Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta Prediction

Primera AColombia Colombia · Clausura - 6
Independiente Medellin
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Cucuta
Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin·Diego Ulloa Angulo, Colombia 23/08/2026
Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
0-1
Finished
CucutaCucuta

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.64
SignalGOODModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+13.8%
Independiente Medellin Rest
18 days
Cucuta Rest
3 days

Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta: result, form and history

Cucuta beat Independiente Medellin 1-0 in the Primera A on 23 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Independiente Medellin had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Cucuta.

Independiente Medellin have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Independiente Medellin tend to win more corners, 8.3 a game to 4.7 for Cucuta.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.30
X
19%5.05
2
14%9.05
Double Chance
1X
86%1.06
X2
33%3.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%2.10
No
44%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 0.9 = 2.41
Over 1.5
73%1.21
Over 2.5
47%1.68
Over 3.5
25%2.67
Under 1.5
27%4.10
Under 2.5
53%2.06
Under 3.5
75%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.9 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.44
Over 9.5
40%1.77
Over 10.5
29%2.15
Under 8.5
45%2.56
Under 9.5
60%1.96
Under 10.5
71%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 3 = 5.1
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
55%1.32
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
45%2.90

Match Events

22'Y. Abonia
25'J. PeraltaAssist: Neneco
45+3'J. Peralta
46'J. Mena INF. Fabra out
46'D. Catano INJ. Quintero out
46'Y. Abonia INS. Tamara out
56'M. B. Carabali Lopez INJ. Ceballos out
66'V. Mejia INK. Tamayo out
75'J. Peralta INJ. Agudelo out
75'L. Berdugo ING. Torres out
81'Yony Gonzalez IND. Moreno out
81'J. Medina INC. Lucumi out
85'Goal Disallowed - offsideC. Lucumi

Match Stats

Independiente MedellinCucuta
64%Ball Possession36%
6Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards2
8Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box3
14Shots Outside Box4
12Fouls12
1Goalkeeper Saves8
520Total Passes286

Team Comparison

Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
CucutaCucuta
1567Elo Rating 1504
1.24Attack 0.77
0.90Defense 1.96
27%Hit Rate 58%
11.9Shots per Game 10.4
3.8Shots on Target 3.5
8.3Corners per Game 4.7
3.0Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CucutaCucuta
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin3Wins · 75%
Draws00%
CucutaCucuta1Wins · 25%
2.8Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Copa Colombia02/06/2026
Independiente MedellinCucuta
21
Primera A10/02/2026
CucutaIndependiente Medellin
13
Copa Colombia06/10/2023
Independiente MedellinCucuta
12
Copa Colombia29/09/2023
CucutaIndependiente Medellin
01

Recent Form

Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
5W3D2L
05/08/2026
Deportes TolimaIndependiente Medellin
23
W02/08/2026
Independiente MedellinDeportivo Cali
10
W30/07/2026
Vasco DA GamaIndependiente Medellin
10
L25/07/2026
Independiente MedellinDeportivo Pasto
32
W23/07/2026
Independiente MedellinVasco DA Gama
22
D
02/06/2026
Independiente MedellinCucuta
21
W
30/05/2026
Leones FCIndependiente Medellin
11
D
27/05/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente Medellin
10
L
21/05/2026
CuscoIndependiente Medellin
23
W
16/05/2026
OrsomarsoIndependiente Medellin
11
D
CucutaCucuta
0W6D4L
20/08/2026
CucutaInternacional de Bogota
11
D08/08/2026
Fortaleza FCCucuta
20
L04/08/2026
BucaramangaCucuta
11
D27/07/2026
Once CaldasCucuta
51
L
02/06/2026
Independiente MedellinCucuta
21
L
29/05/2026
CucutaFortaleza FC
00
D
16/05/2026
CucutaLeones FC
00
D
10/05/2026
OrsomarsoCucuta
11
D
02/05/2026
JaguaresCucuta
20
L
24/04/2026
CucutaJunior
11
D

Referee Profile

Diego Ulloa Angulo131 matches

5.88Cards per match
5.58Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Diego Ulloa Angulo5.88
Other referees5.85

5.88 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.85).

Cards come from 102 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040LWWWD
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735DWWLW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434LWWDL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWWLW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DWDDD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LWLDW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729WWDDL
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028WLWDL
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427WLDWW
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826WLDLD
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWWLD
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526DLLWL
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623DLWLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DLDWD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LLWDD
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318DLLWL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417DLLWD
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LLWLW
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316DLWDW
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710WLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional18123337:17+2039LWWWD
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali18106231:12+1936LWWLW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1897226:10+1634WLDWW
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1888230:17+1332DLWLL
5Santa FeSanta Fe1894528:18+1031WWDDL
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1892728:25+329WWWLD
7MillonariosMillonarios1869325:16+927WLDLD
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1876522:18+427DWDDD
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1875623:21+226LWLDW
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1867522:21+125DLLWL
11CucutaCucuta1873819:26-724DLWDW
12LlanerosLlaneros1872921:24-323DLDWD
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1848622:25-320WLWDL
14JuniorJunior1847725:27-219DWWLW
15ChicoChico1854915:29-1419LLWLW
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar18531018:31-1318DLLWD
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1838716:26-1017WLDLL
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto18431113:29-1615LWWDL
19JaguaresJaguares18341117:35-1813DLLWL
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1819817:28-1112LLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1837:1739
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1831:1236
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1826:1034
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1830:1732
5Santa FeSanta Fe1828:1831
6Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1828:2529
7MillonariosMillonarios1825:1627
8Once CaldasOnce Caldas1822:1827
9Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1823:2126
10Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1822:2125
11CucutaCucuta1819:2624
12LlanerosLlaneros1821:2423
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1822:2520
14JuniorJunior1825:2719
15ChicoChico1815:2919
16Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1818:3118
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1816:2617
18Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1813:2915
19JaguaresJaguares1817:3513
20Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1817:2812

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About the Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Independiente Medellin and Cucuta in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Independiente Medellin are 11th and Cucuta 19th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Independiente Medellin 26-24, Cucuta 22-35. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.