Lecce vs AS Roma Prediction

Lecce
0-4
Finished
HT 0-3
AS Roma
Via del Mare, Lecce·Daniele Chiffi, Italy 31/08/2026
LecceLecce
0-4
Finished
AS RomaAS Roma

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
2.02
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+12.0%
Lecce Rest
8 days
AS Roma Rest
6 days

Lecce vs AS Roma: result, form and history

AS Roma beat Lecce 4-0 in the Serie A on 31 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

AS Roma have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Referee Daniele Chiffi averages 3.98 cards a game, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%7.50
X
24%4.33
2
58%1.45
Double Chance
1X
42%2.72
X2
82%1.09
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%2.16
No
43%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.82 = 2.92
Over 1.5
78%1.32
Over 2.5
58%2.02
Over 3.5
34%3.50
Under 1.5
22%3.30
Under 2.5
42%1.82
Under 3.5
66%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.9 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.62
Over 9.5
46%2.05
Over 10.5
34%2.66
Under 8.5
42%2.16
Under 9.5
54%1.70
Under 10.5
66%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
57%2.19
Over 4.5
35%3.17
Under 3.5
43%1.64
Under 4.5
65%1.30

Match Events

4'D. Malen
9'D. MalenHandling
23'D. MalenAssist: Wesley Franca
25'M. Soule
46'Tiago Gabriel INK. Ndri out
46'O. Gorter INY. Maleh out
54'W. Geubbels INN. Stulic out
60'Wesley Franca INN. Molina out
60'M. Soule INR. Mora out
65'R. MoraAssist: G. Mancini
67'M. Kone INN. Pisilli out
67'D. Malen INS. Castro out
72'S. Pierotti INA. Fatah out
72'O. Ngom INI. Ilic out
84'P. Dybala INM. De Roon out
90'I. IlicHandling

Lineups

Lecce
3-5-2Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
AS Roma
3-4-2-1Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian
Avg rating6.31
Avg rating7.14
Wladimiro FalconeC6.330W. Falcone
Jamil Siebert6.05J. Siebert
Kialonda Gaspar5.94K. Gaspar
Tiago Gabriel6.344T. Gabriel
Danilo Veiga5.617D. Veiga
Lassana Coulibaly7.329L. Coulibaly
Oumar Ngom6.379O. Ngom
Olaf Gorter6.228O. Gorter
Corrie Ndaba6.33C. Ndaba
Santiago Pierotti6.550S. Pierotti
Willem Geubbels6.369W. Geubbels
Mile Svilar6.999M. Svilar
Daniele Ghilardi7.387D. Ghilardi
Gianluca Mancini7.923G. Mancini
Mario Hermoso8.222M. Hermoso
Emanuele Lulli6.977E. Lulli
Manu Koné7.017M. Koné
Bryan CristanteC6.94B. Cristante
Wesley7.343Wesley
Paulo Dybala8.221P. Dybala
Matías Soulé6.918M. Soulé
Donyell Malen7.514D. Malen

Lecce Substitutes

14Youssef Maleh46'for O. Gorter6.3
11N'Dri Konan46'for Tiago Gabriel6.2
9Nikola Štulić54'for W. Geubbels6.5
20Ivan Ilić72'for O. Ngom90'6.3
7Amar Fatah72'for S. Pierotti6.6
33Plamen Penev
1Marco Bleve
31Elijah Scott
2Ali Dembélé
25Antonino Gallo
34Hjalte Lærke
10Medon Berisha
8Sadik Fofana
16Omri Gandelman
22Paco Esteban

AS Roma Substitutes

20Nahuel Molina60'for Wesley Franca6.9
86Rodrigo Mora60'for M. Soule65'7.3
61Niccolò Pisilli67'for M. Kone6.6
9Santiago Castro67'for D. Malen6.2
15Marten de Roon84'for P. Dybala6.3
95Pierluigi Gollini
70Giorgio De Marzi
26Leonardo Balerdi
3Konstantinos Koulierakis
5Evan Ndicka

Match Stats

LecceAS Roma
36%Ball Possession64%
2Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal7
3Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box5
9Fouls8
0Offsides9
4Goalkeeper Saves2
375Total Passes677
294Passes Accurate597
78%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

LecceLecce
AS RomaAS Roma
1642Elo Rating 1933
1.14Attack 3.52
0.64Defense 0.85
17%Hit Rate 56%
16.9Shots per Game 16.6
6.6Shots on Target 6.8
5.3Corners per Game 5.5
2.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LecceLecce
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AS RomaAS Roma
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.1 vs 1.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

LecceLecce0Wins · 0%
Draws222%
AS RomaAS Roma7Wins · 78%
2.3Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Serie A22/03/2026
AS RomaLecce
10
Serie A06/01/2026
LecceAS Roma
02
Serie A29/03/2025
LecceAS Roma
01
Serie A07/12/2024
AS RomaLecce
41
Serie A01/04/2024
LecceAS Roma
00
Serie A05/11/2023
AS RomaLecce
21
Serie A11/02/2023
LecceAS Roma
11
Serie A09/10/2022
AS RomaLecce
21
Coppa Italia20/01/2022
AS RomaLecce
31

Recent Form

LecceLecce
5W2D3L
23/08/2026
VeneziaLecce
02
W
17/08/2026
PalermoLecce
20
L
09/08/2026
LecceSS Monopoli
10
W
29/07/2026
LecceBistrica
52
W
25/07/2026
LecceIstra 1961
22
D
22/07/2026
LecceFC Politehnica Timisoara
01
L
17/05/2026
SassuoloLecce
23
W
09/05/2026
LecceJuventus
01
L
01/05/2026
PisaLecce
12
W
25/04/2026
Hellas VeronaLecce
00
D
AS RomaAS Roma
6W2D2L
24/08/2026
AS RomaFiorentina
40
W
15/08/2026
Borussia DortmundAS Roma
22
D
08/08/2026
BrightonAS Roma
30
L
04/08/2026
Newport CountyAS Roma
14
W
01/08/2026
CardiffAS Roma
41
L
26/07/2026
CannesAS Roma
33
D
17/05/2026
AS RomaLazio
20
W
10/05/2026
ParmaAS Roma
23
W
04/05/2026
AS RomaFiorentina
40
W
25/04/2026
BolognaAS Roma
02
W

Referee Profile

Daniele Chiffi137 matches

3.98Cards per match
3.82Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daniele Chiffi3.98
Other referees4.56

3.98 cards a match, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.56).

Cards come from 131 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1192025:9+1629DWWWW
2InterInter1191128:13+1528WLWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1183031:10+2127WWWDW
4AC MilanAC Milan1173123:13+1024WWLWW
5ComoComo1172218:10+823LWWWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone1162324:15+920LWWDW
7JuventusJuventus1153315:12+318DWLWL
8BolognaBologna1152416:14+217WWWWL
9CagliariCagliari1151510:15-516WLLLL
10NapoliNapoli1143418:14+415DLWDL
11TorinoTorino1142515:17-214DLLWW
12AtalantaAtalanta1142517:20-314WLDDL
13GenoaGenoa1141611:16-513LWWWL
14LecceLecce1131712:22-1010DLLLW
15FiorentinaFiorentina1123617:25-89DWDLL
16ParmaParma112279:17-88LWDLL
17SassuoloSassuolo1122716:29-138LLLLL
18MonzaMonza1121817:25-87LLLLW
19VeneziaVenezia112098:21-136WLLLW
20UdineseUdinese1112812:25-135LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1125:929
2InterInter1128:1328
3AS RomaAS Roma1131:1027
4AC MilanAC Milan1123:1324
5ComoComo1118:1023
6FrosinoneFrosinone1124:1520
7JuventusJuventus1115:1218
8BolognaBologna1116:1417
9CagliariCagliari1110:1516
10NapoliNapoli1118:1415
11TorinoTorino1115:1714
12AtalantaAtalanta1117:2014
13GenoaGenoa1111:1613
14LecceLecce1112:2210
15FiorentinaFiorentina1117:259
16ParmaParma119:178
17SassuoloSassuolo1116:298
18MonzaMonza1117:257
19VeneziaVenezia118:216
20UdineseUdinese1112:255
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Lecce vs AS Roma forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lecce and AS Roma in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, AS Roma are 3rd and Lecce 14th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Lecce 12-22, AS Roma 31-10. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AS Roma have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.