Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction

Celje
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Red Bull Salzburg
Stadion Z’dežele, Celje·John Brooks 22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Celje Rest
4 days
Red Bull Salzburg Rest
4 days

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: result, form and history

Celje and Red Bull Salzburg drew 2-2 in the UEFA Europa League on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
17%5.93
X
21%4.42
2
62%1.53
Double Chance
1X
38%2.48
X2
83%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.67
No
46%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.8 = 2.96
Over 1.5
80%1.18
Over 2.5
58%1.61
Over 3.5
36%2.50
Under 1.5
20%4.60
Under 2.5
42%2.37
Under 3.5
64%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Sota KitanoAssist: Damir Redzic
32'Artemijus TutyskinasFoul
35'Damir RedzicFoul
43'Pijus SirvysFoul
45'Yorbe Vertessen INJesper Lindstrom out
45'Umut Deger Tohumcu INBartosz Mazurek out
46'Jesper LindstromAssist: Damir Redzic
50'Blaž KramerAssist: Svit Seslar
60'Veton Tusha INYaya Dukuly out
65'Sota Kitano INGaoussou Diakité out
81'Benjamin Verbič INA. Kučys out
81'Pijus Sirvys INŽan Žužek out
83'Damir Redzic INFrans Kratzig out
90'A. KučysAssist: Yaya Dukuly
90+2'Bartosz MazurekTime wasting
90+4'Mario Kvesić INDarko Hrka out

Lineups

Celje
4-3-3Coach: Z. Željkovič
Red Bull Salzburg
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Röhl
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.68
Žan-Luk Leban6.31Ž. Leban
P. Širvys6.32P. Širvys
Ł. Bejger6.644Ł. Bejger
A. Tutyškinas6.56A. Tutyškinas
M. Avdyli7.111M. Avdyli
S. Sešlar6.810S. Sešlar
M. Zabukovnik6.119M. Zabukovnik
M. Kvesić6.48M. Kvesić
V. Tusha6.625V. Tusha
B. Kramer8.29B. Kramer
B. Verbič7.07B. Verbič
Christian Zawieschitzky6.052C. Zawieschitzky
L. Morgalla6.639L. Morgalla
K. Boma6.944K. Boma
T. Drexler6.821T. Drexler
D. Schmid6.931D. Schmid
A. Barry6.632A. Barry
U. Tohumcu6.17U. Tohumcu
D. Redzic7.623D. Redzic
S. Kitano7.58S. Kitano
Y. Vertessen6.111Y. Vertessen
H. Tabaković6.69H. Tabaković

Celje Substitutes

13Papa Mustapha Daniel
20A. Dionkou
91Y. Dukuly60'for Veton Tusha7.1
23Ž. Frelih
4D. Hrka90+4'for Mario Kvesić
77M. Ivanšek
12L. Kolar
33L. Koútris
47A. Kučys81'for Benjamin Verbič90'8.1
31D. Suhovrsnik
15Ž. Žužek81'for Pijus Sirvys6.2

Red Bull Salzburg Substitutes

47Valentin Zabransky
41Nikola Šarčević
4J. Mellberg
15B. Mazurek45'for Umut Deger Tohumcu90+2'6.2
35J. Lindstrøm45'for Yorbe Vertessen46'7.2
22S. Lainer
13F. Krätzig83'for Damir Redzic6.4
19K. Konaté
1C. Früchtl
30G. Diakité65'for Sota Kitano7.0
33A. Camara
5S. Diabaté

Match Stats

CeljeRed Bull Salzburg
47%Ball Possession53%
2Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal8
8Shots Inside Box10
1Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
14Fouls10
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
515Total Passes512
439Passes Accurate437
10Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

CeljeCelje
Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
1635Elo Rating 1771
0.70Attack 1.65
1.88Defense 1.68
17%Hit Rate 37%
10.3Shots per Game 15.5
2.6Shots on Target 4.9
2.4Corners per Game 4.2
2.8Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals

Game State Tendencies

CeljeCelje
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Referee Profile

John Brooks175 matches

4.16Cards per match
4.03Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

John Brooks4.16
Other referees3.78

4.16 cards a match, 0.38 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 173 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica330010:2+89WWW
2Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen33008:0+89WWW
3BournemouthBournemouth33008:1+79WWW
4Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC33009:3+69WWW
5Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus33004:1+39WWW
6Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise32108:1+77WDW
7JuventusJuventus32109:3+67DWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş32109:5+47DWW
9SunderlandSunderland32104:2+27DWW
10AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar32016:2+46WWL
11Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia32015:4+16LWW
12LyonLyon32015:6-16LWW
13RennesRennes31204:3+15DWD
14Real SociedadReal Sociedad31118:3+54WDL
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace31118:5+34DLW
16Sparta PrahaSparta Praha31115:3+24LDW
17Levski SofiaLevski Sofia31113:304WDL
18Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb31113:4-14LWD
19Sturm GrazSturm Graz31111:3-24WLD
20NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen31115:8-34WDL
21Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg31113:6-34DLW
22AnderlechtAnderlecht31024:3+13WLL
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim31025:503WLL
24AC MilanAC Milan31024:5-13LWL
25Celta VigoCelta Vigo31023:4-13WLL
26OFIOFI31023:4-13LLW
27JagielloniaJagiellonia31024:6-23LWL
28TorreenseTorreense31024:7-33LLW
29CeljeCelje30122:7-51DLL
30Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva30121:6-51LLD
31LillestromLillestrom30122:9-71LDL
32Lech PoznanLech Poznan30121:9-81DLL
33PlzenPlzen30032:7-50LLL
34MarseilleMarseille30031:6-50LLL
35CelticCeltic30033:9-60LLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia30032:11-90LLL
Europa League

About the Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Celje and Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Red Bull Salzburg are 21st and Celje 29th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Celje 2-7, Red Bull Salzburg 3-6. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Celje and Red Bull Salzburg have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.