Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction

Cagliari
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Lecce
Unipol Domus, Cagliari· J. L. Sacchi 07/09/2026
CagliariCagliari
1-0
Finished
LecceLecce

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.89
SignalHIGHModel57%RiskMediumGap+5.6%
Cagliari Rest
3 days
Lecce Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.09
X
30%3.20
2
28%3.98
Double Chance
1X
72%1.25
X2
58%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%1.91
No
61%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.1 = 2.28
Over 1.5
58%1.40
Over 2.5
34%2.22
Over 3.5
9%4.10
Under 1.5
42%3.00
Under 2.5
66%1.66
Under 3.5
91%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.7 = 8.9
Over 8.5
51%1.61
Over 9.5
36%2.00
Over 10.5
25%2.61
Under 8.5
49%2.20
Under 9.5
64%1.74
Under 10.5
75%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.89
Over 4.5
37%2.80
Under 3.5
43%1.85
Under 4.5
63%1.38

Match Events

29'Daniel MaldiniAssist: Jacopo Fazzini
37'Kialonda GasparFoul
45'Oumar Ngom INAmar Fatah out
61'Jacopo Fazzini INMattia Felici out
66'Juan Rodriguez INRaphael Kofler out
66'Daniel Maldini INAlieu Fadera out
66'Kialonda Gaspar INJamil Siebert out
66'Ivan Ilić INYoussef Maleh out
66'Joel Almada Monteiro INKonan N'Dri out
74'Mattia Felici INRoberto Gagliardini out
74'Paul Mendy INA. Sugamele out
82'Santiago Pierotti INMedon Berisha out
90+5'Alessandro DeiolaArgument
90+5'Jamil SiebertArgument
90+7'Wladimiro FalconeArgument

Lineups

Cagliari
4-3-2-1Coach: F. Pisacane
Lecce
4-1-4-1Coach: E. Di Francesco
E. Caprile1E. CaprileE. Caprile
Zé Pedro2Z. PedroZé Pedro
A. Deiola14A. DeiolaA. Deiola
J. Rodríguez15J. RodríguezJ. Rodríguez
A. Obert33A. ObertA. Obert
M. Adopo8M. AdopoM. Adopo
A. Romano4A. RomanoA. Romano
H. Winks6H. WinksH. Winks
D. Maldini70D. MaldiniD. Maldini
J. Fazzini10J. FazziniJ. Fazzini
P. Mendy31P. MendyP. Mendy
W. Falcone30W. FalconeW. Falcone
Danilo Veiga17D. VeigaDanilo Veiga
Kialonda Gaspar4K. GasparKialonda Gaspar
Tiago Gabriel44T. GabrielTiago Gabriel
A. Gallo25A. GalloA. Gallo
I. Ilić20I. IlićI. Ilić
S. Pierotti50S. PierottiS. Pierotti
O. Ngom79O. NgomO. Ngom
L. Coulibaly29L. CoulibalyL. Coulibaly
Joël Monteiro99J. MonteiroJoël Monteiro
N. Štulić9N. ŠtulićN. Štulić

Cagliari Substitutes

17M. FeliciF
30A. AkarakiriM
24G. AurelioD
20R. CiervoF
39A. FaderaF
21Roberto GagliardiniM
36N. GranduM
22R. KoflerD
27J. LitetaM
79Y. MassolinM
23B. RadunovićG
12A. SherriG
32Ivan Stoyanov SulevM
35A. SugameleF

Lecce Substitutes

5J. SiebertD
31E. ScottD
33P. PenevG
16O. GandelmanM
11K. N’DriF
3C. NdabaD
14Y. MalehM
18G. JeanD
28Olaf GorterM
8S. FofanaM
7A. Ahmed FatahF
22Paco EstebanF
2A. DembéléD
1M. BleveG
10M. BerishaM

Match Stats

CagliariLecce
42%Ball Possession58%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
20Total Shots10
9Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box4
9Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots3
9Fouls13
5Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves8
372Total Passes517
304Passes Accurate425
13Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

CagliariCagliari
LecceLecce
1726Elo Rating 1677
1.10Attack 1.14
2.18Defense 1.17
64%Hit Rate 44%
11.6Shots per Game 10.1
4.6Shots on Target 3.5
4.8Corners per Game 4.2
1.4Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CagliariCagliari
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LecceLecce
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Cagliari 42%Draw 14%44% Lecce
2.65Avg Goals
56%BTTS Rate
42%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

J. L. Sacchi · 7 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 63% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AS RomaAS Roma440012:1+1112WWWW
2InterInter440013:6+712WWWW
3ComoComo43109:4+510WWWD
4LazioLazio43106:3+310DWWW
5CagliariCagliari43014:2+29WWLW
6AC MilanAC Milan42207:4+38DDWW
7FrosinoneFrosinone42117:4+37DWWL
8JuventusJuventus42116:4+27LDWW
9SassuoloSassuolo42118:7+17WDWL
10NapoliNapoli42026:5+16WLLW
11AtalantaAtalanta42025:506LLWW
12LecceLecce42025:7-26WLLW
13UdineseUdinese41128:10-24LLWD
14TorinoTorino41034:7-33LWLL
15FiorentinaFiorentina41035:11-63WLLL
16BolognaBologna40132:5-31LDLL
17ParmaParma40132:6-41LDLL
18MonzaMonza40136:11-51LDLL
19GenoaGenoa40132:8-61DLLL
20VeneziaVenezia40044:11-70LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AS RomaAS Roma412:112
2InterInter413:612
3ComoComo49:410
4LazioLazio46:310
5CagliariCagliari44:29
6AC MilanAC Milan47:48
7FrosinoneFrosinone47:47
8JuventusJuventus46:47
9SassuoloSassuolo48:77
10NapoliNapoli46:56
11AtalantaAtalanta45:56
12LecceLecce45:76
13UdineseUdinese48:104
14TorinoTorino44:73
15FiorentinaFiorentina45:113
16BolognaBologna42:51
17ParmaParma42:61
18MonzaMonza46:111
19GenoaGenoa42:81
20VeneziaVenezia44:110
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

ScorePredicts covers Italy football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Cagliari and Lecce have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.65 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.