Burnley vs West Ham Prediction

Burnley
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
West Ham
Turf Moor, Burnley· Josh Smith, England 16/08/2026
BurnleyBurnley
2-2
Finished
West HamWest Ham

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.39
SignalGOODModel36%RiskMediumGap+8.1%
Burnley Rest
8 days
West Ham Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.22
X
26%3.40
2
41%2.16
Double Chance
1X
60%1.67
X2
67%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.61
No
49%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.27 = 2.44
Over 1.5
70%1.24
Over 2.5
47%1.78
Over 3.5
25%2.90
Under 1.5
30%3.90
Under 2.5
53%2.00
Under 3.5
75%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.5 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.51
Over 9.5
51%1.88
Over 10.5
40%2.40
Under 8.5
42%2.40
Under 9.5
49%1.85
Under 10.5
60%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
55%1.71
Over 4.5
35%2.20
Under 3.5
45%2.11
Under 4.5
65%1.62

Match Events

10'M. KilmanAssist: J. Bowen
33'M. KanteFoul
46'Pablo INJ. Ward-Prowse out
57'U. Raghouber INJ. Laurent out
57'H. Mejbri INZ. Amdouni out
67'T. CastellanosFoul
72'M. Solomon
76'A. Ramsey INA. Broja out
76'B. Humphreys INLucas Pires out
82'J. Bruun Larsen INM. Tresor Ndayishimiye out
83'Z. Flemming(Penalty)
84'M. HermansenUnsportsmanlike conduct
87'O. Scarles INM. Diouf out
89'M. Solomon INJ. Veltman out
90+2'Z. FlemmingAssist: M. Alleyne
90+5'M. DioufFoul

Lineups

Burnley
4-2-3-1Coach: Nicky Hayen
West Ham
4-4-2Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
Max Weiss1M. WeissMax Weiss
Oliver Sonne22O. SonneOliver Sonne
Kyle Walker2K. WalkerKyle Walker
Max Alleyne3M. AlleyneMax Alleyne
Bashir Humphreys6B. HumphreysBashir Humphreys
Hannibal Mejbri28H. MejbriHannibal Mejbri
Ugo Raghouber8U. RaghouberUgo Raghouber
Marcus Edwards10M. EdwardsMarcus Edwards
Aaron Ramsey21A. RamseyAaron Ramsey
Jacob Bruun Larsen7J. Bruun LarsenJacob Bruun Larsen
Zian Flemming19Z. FlemmingZian Flemming
Mads Hermansen1M. HermansenMads Hermansen
Kyle Walker-Peters2K. Walker-PetersKyle Walker-Peters
Konstantinos Mavropanos15K. MavropanosKonstantinos Mavropanos
Max Kilman3M. KilmanMax Kilman
Oliver Scarles30O. ScarlesOliver Scarles
Jarrod Bowen20J. BowenJarrod Bowen
Lewis Orford61L. OrfordLewis Orford
Mohamadou Kanté17M. KantéMohamadou Kanté
Manor Solomon10M. SolomonManor Solomon
Pablo Felipe19P. FelipePablo Felipe
Valentín Castellanos11V. CastellanosValentín Castellanos

Burnley Substitutes

29Josh LaurentM
11Zeki AmdouniF
13Ben AmosG
4Joe WorrallD
23Lucas PiresD
20Shurandy SamboD
31Mike TrésorF
17Andreas HountondjiF
27Armando BrojaF

West Ham Substitutes

8James Ward-ProwseM
23Alphonse AréolaG
58Airidas GolambeckisD
12El Hadji Malick DioufD
63Ezra MayersD
34Joël VeltmanD
40George EarthyM
66Joshua AjalaF
48Josh LandersF

Match Stats

BurnleyWest Ham
46%Ball Possession54%
6Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards4
18Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal2
12Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box10
9Shots Outside Box1
1Blocked Shots6
12Fouls9
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
379Total Passes458
315Passes Accurate397
83%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

BurnleyBurnley
West HamWest Ham
1590Elo Rating 1810
1.00Attack 3.69
0.84Defense 2.07
0%Hit Rate 86%
15.6Shots per Game 16.0
4.2Shots on Target 6.6
5.0Corners per Game 5.1
2.2Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend73% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BurnleyBurnley
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
West HamWest Ham
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 1.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Burnley 0%Draw 34%66% West Ham
3.24Avg Goals
73%BTTS Rate
59%Over 2.5

Recent Form

BurnleyBurnley
1W1D3L
08/08/2026
BurnleyNotts County
4131
W
02/08/2026
BurnleyTorino
01
L
29/07/2026
BurnleyEspanyol
22
D
26/07/2026
AjaxBurnley
21
L
16/07/2026
Real Salt LakeBurnley
41
L
West HamWest Ham
2W3D0L
08/08/2026
West HamPortsmouth
31
W
01/08/2026
1. FC MagdeburgWest Ham
11
D
26/07/2026
RangersWest Ham
00
D
22/07/2026
StevenageWest Ham
05
W
18/07/2026
SouthendWest Ham
11
D

Referee Profile

Josh Smith, England · 32 matches analysed

4.1Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
21.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 42% of referees analysed

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1West HamWest Ham742120:9+1114WWWWD
2SwanseaSwansea742111:5+614WLDWW
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough742114:10+414DWWDW
4West BromWest Brom742110:7+314DWWDL
5QPRQPR73318:5+312DDLWW
6CharltonCharlton73316:7-112DDLDW
7WolvesWolves632114:10+411WDLWW
8LincolnLincoln73226:6011WWDDW
9SouthamptonSouthampton742118:8+1010WWDDW
10BirminghamBirmingham724110:9+110WLDDW
11MillwallMillwall731313:13010DLWLL
12Stoke CityStoke City731311:11010WDWWL
13Bristol CityBristol City731310:12-210LLWWW
14NorwichNorwich730413:1309LWWLW
15Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd72328:9-19LWLWD
16BlackburnBlackburn722310:1008WLLDL
17WatfordWatford72237:9-28LWLLD
18PortsmouthPortsmouth62137:8-17DWLLW
19WrexhamWrexham71427:11-47LDDWL
20BoltonBolton72147:12-57WLLLL
21CardiffCardiff70437:11-44LDLLD
22DerbyDerby71156:13-74LLLWL
23PrestonPreston71066:13-73LLWLL
24BurnleyBurnley70348:16-83LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1West HamWest Ham720:914
2SwanseaSwansea711:514
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough714:1014
4West BromWest Brom710:714
5QPRQPR78:512
6CharltonCharlton76:712
7WolvesWolves614:1011
8LincolnLincoln76:611
9SouthamptonSouthampton718:810
10BirminghamBirmingham710:910
11MillwallMillwall713:1310
12Stoke CityStoke City711:1110
13Bristol CityBristol City710:1210
14NorwichNorwich713:139
15Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd78:99
16BlackburnBlackburn710:108
17WatfordWatford77:98
18PortsmouthPortsmouth67:87
19WrexhamWrexham77:117
20BoltonBolton77:127
21CardiffCardiff77:114
22DerbyDerby76:134
23PrestonPreston76:133
24BurnleyBurnley78:163
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Burnley vs West Ham Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Championship

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

West Ham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Burnley and West Ham have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.24 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.