Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga Prediction

Primera AColombia Colombia · Clausura - 6
Deportes Tolima
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Bucaramanga
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague· Bismark Elias Santiago Pitalua, Colombia 22/08/2026
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
0-0
Finished
BucaramangaBucaramanga

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel53%RiskMediumGap-1.7%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.74
SignalGOODModel50%RiskMediumGap+12.7%
Deportes Tolima Rest
3 days
Bucaramanga Rest
13 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%2.30
X
27%2.97
2
21%3.27
Double Chance
1X
79%1.30
X2
48%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.92
No
44%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 0.86 = 2.38
Over 1.5
72%1.40
Over 2.5
45%2.29
Over 3.5
23%4.10
Under 1.5
28%2.67
Under 2.5
55%1.59
Under 3.5
77%1.19
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
63%1.72
Over 9.5
52%2.12
Over 10.5
35%2.74
Under 8.5
37%2.00
Under 9.5
48%1.64
Under 10.5
65%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 3.1 = 5.5
Over 3.5
79%-
Over 4.5
66%1.36
Under 3.5
21%-
Under 4.5
34%2.65

Match Events

3'L. Flores
21'Goal Disallowed - offsideJ. Ortiz
46'L. Flores INFabry out
57'S. Guzman
65'F. Charrupi INA. Zarate out
66'L. Pons INK. Londono out
66'S. Guzman INJ. Mosquera out
66'L. Sanchez INK. Florez out
76'J. Garcia
77'S. Aguayo INJ. Valencia out
80'F. Hinestroza INJ. Salazar out
80'N. Castrillon INA. Gutierrez out
90'J. Hernandez IND. Pedrozo out
90'H. E. Martinez Yepez
90+1'D. Pedrozo
90+1'S. Oliveros
90+2'A. Zarate
90+4'F. Sambueza

Match Stats

Deportes TolimaBucaramanga
59%Ball Possession41%
6Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards4
3Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box1
5Shots Outside Box6
13Fouls18
1Goalkeeper Saves3
475Total Passes332

Team Comparison

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
BucaramangaBucaramanga
1625Elo Rating 1562
1.01Attack 1.68
1.81Defense 2.03
42%Hit Rate 44%
12.3Shots per Game 13.2
4.3Shots on Target 5.0
5.5Corners per Game 1.5
2.9Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BucaramangaBucaramanga
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Deportes Tolima 14%Draw 69%17% Bucaramanga
0.75Avg Goals
14%BTTS Rate
14%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
2W0D3L
19/08/2026
Deportes TolimaIndependiente del Valle
01
L09/08/2026
Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota
21
W05/08/2026
Deportes TolimaIndependiente Medellin
23
L01/08/2026
Alianza ValleduparDeportes Tolima
12
W29/07/2026
QuindioDeportes Tolima
4221
L
BucaramangaBucaramanga
2W2D1L
09/08/2026
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
23
W04/08/2026
BucaramangaCucuta
11
D31/07/2026
BucaramangaLlaneros
11
D26/07/2026
MillonariosBucaramanga
01
W
24/05/2026
Alianza ValleduparBucaramanga
21
L

Referee Profile

Bismark Elias Santiago Pitalua, Colombia · 24 matches analysed

5.3Avg Yellows
5.6Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 94% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040LWWLW
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735LWLWW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434WDDWD
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWWLW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933WWLWD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031WLWDL
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729WLLDW
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028DDWDW
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWLDW
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826WWLWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226DDWLD
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526WLWDW
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623WDDDW
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DDLLW
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DLWLD
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318LLWLW
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417DLLDD
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LLWLL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316LWDLL
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710DDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1America de CaliAmerica de Cali962120:5+1520LWWLW
2Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional760117:6+1118LWWLW
3Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin851215:10+516DDWLD
4MillonariosMillonarios1044212:8+416WWLWW
5Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima951312:10+216WLWDL
6BucaramangaBucaramanga835012:8+414WDDDW
7Santa FeSanta Fe834112:9+313WLLDW
8Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali833211:8+312DWLDW
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas933313:11+212WWLWD
10LlanerosLlaneros932411:12-111DDLLW
11Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1025313:15-211DDWDW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas724110:10010WLWDW
13CucutaCucuta92349:15-69LWDLL
14Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC915310:12-28DLWLD
15Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar92258:16-88DLLDD
16ChicoChico82247:15-88LLWLL
17JaguaresJaguares81439:14-57LLWLW
18Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira71334:9-56DDLLD
19Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto91268:15-75WDDWD
20JuniorJunior70348:13-53LWLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1America de CaliAmerica de Cali920:520
2Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional717:618
3Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin815:1016
4MillonariosMillonarios1012:816
5Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima912:1016
6BucaramangaBucaramanga812:814
7Santa FeSanta Fe812:913
8Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali811:812
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas913:1112
10LlanerosLlaneros911:1211
11Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1013:1511
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas710:1010
13CucutaCucuta99:159
14Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC910:128
15Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar98:168
16ChicoChico87:158
17JaguaresJaguares89:147
18Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira74:96
19Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto98:155
20JuniorJunior78:133

Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera A

ScorePredicts covers Colombia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Deportes Tolima and Bucaramanga have met 5 times recently, averaging 0.75 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.