Celta Vigo vs Osasuna Prediction

Celta Vigo
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Osasuna
Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo·Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain 27/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.85
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseHighGap+12.8%
Celta Vigo Rest
5 days
Osasuna Rest
3 days

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna: the result in context

Osasuna beat Celta Vigo 2-1 in the La Liga on 27 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.98
X
30%3.30
2
25%4.10
Double Chance
1X
75%1.24
X2
55%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.00
No
54%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.09 = 2.51
Over 1.5
72%1.42
Over 2.5
42%2.31
Over 3.5
16%4.26
Under 1.5
28%2.85
Under 2.5
58%1.61
Under 3.5
84%1.21
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.85
Over 9.5
53%2.38
Over 10.5
37%3.20
Under 8.5
37%1.88
Under 9.5
47%1.50
Under 10.5
63%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.62
Over 4.5
35%2.05
Under 3.5
43%2.21
Under 4.5
65%1.69

Match Events

14'I. AspasAssist: M. Roman
27'J. MoncayolaHolding
46'J. Moncayola INI. Munoz out
51'M. AlonsoTripping
52'I. Aspas INC. Starfelt out
54'K. BarjaAssist: R. Garcia
58'J. Dubasin INA. Budimir out
58'J. Herrando INR. Garcia out
63'A. Budimir(Penalty)
65'J. Galan INS. Carreira out
65'J. Rueda INH. Alvarez out
65'W. Swedberg INJ. El Abdellaoui out
74'K. Barja INM. Gomez out
79'P. Duran INF. Jutgla out
82'R. Garcia INA. Oroz out

Match Stats

Celta VigoOsasuna
52%Ball Possession48%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
4Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal5
1Shots off Goal5
1Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots3
7Fouls16
3Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves1
557Total Passes515
484Passes Accurate451
87%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
OsasunaOsasuna
1734Elo Rating 1684
0.88Attack 2.26
1.47Defense 1.37
31%Hit Rate 39%
13.1Shots per Game 12.7
2.9Shots on Target 3.6
5.2Corners per Game 3.9
1.0Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
OsasunaOsasuna
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Celta VigoCelta Vigo4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
OsasunaOsasuna4Wins · 40%
2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

La Liga06/02/2026
Celta VigoOsasuna
12
La Liga26/10/2025
OsasunaCelta Vigo
23
La Liga21/02/2025
Celta VigoOsasuna
10
La Liga01/09/2024
OsasunaCelta Vigo
32
La Liga04/02/2024
OsasunaCelta Vigo
03
La Liga13/08/2023
Celta VigoOsasuna
02
La Liga06/03/2023
OsasunaCelta Vigo
00
La Liga05/11/2022
Celta VigoOsasuna
12
La Liga19/01/2022
Celta VigoOsasuna
20
La Liga23/08/2021
OsasunaCelta Vigo
00

Recent Form

Celta VigoCelta Vigo
4W5D1L
22/08/2026
ValenciaCelta Vigo
00
D
08/08/2026
NapoliCelta Vigo
11
D
05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
14
W
29/07/2026
Celta VigoAcademico Viseu
22
D
25/07/2026
Celta VigoSporting Gijon
10
W
18/07/2026
SC BragaCelta Vigo
22
D
23/05/2026
Celta VigoSevilla
10
W
17/05/2026
Athletic ClubCelta Vigo
11
D
12/05/2026
Celta VigoLevante
23
L
09/05/2026
Atletico MadridCelta Vigo
01
W
OsasunaOsasuna
3W1D6L
24/08/2026
OsasunaLevante
00
D
08/08/2026
OsasunaAl Ain
02
L
05/08/2026
NapoliOsasuna
21
L
01/08/2026
NorwichOsasuna
12
W
29/07/2026
IpswichOsasuna
12
W
24/07/2026
OsasunaRacing Santander
20
W
23/05/2026
GetafeOsasuna
10
L
17/05/2026
OsasunaEspanyol
12
L
12/05/2026
OsasunaAtletico Madrid
12
L
08/05/2026
LevanteOsasuna
32
L

Referee Profile

Miguel Sesma Espinosa114 matches

4.54Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Miguel Sesma Espinosa4.54
Other referees4.87

4.54 cards a match, 0.33 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.87).

Cards come from 69 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona12110148:13+3533WWLWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid12100231:10+2130WWWWW
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1291223:10+1328LWWWW
4Real BetisReal Betis1282220:15+526WWDLW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1271421:20+122WLWWW
6SevillaSevilla1253417:19-218DLWLD
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1144315:11+416WWLDD
8VillarrealVillarreal1243517:15+215WLWDL
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1236315:14+115DWLDL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1242617:30-1314WLWLD
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1227310:10013DLDWD
12AlavesAlaves1234515:17-213DLDLL
13EspanyolEspanyol1233613:14-112DWLLD
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1133515:21-612WLDDD
15GetafeGetafe123368:18-1012LWLDL
16OsasunaOsasuna1233612:23-1112DLLWL
17LevanteLevante1225516:21-511DLLWD
18ElcheElche1224614:20-610LLWDD
19ValenciaValencia122378:20-129LWLDD
20MalagaMalaga120579:23-145LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1248:1333
2Real MadridReal Madrid1231:1030
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1223:1028
4Real BetisReal Betis1220:1526
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1221:2022
6SevillaSevilla1217:1918
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1115:1116
8VillarrealVillarreal1217:1515
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1215:1415
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1217:3014
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1210:1013
12AlavesAlaves1215:1713
13EspanyolEspanyol1213:1412
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1115:2112
15GetafeGetafe128:1812
16OsasunaOsasuna1212:2312
17LevanteLevante1216:2111
18ElcheElche1214:2010
19ValenciaValencia128:209
20MalagaMalaga129:235
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Celta Vigo vs Osasuna forecast

The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Celta Vigo and Osasuna in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Celta Vigo are 11th and Osasuna 16th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Celta Vigo 10-10, Osasuna 12-23. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Osasuna have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.