Venezia vs Lecce Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 4.5
1.84
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+14.0%
Venezia Rest
7 days
Lecce Rest
5 days
Venezia vs Lecce: the result in context
Match Forecasts
Match Result
150%2.00
X27%3.23
223%4.10
Double Chance
1X77%1.25
X250%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.93
No50%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.02 = 2.69
Over 1.573%1.40
Over 2.552%2.23
Over 3.528%4.10
Under 1.527%2.95
Under 2.548%1.67
Under 3.572%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.9 = 9.4
Over 8.558%1.60
Over 9.546%2.00
Over 10.534%2.60
Under 8.542%2.19
Under 9.554%1.73
Under 10.566%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 3.2 = 5.8
Over 3.584%1.40
Over 4.564%1.84
Under 3.516%2.75
Under 4.536%1.88
Match Events
3'Kialonda GasparFoul
16'Goal cancelledThierry Correia
46'A. Gallo INC. Ndaba out
46'O. GorterAssist: L. Coulibaly
59'Oumar NgomFoul
61'O. Gorter INY. Maleh out
64'T. Rendall INR. Haps out
70'K. Perez INM. Dagasso out
71'Danilo VeigaFoul
74'K. Ndri INTiago Gabriel out
74'W. Geubbels INN. Stulic out
78'Matteo DagassoFoul
80'Tiago Gabriel
85'A. Hainaut INR. Sagrado out
85'T. Basic INA. Rrahmani out
90+1'S. Pierotti INO. Gandelman out
Lineups
VeneziaLecce
4-3-3Coach: Eusebio Di FrancescoAvg ratingAvg rating
1F. Stankovic
3J. Schingtienne
17A. Bella-Kotchap
4B. Franjic
18A. Hainaut
71K. Perez
C6G. Busio
26T. Basic
14T. Rendall
10J. Yeboah
45A. Adams
C30W. Falcone
17D. Veiga
4K. Gaspar
5J. Siebert
25A. Gallo
29L. Coulibaly
79O. Ngom
28O. Gorter
50S. Pierotti
69W. Geubbels
11K. NdriVenezia Substitutes
96L. Montipo
5R. Haps64'for T. Rendall
25R. Halhal
20R. Sagrado85'for A. Hainaut
95A. Gomes
21T. J. Helgason
30M. Dagasso70'for K. Perez78'
19S. Sohm
55S. Panada
90A. Okoro
8L. Fanne
29L. Lauberbach
11M. Farji
56K. Lisman
7A. Rrahmani85'for T. Basic
Lecce Substitutes
1M. Bleve
33P. Penev
8S. Fofana
3C. Ndaba46'for A. Gallo
44Tiago Gabriel74'for K. Ndri80'
14Y. Maleh61'for O. Gorter
16O. Gandelman90+1'for S. Pierotti
34H. Laerke
9N. Stulic74'for W. Geubbels
22P. Esteban
Match Stats
VeneziaLecce 71%Ball Possession29%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots1
8Fouls12
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves6
632Total Passes260
548Passes Accurate189
87%Pass Accuracy73%
Team Comparison
VeneziaLecce1645Elo Rating 1642
0.68Attack 1.14
1.95Defense 0.64
41%Hit Rate 17%
12.4Shots per Game 16.9
3.5Shots on Target 6.6
3.3Corners per Game 5.3
1.0Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Venezia- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Lecce- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Venezia1Wins · 17%Draws350%
Lecce2Wins · 33%
2Wins · 33%2.5Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6
Previous meetings
06/04/2025LecceVenezia11
25/11/2024VeneziaLecce01
20/05/2021LecceVenezia11
17/05/2021VeneziaLecce10
16/03/2021VeneziaLecce23
05/12/2020LecceVenezia22
Recent Form
Venezia7W2D1L
15/08/2026Venezia
Modena
VeneziaModena32
W08/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Venezia
Stade Brestois 29Venezia22
D01/08/2026
Saint EtienneVenezia
Saint EtienneVenezia43
L27/07/2026
GalatasarayVenezia
GalatasarayVenezia03
W23/07/2026Venezia
Vis Pesaro
VeneziaVis Pesaro80
W19/07/2026Venezia
Dolomiti Bellunesi
VeneziaDolomiti Bellunesi42
W08/05/2026Venezia
Palermo
VeneziaPalermo20
W01/05/2026
SpeziaVenezia
SpeziaVenezia22
D25/04/2026Venezia
Empoli
VeneziaEmpoli20
W18/04/2026
BariVenezia
BariVenezia03
WLecce4W3D3L
17/08/2026PalermoLecce
PalermoLecce20
L09/08/2026Lecce
SS Monopoli
LecceSS Monopoli10
W29/07/2026Lecce
Bistrica
LecceBistrica52
W25/07/2026Lecce
Istra 1961
LecceIstra 196122
D22/07/2026Lecce
FC Politehnica Timisoara
LecceFC Politehnica Timisoara01
L17/05/2026
SassuoloLecce
SassuoloLecce23
W09/05/2026Lecce
Juventus
LecceJuventus01
L01/05/2026
PisaLecce
PisaLecce12
W25/04/2026
Hellas VeronaLecce
Hellas VeronaLecce00
D20/04/2026Lecce
Fiorentina
LecceFiorentina11
DReferee Profile
5.32Cards per match
4.99Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.32 cards a match, 0.66 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.66).
Cards come from 114 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25:9 | +16 | 29 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28:13 | +15 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31:10 | +21 | 27 | WWWDW |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 24 | WWLWW |
| 5 |  Como | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | +8 | 23 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:15 | +9 | 20 | LWWDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 18 | DWLWL |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | WLLLL |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | +4 | 15 | DLWDL |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | DLLWW |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 14 | WLDDL |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 10 | DLLLW |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 9 | DWDLL |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | -13 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Monza | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 11 | 25:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Inter | 11 | 28:13 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 31:10 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 23:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Como | 11 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 24:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 11 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 11 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | 17:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa | 11 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 11 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 16:29 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 11 | 17:25 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 12:25 | 5 |
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About the Venezia vs Lecce forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Venezia and Lecce in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Lecce are 14th and Venezia 19th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Venezia 8-21, Lecce 12-22. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.