Bournemouth vs AC Milan Prediction
World · League Stage - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-4.4%
Bournemouth Rest
4 days
AC Milan Rest
4 days
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: result, form and history
Bournemouth beat AC Milan 3-0 in the UEFA Europa League on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%1.96
X25%3.80
226%3.55
Double Chance
1X75%1.30
X251%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.59
No44%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.42 = 2.81
Over 1.578%1.21
Over 2.555%1.71
Over 3.534%2.70
Under 1.522%4.33
Under 2.545%2.15
Under 3.566%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 3.3 = 8
Over 8.541%1.55
Over 9.530%1.97
Over 10.521%2.55
Under 8.559%2.25
Under 9.570%1.80
Under 10.579%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.561%1.68
Over 4.542%2.20
Under 3.539%2.11
Under 4.558%1.62
Match Events
6'Penalty confirmedFrancisco Evanilson
8'Justin Kluivert(Penalty)
16'Bafode DiakiteFoul
27'Mike MaignanViolent conduct
29'Tyler AdamsArgument
32'Omari Hutchinson INLorenzo Torriani out
32'Marcus Tavernier(Penalty)
35'Pervis EstupinanFoul
45'Pervis Estupinan INDavide Bartesaghi out
45'Ruben Loftus-Cheek INAdrien Rabiot out
61'Tyler Adams INLewis Cook out
62'Marcus Tavernier INRayan Vitor Simplício Rocha out
62'Justin Kluivert INAlex Tóth out
63'Fikayo TomoriFoul
66'Francisco Evanilson INÁlvaro Rodríguez out
66'Fikayo Tomori INSankhoun Diawara out
76'Diego Moreira INChristian Comotto out
77'Alex Tóth INAmine Adli out
81'Koni De WinterFoul
84'Amine Adli
Lineups
BournemouthAC Milan
3-4-2-1Coach: Ruben AmorimAvg ratingAvg rating
20M. Di Gregorio
5J. Hill
18B. Diakité
14A. Silva
3A. Truffert
11B. Doak
10R. Christie
12T. Adams
16M. Tavernier
19J. Kluivert
9Evanilson
16M. Maignan
23F. Tomori
5K. De Winter
31S. Pavlović
22D. Moreira
80Y. Musah
30A. Jashari
2P. Estupiñán
20O. Hutchinson
8R. Loftus-Cheek
70A. CissèBournemouth Substitutes
55M. Allan
7D. Brooks
4L. Cook61'for Tyler Adams
21A. Adli77'replaced by Alex Tóth84'
1Đ. Petrović
37Rayan62'for Marcus Tavernier
30Á. Rodríguez66'for Francisco Evanilson
15A. Smith
6J. Soler
27A. Tóth62'for Justin Kluivert77'for Amine Adli
AC Milan Substitutes
41L. P. Bouyer
73F. Camarda
28C. Comotto76'for Diego Moreira
13S. Bocoum66'for Fikayo Tomori
34Mario Gila
14L. Modrić
11C. Pulišić
12A. Rabiot45'for Ruben Loftus-Cheek
96L. Torriani32'for Omari Hutchinson
35V. Vladimirov
33D. Bartesaghi45'for Pervis Estupinan
Match Stats
BournemouthAC Milan 64%Ball Possession36%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
20Total Shots3
7Shots on Goal0
10Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots1
18Fouls15
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves4
512Total Passes286
452Passes Accurate226
14Free Kicks16
Team Comparison
BournemouthAC Milan1866Elo Rating 1882
1.70Attack 2.42
1.72Defense 1.98
64%Hit Rate 66%
17.9Shots per Game 12.6
4.8Shots on Target 6.3
5.2Corners per Game 3.7
2.9Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Bournemouth- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AC Milan- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Bournemouth4W3D3L
18/10/2026Bournemouth
SunderlandBournemouth
Sturm Graz
ChelseaBournemouthBournemouth
Liverpool
Real SociedadBournemouthBournemouth
BrentfordBournemouth
Lincoln
NewcastleBournemouthBournemouth
Everton
Manchester CityBournemouth
BournemouthSunderland20
W15/10/2026BournemouthSturm Graz30
W10/10/2026ChelseaBournemouth51
L20/09/2026BournemouthLiverpool01
L17/09/2026Real SociedadBournemouth12
W12/09/2026BournemouthBrentford22
D08/09/2026BournemouthLincoln40
W05/09/2026NewcastleBournemouth22
D29/08/2026BournemouthEverton11
D23/08/2026Manchester CityBournemouth21
LAC Milan6W3D1L
Referee Profile
4.94Cards per match
4.68Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.94 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.19).
Cards come from 95 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 4 | WDL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 4 | LDW |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 | DLW |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | +1 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 31 |  Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 | LDL |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 3 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 3 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Lyon | 3 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Sparta Praha | 3 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Levski Sofia | 3 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 | OFI | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | Torreense | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Lillestrom | 3 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 | Plzen | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Celtic | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Europa League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Mjallby AIF
TrabzonsporLillestromArarat-Armenia
Kauno Žalgiris
St. Truiden
FK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFI
Aarhus
Larne
Saburtalo
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Gornik Zabrze
KuPS
Universitatea CraiovaJagiellonia
RangersLech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
Lincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull Salzburg
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
Heart Of Midlothian
Tromso
Hradec Králové
PAOK
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hammarby FFAnderlecht
FC ST. GallenBenfica
TwenteBeşiktaş
FC Midtjylland
PafosKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusLarneSaburtaloShamrock RoversEgnatia RrogozhinëGornik ZabrzeKuPSUniversitatea CraiovaJagielloniaRangersLech PoznanKI KlaksvikLincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull SalzburgFC ThunVikingur ReykjavikHeart Of MidlothianKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusLarneSaburtaloShamrock RoversEgnatia RrogozhinëGornik ZabrzeKuPSUniversitatea CraiovaJagielloniaRangersLech PoznanKI KlaksvikLincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull SalzburgFC ThunVikingur ReykjavikHeart Of MidlothianTromsoHradec KrálovéPAOKMaccabi Tel AvivHammarby FFAnderlechtFC ST. GallenBenficaTwenteBeşiktaşFC MidtjyllandPafosExplore more predictions
This match
About the Bournemouth vs AC Milan forecast
This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Bournemouth and AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League table
In the UEFA Europa League table, Bournemouth are 3rd and AC Milan 24th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Bournemouth 8-1, AC Milan 4-5. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Bournemouth have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. AC Milan have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Bournemouth and AC Milan have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.