1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon Prediction

1899 Hoffenheim
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Lyon
Prezero Arena, Sinsheim·Halil Umut Meler 22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-1.1%
1899 Hoffenheim Rest
4 days
Lyon Rest
4 days

1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon: result, form and history

1899 Hoffenheim beat Lyon 3-0 in the UEFA Europa League on 22 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Lyon had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for 1899 Hoffenheim.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 4.7 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them. 1899 Hoffenheim tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 3.3 for Lyon.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.08
X
24%4.03
2
34%3.10
Double Chance
1X
66%1.35
X2
58%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.40
No
35%2.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1.72 = 3.09
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
65%1.44
Over 3.5
45%2.13
Under 1.5
17%5.62
Under 2.5
35%2.75
Under 3.5
55%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
54%1.41
Over 9.5
43%1.73
Over 10.5
33%2.20
Under 8.5
46%2.63
Under 9.5
57%2.00
Under 10.5
67%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%1.53
Over 4.5
44%2.02
Under 3.5
37%2.43
Under 4.5
56%1.73

Match Events

9'Mats RotsFoul
31'Steeve Kango INNoham Kamara out
45'Felix Bacher INMoussa Niakhaté out
45'Tanner Tessmann INTyler Morton out
45+4'Andrej Kramarić
49'Adam DaghimAssist: Andrej Kramarić
60'Mads Bidstrup INCorentin Tolisso out
61'Adam Daghim INWouter Burger out
61'Vladimír Coufal INValentin Gendrey out
65'Bambasé Conté INAdam Hložek out
72'Wouter BurgerPersistent infringement
75'Kail Boudache INErnest Nuamah out
77'Mats Rots INKoki Machida out
78'Tim Lemperle INFisnik Asllani out
81'Ozan KabakPersistent infringement
81'Christian IlzerDissent
83'Adam HložekAssist: Andrej Kramarić

Lineups

1899 Hoffenheim
4-4-2Coach: C. Ilzer
Lyon
4-3-3Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Avg rating7.02
Avg rating6.15
O. Baumann7.31O. Baumann
V. Coufal6.934V. Coufal
R. Hranáč6.82R. Hranáč
O. Kabak6.55O. Kabak
M. Rots7.039M. Rots
B. Conté6.720B. Conté
L. Avdullahu6.97L. Avdullahu
A. Prass7.222A. Prass
A. Daghim7.614A. Daghim
T. Lemperle6.519T. Lemperle
A. Kramarić9.927A. Kramarić
D. Greif6.51D. Greif
Steeve Kango6.137S. Kango
F. Bacher6.520F. Bacher
Clinton Mata6.422C. Mata
R. Kluivert5.421R. Kluivert
N. Nartey5.499N. Nartey
T. Tessmann6.06T. Tessmann
M. Bidstrup5.82M. Bidstrup
K. Boudache6.226K. Boudache
R. Himbert6.145R. Himbert
Keito Nakamura6.311K. Nakamura

1899 Hoffenheim Substitutes

11F. Asllani78'for Tim Lemperle6.6
29Natnael Abraha
13Bernardo
18W. Burger61'for Adam Daghim72'6.4
15V. Gendrey61'for Vladimír Coufal6.7
10A. Hložek65'for Bambasé Conté83'7.4
47V. Lässig
32Cajetan Benjamin Lenz
28K. Machida77'for Mats Rots6.1
9Max Moerstedt
36L. Petersson
37L. Philipp

Lyon Substitutes

13Z. Athekame
8C. Tolisso60'for Mads Bidstrup6.9
7E. Nuamah75'for Kail Boudache6.4
19M. Niakhaté45'for Felix Bacher5.8
23T. Morton45'for Tanner Tessmann6.6
18K. Merah
85N. Kamara31'for Steeve Kango5.9
24J. Duranville
40R. Descamps
16Abner
25J. Bengui João
38Angel Daniel Garcia

Match Stats

1899 HoffenheimLyon
43%Ball Possession57%
11Corner Kicks9
3Yellow Cards0
21Total Shots8
8Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots3
20Fouls6
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
379Total Passes512
315Passes Accurate423
6Free Kicks20

Team Comparison

1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
LyonLyon
1718Elo Rating 1866
1.55Attack 2.37
0.68Defense 1.74
27%Hit Rate 81%
16.8Shots per Game 11.5
4.7Shots on Target 5.9
6.5Corners per Game 3.3
2.7Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.09 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LyonLyon
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim0Wins · 0%
Draws3100%
LyonLyon0Wins · 0%
4.7Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

UEFA Europa League07/11/2024
1899 HoffenheimLyon
22
UEFA Champions League07/11/2018
Lyon1899 Hoffenheim
22
UEFA Champions League23/10/2018
1899 HoffenheimLyon
33

Referee Profile

Halil Umut Meler209 matches

4.86Cards per match
4.60Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Halil Umut Meler4.87
Other referees4.58

4.87 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.58).

Cards come from 192 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen33008:0+89WWW
2Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC33009:3+69WWW
3Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise32108:1+77WDW
4JuventusJuventus32109:3+67DWW
5SunderlandSunderland32104:2+27DWW
6BenficaBenfica22006:1+56WW
7BeşiktaşBeşiktaş22007:3+46WW
8AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar32016:2+46WWL
9BournemouthBournemouth22005:1+46WW
10Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia22004:0+46WW
11LyonLyon22005:3+26WW
12Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus22003:1+26WW
13RennesRennes31204:3+15DWD
14Sparta PrahaSparta Praha21105:2+34DW
15Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb31113:4-14LWD
16Sturm GrazSturm Graz31111:3-24WLD
17NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen31115:8-34WDL
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace21016:3+33LW
19AC MilanAC Milan21014:2+23WL
20JagielloniaJagiellonia21014:3+13WL
21OFIOFI31023:4-13LLW
22TorreenseTorreense31024:7-33LLW
23Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg21011:4-33LW
24Real SociedadReal Sociedad20112:3-11DL
25LillestromLillestrom20112:3-11DL
26Levski SofiaLevski Sofia20111:2-11DL
27Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva30121:6-51LLD
28Lech PoznanLech Poznan30121:9-81DLL
29Celta VigoCelta Vigo20021:3-20LL
30AnderlechtAnderlecht20021:3-20LL
311899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim20022:5-30LL
32PlzenPlzen20021:5-40LL
33CelticCeltic20022:7-50LL
34MarseilleMarseille30031:6-50LLL
35CeljeCelje20020:5-50LL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia30032:11-90LLL
Europa League

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Kairat Almaty
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Trabzonspor
Seeded
Lillestrom
Seeded
Ararat-Armenia
Seeded
Kauno Žalgiris
Seeded
St. Truiden
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Plzen
Seeded
OFI
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Saburtalo
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Universitatea Craiova
Seeded
Jagiellonia
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Red Bull Salzburg
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Anderlecht
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Benfica
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
Beşiktaş
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded

About the 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa League

More UEFA Europa League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lyon have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.