Parma vs Cagliari Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.71
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
Parma Rest
8 days
Cagliari Rest
8 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%2.61
X31%3.00
230%3.00
Double Chance
1X70%1.38
X261%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%2.00
No51%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.14 = 2.33
Over 1.569%1.45
Over 2.541%2.46
Over 3.514%4.58
Under 1.531%2.67
Under 2.559%1.55
Under 3.586%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.6 = 9
Over 8.558%1.70
Over 9.546%2.08
Over 10.534%2.71
Under 8.542%2.07
Under 9.554%1.66
Under 10.566%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.4
Over 3.563%1.71
Over 4.540%2.32
Under 3.537%2.08
Under 4.560%1.58
Match Events
10'J. PedroFoul
58'J. FazziniTripping
66'A. Bernabe INP. Almqvist out
66'J. Pedro ING. Zappa out
66'J. Fazzini INM. Felici out
66'P. Mendy ING. Borrelli out
75'M. Keita INR. Kouda out
75'S. Lontani INO. Diallo out
79'A. RomanoAssist: M. Adopo
85'A. Konate INN. Elphege out
85'M. Troilo INB. Cremaschi out
87'A. Obert ING. Aurelio out
87'D. Maldini INK. Mutandwa out
Lineups
ParmaCagliari
4-2-3-1Coach: Fabio PisacaneAvg ratingAvg rating
40E. Corvi
C15E. Delprato
37M. Troilo
3A. Ndiaye
14E. Valeri
10A. Bernabé
47A. Konate
32C. Ordoñez
16M. Keita
19E. Bilal Touré
76S. Lontani
1E. Caprile
2Z. Pedro
C14A. Deiola
15J. Rodríguez
33A. Obert
4A. Romano
6H. Winks
8M. Adopo
70D. Maldini
10J. Fazzini
31P. MendyParma Substitutes
75Alessandro Mazzocchi
30Giovanni Daffara
5Lautaro Valenti
72Dominik Drobnic
24Oliver Sørensen
80Rachid Kouda75'for M. Keita
8Benjamin Cremaschi85'for M. Troilo
29Franco Carboni
11Pontus Almqvist66'for A. Bernabe
9David Romero
25Thomas de Martis
7Ousmane Diallo
23Nesta Elphege85'for A. Konate
20Matija Frigan
Cagliari Substitutes
23Boris Radunović
12Alen Sherri
26Yerry Mina
28Gabriele Zappa66'for J. Pedro
22Raphael Kofler
24Giuseppe Aurelio87'for A. Obert
21Nicolò Cavuoti
32Ivan Sulev
16Matteo Prati
27Joseph Liteta
29Gennaro Borrelli66'for P. Mendy
17Mattia Felici66'for J. Fazzini
18Kingstone Mutandwa87'for D. Maldini
9Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
39Alieu Fadera
Match Stats
ParmaCagliari 47%Ball Possession53%
3Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots14
2Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots3
6Fouls20
1Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves2
443Total Passes497
373Passes Accurate445
84%Pass Accuracy90%
Team Comparison
ParmaCagliari1634Elo Rating 1685
0.51Attack 0.85
1.32Defense 0.52
14%Hit Rate 14%
11.5Shots per Game 10.5
3.6Shots on Target 4.0
3.1Corners per Game 4.1
1.5Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Parma- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)
Cagliari- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Parma1Wins · 10%Draws440%
Cagliari5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
27/02/2026ParmaCagliari11
13/09/2025CagliariParma20
09/02/2025CagliariParma21
30/09/2024ParmaCagliari23
03/06/2023ParmaCagliari00
30/05/2023CagliariParma32
22/04/2023ParmaCagliari21
03/12/2022CagliariParma11
17/04/2021CagliariParma43
16/12/2020ParmaCagliari00
Recent Form
Parma4W2D4L
14/08/2026Parma
Catania
ParmaCatania20
W09/08/2026Parma
Sampdoria
ParmaSampdoria02
L02/08/2026Parma
Iraklis 1908
ParmaIraklis 190811
D30/07/2026Parma
Arezzo
ParmaArezzo11
D24/05/2026Parma
Sassuolo
ParmaSassuolo10
W17/05/2026
ComoParma
ComoParma10
L10/05/2026Parma
AS Roma
ParmaAS Roma23
L03/05/2026
InterParma
InterParma20
L25/04/2026Parma
Pisa
ParmaPisa10
W18/04/2026
UdineseParma
UdineseParma01
WCagliari4W4D2L
14/08/2026CagliariArezzo
CagliariArezzo10
W08/08/2026Cagliari
Nice
CagliariNice0000
D02/08/2026
Union BerlinCagliari
Union BerlinCagliari22
D28/07/2026Cagliari
Modena
CagliariModena10
W23/07/2026SampdoriaCagliari
SampdoriaCagliari00
D17/05/2026Cagliari
Torino
CagliariTorino21
W09/05/2026CagliariUdinese
CagliariUdinese02
L03/05/2026
BolognaCagliari
BolognaCagliari00
D27/04/2026Cagliari
Atalanta
CagliariAtalanta32
W17/04/2026InterCagliari
InterCagliari30
LReferee Profile
4.82Cards per match
4.63Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.82 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.85).
Cards come from 73 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24:8 | +16 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:13 | +13 | 25 | LWWWW |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | +18 | 24 | WWDWD |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | +10 | 23 | WWWWD |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 21 | WLWWD |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 20 | WWDWL |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 | LWDLW |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | +1 | 14 | WWWLW |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 | WWWLW |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 13 | LLLLD |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 11 | LDDLW |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 | LLLWL |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:26 | -10 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 5 | LDLLL |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 10 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 6:20 | 3 |
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About the Parma vs Cagliari forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Parma and Cagliari in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Cagliari are 12th and Parma 15th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Parma 8-15, Cagliari 9-15. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.