79'Fredy Hinestroza INAdrián Murillo out
79'Nilson Castrillón INMartín Rea out
86'Luciano Pons INBrandon·Caicedo out
86'Emerson Batalla INLeonardo Flores out
86'Brandon·CaicedoFoul
90+4'Keiner David Klinger VasquezFoul
Lineups
BucaramangaIndependiente Medellin
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Perea
25C. FiermarínC. Fiermarín
19A. GutiérrezA. Gutiérrez
6N. CastrillónN. Castrillón
23C. RomañaC. Romaña
24J. OrtizJ. Ortiz
8F. HinestrozaF. Hinestroza
10F. SambuezaF. Sambueza
21F. CharrupíF. Charrupí
17E. BatallaE. Batalla
22F. CastroF. Castro
27L. PonsL. Pons
25E. ChauxE. Chaux
26E. MenaE. Mena
4K. MantillaK. Mantilla
5J. VarelaJ. Varela
13J. MenaJ. Mena
21A. MarteganiA. Martegani
6D. MorenoD. Moreno
11Y. GonzálezY. González
8J. QuinteroJ. Quintero
20J. MontañoJ. Montaño
9J. MedinaJ. MedinaBucaramanga Substitutes
28L. FloresM
30V. CantilloM
9B. CaicedoF
7K. LondoñoM
5A. MurriloF
12D. NovoaG
3M. ReaD
11F. SalazarF
18Emmanuel LargachaD
Independiente Medellin Substitutes
14B. PerlazaM
10D. CatañoM
24N. ErazoM
39L. EscorciaD
1S. IchazoG
34K. KlingerM
16H. LoboaM
32C. LucumiF
30H. PalaciosD
Match Stats
BucaramangaIndependiente Medellin 32%Ball Possession68%
1Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal8
3Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
13Fouls16
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
215Total Passes462
148Passes Accurate402
14Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
BucaramangaIndependiente Medellin1563Elo Rating 1638
1.84Attack 2.33
1.76Defense 1.67
37%Hit Rate 50%
8.8Shots per Game 14.5
3.7Shots on Target 5.6
1.1Corners per Game 4.5
3.1Cards per Game 3.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend44% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Bucaramanga- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
Independiente Medellin- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Bucaramanga 46%Draw 0%54% Independiente Medellin
2.85Avg Goals
44%BTTS Rate
66%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Bucaramanga2W3D0L
Independiente Medellin3W0D2L
13/09/2026
ChicoIndependiente Medellin
ChicoIndependiente Medellin21
L10/09/2026
Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin
Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin14
W04/09/2026
Deportivo PereiraIndependiente Medellin
Deportivo PereiraIndependiente Medellin03
W30/08/2026Independiente Medellin
Llaneros
23/08/2026Independiente MedellinLlaneros21
WIndependiente Medellin
Cucuta01
LLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWLW |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WLWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | LWLLD |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | DDDWD |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DDWLD |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | LWWLW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | DDWLD |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DWLWD |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | WWDDD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DDLLW |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | WDLWL |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LLWLW |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DDLLD |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LLLWL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | LLWDL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LDDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:5 | +15 | 20 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Millonarios | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 19 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | +11 | 18 | LWWLW |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | +6 | 17 | WWDDD |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | +6 | 16 | LWLLD |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 16 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 | WLWDL |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | 15 | DDWLD |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | +1 | 12 | WWWLW |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 | DWLWD |
| 11 | Llaneros | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 | DDLLW |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 | DDDWD |
| 13 | Cucuta | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 9 | LLWDL |
| 14 | Fortaleza FC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Pasto | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 | WWDDW |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 | DDLLD |
| 17 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 | LLLWL |
| 18 | Jaguares | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 | LDDLL |
| 20 | Junior | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 6 | WLWLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 9 | 20:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Millonarios | 11 | 15:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional | 7 | 17:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 9 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 9 | 16:10 | 16 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 8 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 9 | 14:8 | 15 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 10 | 13:12 | 12 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 8 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 9 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 11 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Cucuta | 10 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Fortaleza FC | 10 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pasto | 10 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 10 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 17 | Chico | 9 | 7:18 | 8 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 8 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 8 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 20 | Junior | 8 | 12:14 | 6 |
Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera A
ScorePredicts covers Colombia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Bucaramanga have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Bucaramanga and Independiente Medellin have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.85 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.