Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club Prediction

Celta Vigo
0-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Athletic Club
Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo· Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.83
SignalGOODModel43%RiskHighGap+7.4%
Celta Vigo Rest
3 days
Athletic Club Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.67
X
27%3.20
2
30%2.75
Double Chance
1X
70%1.42
X2
57%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.82
No
51%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.03 = 2.58
Over 1.5
73%1.35
Over 2.5
48%2.16
Over 3.5
21%3.80
Under 1.5
27%3.10
Under 2.5
52%1.72
Under 3.5
79%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.6 = 8.8
Over 8.5
58%1.83
Over 9.5
46%2.35
Over 10.5
34%3.12
Under 8.5
42%1.88
Under 9.5
54%1.52
Under 10.5
66%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.3 = 4.7
Over 3.5
64%1.48
Over 4.5
47%1.93
Under 3.5
36%2.57
Under 4.5
53%1.80

Match Events

20'A. BerenguerAssist: I. Williams
22'R. NavarroAssist: I. Ruiz de Galarreta
46'H. Gonzalez INI. Aspas out
46'J. Rodriguez INJ. Rueda out
46'A. Faye INY. Lago out
46'I. Moriba INM. Roman out
48'Y. BerchicheTripping
57'W. Swedberg INH. Alvarez out
61'R. NavarroHolding
65'I. Williams ING. Guruzeta out
65'I. Ruiz de Galarreta INM. Jauregizar out
65'O. Sancet INP. Canales out
71'B. GerenabarrenaFoul
74'R. Navarro INN. Williams out
86'J. Areso INJ. Louis-Jean out

Lineups

Celta Vigo
3-4-3Coach: Claudio Giraldez
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1Coach: Edin Terzic
Ionuț Radu13I. RaduIonuț Radu
Javi Rodríguez20J. RodríguezJavi Rodríguez
Carl Starfelt2C. StarfeltCarl Starfelt
Abdoulaye Faye4A. FayeAbdoulaye Faye
Álvaro Núñez15Á. NúñezÁlvaro Núñez
Aleix Febas14A. FebasAleix Febas
Ilaix Moriba6I. MoribaIlaix Moriba
Sergio Carreira5S. CarreiraSergio Carreira
Williot Swedberg19W. SwedbergWilliot Swedberg
Hugo González16H. GonzálezHugo González
Ferrán Jutglà9F. JutglàFerrán Jutglà
Unai Simón1U. SimónUnai Simón
Jesús Areso12J. AresoJesús Areso
Aitor Paredes4A. ParedesAitor Paredes
Aymeric Laporte14A. LaporteAymeric Laporte
Yuri Berchiche17Y. BerchicheYuri Berchiche
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta16I. Ruiz de GalarretaIñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
Beñat Gerenabarrena24B. GerenabarrenaBeñat Gerenabarrena
Robert Navarro23R. NavarroRobert Navarro
Oihan Sancet8O. SancetOihan Sancet
Álex Berenguer7Á. BerenguerÁlex Berenguer
Iñaki Williams9I. WilliamsIñaki Williams

Celta Vigo Substitutes

29Yoel LagoD
8Miguel RománM
17Javier RuedaD
10Iago AspasF
1Altay BayındırG
27Kike RibesD
22Javi GalánD
28Andrés AntañónM
30Hugo BurcioM
23Hugo ÁlvarezM
39Jones El-AbdellaouiF
11Pablo DuránF

Athletic Club Substitutes

13Alex PadillaG
31Johaneko Louis JeanD
15Hugo RincónD
19Adama BoiroD
5Yeray ÁlvarezD
20Alejandro Rego MoraM
18Mikel JauregizarM
28Peio CanalesM
10Nico WilliamsF
25Álvaro DjalóF
21Maroan SannadiF
11Gorka GuruzetaF

Match Stats

Celta VigoAthletic Club
53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards3
8Total Shots17
2Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal9
6Shots Inside Box12
2Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots1
8Fouls17
2Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
570Total Passes492
499Passes Accurate429
88%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
1731Elo Rating 1751
0.64Attack 1.49
1.89Defense 1.98
0%Hit Rate 42%
11.2Shots per Game 11.9
3.0Shots on Target 3.4
2.9Corners per Game 4.7
1.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend77% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Celta Vigo 37%Draw 27%36% Athletic Club
2.67Avg Goals
77%BTTS Rate
50%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
1W3D1L
27/08/2026
Celta VigoOsasuna
12
L
22/08/2026
ValenciaCelta Vigo
00
D
08/08/2026
NapoliCelta Vigo
11
D
05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
14
W
29/07/2026
Celta VigoAcademico Viseu
22
D
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
0W0D5L
27/08/2026
BarcelonaAthletic Club
20
L
22/08/2026
Athletic ClubSevilla
13
L
21/08/2026
ZaragozaAthletic Club
31
L
14/08/2026
AtalantaAthletic Club
10
L
09/08/2026
MarseilleAthletic Club
31
L

Referee Profile

Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain · 41 matches analysed

5.1Avg Yellows
5.4Avg Cards
24.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 98% of referees analysed

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona550021:4+1715WWWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid650117:6+1115WWLWW
3Real BetisReal Betis54017:6+112WWLWW
4AlavesAlaves631211:6+510LLWWD
5Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid531110:6+410WLWDW
6SevillaSevilla53118:6+210WDLWW
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna52309:6+39DWWDD
8EspanyolEspanyol62139:7+27LWDLL
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club52127:6+17DWWLL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander52129:907WLWLD
11OsasunaOsasuna52125:8-37LLWWD
12Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano621310:15-57WLWLD
13Real SociedadReal Sociedad62136:11-57LWDWL
14LevanteLevante51227:9-25LDWDL
15GetafeGetafe51223:6-35DDLWL
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo60423:6-34DDDLL
17ValenciaValencia61142:10-84WLLLL
18MalagaMalaga50322:8-63DDLDL
19VillarrealVillarreal50237:10-32LLLDD
20ElcheElche60248:16-82LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona521:415
2Real MadridReal Madrid617:615
3Real BetisReal Betis57:612
4AlavesAlaves611:610
5Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid510:610
6SevillaSevilla58:610
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna59:69
8EspanyolEspanyol69:77
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club57:67
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander59:97
11OsasunaOsasuna55:87
12Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano610:157
13Real SociedadReal Sociedad66:117
14LevanteLevante57:95
15GetafeGetafe53:65
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo63:64
17ValenciaValencia62:104
18MalagaMalaga52:83
19VillarrealVillarreal57:102
20ElcheElche68:162
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Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this La Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Celta Vigo and Athletic Club have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.67 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.