Barcelona vs Athletic Club Prediction

Barcelona
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Athletic Club
Camp Nou, Barcelona·Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias, Spain 27/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.88
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+13.7%
Barcelona Rest
3 days
Athletic Club Rest
5 days

Barcelona vs Athletic Club: result, form and history

Barcelona beat Athletic Club 2-0 in the La Liga on 27 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Barcelona had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Athletic Club.

Barcelona have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.25
X
21%6.63
2
9%11.14
Double Chance
1X
91%1.05
X2
30%4.09
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.75
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.1 + 0.9 = 3.00
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
61%1.36
Over 3.5
37%1.95
Under 1.5
17%6.50
Under 2.5
39%3.00
Under 3.5
63%1.88
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.2 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.35
Over 9.5
46%1.61
Over 10.5
34%1.99
Under 8.5
42%2.85
Under 9.5
54%2.20
Under 10.5
66%1.77
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.5 = 3.4
Over 3.5
37%1.89
Over 4.5
26%2.73
Under 3.5
63%1.81
Under 4.5
74%1.39

Match Events

27'X. EspartHolding
37'RaphinhaAssist: Pedri
48'G. GuruzetaRoughing
60'I. Williams INA. Berenguer out
60'N. Williams INR. Navarro out
61'J. Louis-JeanHolding
63'Raphinha INRodri out
63'M. Bernal IND. Olmo out
70'J. Louis-Jean INA. Boiro out
70'M. Jauregizar INB. Gerenabarrena out
80'E. Garcia INJ. Kounde out
80'A. Gordon INK. Adeyemi out
81'G. Guruzeta INA. Djalo out
82'Fermin
85'Pedri INJ. Cancelo out

Lineups

Barcelona
4-3-3Coach: Hansi Flick
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1Coach: Edin Terzic
Avg rating7.12
Avg rating6.58
Joan García6.71J. García
Eric García7.224E. García
Pau Cubarsí7.95P. Cubarsí
Gerard Martín7.518G. Martín
Xavi Espart6.312X. Espart
Fermín López7.67F. López
Marc Bernal6.922M. Bernal
Pedri7.98Pedri
Lamine Yamal7.710L. Yamal
RaphinhaC7.911Raphinha
Anthony Gordon7.217A. Gordon
Unai Simón9.01U. Simón
Hugo Rincón6.315H. Rincón
Yeray Álvarez6.55Y. Álvarez
Aymeric Laporte5.614A. Laporte
Johaneko Louis Jean7.031J. Louis Jean
Mikel Jauregizar6.918M. Jauregizar
Peio Canales6.328P. Canales
Iñaki WilliamsC6.29I. Williams
Oihan Sancet6.38O. Sancet
Nico Williams6.210N. Williams
Gorka Guruzeta6.511G. Guruzeta

Barcelona Substitutes

16Rodri63'for Raphinha6.6
20Dani Olmo63'for M. Bernal7.2
23Jules Koundé80'for E. Garcia6.7
14Karim Adeyemi80'for A. Gordon6.3
2João Cancelo85'for Pedri6.3
13Wojciech Szczęsny
31Eder Aller
15Andreas Christensen
3Alejandro Balde
28Brian Fariñas
29Hamza Abdelkarim

Athletic Club Substitutes

23Robert Navarro60'for N. Williams6.3
7Álex Berenguer60'for I. Williams6.3
19Adama Boiro70'for J. Louis-Jean6.5
24Beñat Gerenabarrena70'for M. Jauregizar6.9
25Álvaro Djaló81'for G. Guruzeta6.5
13Alex Padilla
12Jesús Areso
30Iker Monreal Agundez
4Aitor Paredes
20Alejandro Rego Mora
16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
21Maroan Sannadi

Match Stats

BarcelonaAthletic Club
70%Ball Possession30%
12Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots5
10Shots on Goal0
7Shots off Goal5
18Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots0
13Fouls6
8Offsides5
0Goalkeeper Saves8
621Total Passes252
560Passes Accurate183
90%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

BarcelonaBarcelona
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
2068Elo Rating 1782
3.41Attack 2.86
1.44Defense 2.00
64%Hit Rate 69%
16.3Shots per Game 16.1
7.2Shots on Target 5.3
4.4Corners per Game 5.7
1.8Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+286 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BarcelonaBarcelona
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 1.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BarcelonaBarcelona8Wins · 80%
Draws220%
Athletic ClubAthletic Club0Wins · 0%
2.4Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

La Liga07/03/2026
Athletic ClubBarcelona
01
Super Cup07/01/2026
BarcelonaAthletic Club
50
La Liga22/11/2025
BarcelonaAthletic Club
40
La Liga25/05/2025
Athletic ClubBarcelona
03
Super Cup08/01/2025
Athletic ClubBarcelona
02
La Liga24/08/2024
BarcelonaAthletic Club
21
La Liga03/03/2024
Athletic ClubBarcelona
00
Copa del Rey24/01/2024
Athletic ClubBarcelona
4222
La Liga22/10/2023
BarcelonaAthletic Club
10
La Liga12/03/2023
Athletic ClubBarcelona
01

Recent Form

BarcelonaBarcelona
6W0D4L
23/08/2026
ElcheBarcelona
05
W
19/08/2026
BarcelonaAl Ahly
21
W
16/08/2026
FC Basel 1893Barcelona
25
W
08/08/2026
UdineseBarcelona
10
L
08/08/2026
BarcelonaNottingham Forest
10
W
31/07/2026
BirminghamBarcelona
3222
L
24/07/2026
BarcelonaEuropa Fc
41
W
23/05/2026
ValenciaBarcelona
31
L
17/05/2026
BarcelonaReal Betis
31
W
13/05/2026
AlavesBarcelona
10
L
Athletic ClubAthletic Club
5W1D4L
22/08/2026
Athletic ClubSevilla
13
L
21/08/2026
ZaragozaAthletic Club
31
L
14/08/2026
AtalantaAthletic Club
10
L
09/08/2026
MarseilleAthletic Club
31
L
01/08/2026
BurgosAthletic Club
03
W
29/07/2026
Racing SantanderAthletic Club
03
W
25/07/2026
Athletic ClubEibar
22
D
22/07/2026
Sestao RiverAthletic Club
02
W
18/07/2026
LeioaAthletic Club
011
W
15/07/2026
DerioAthletic Club
03
W

Referee Profile

Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias139 matches

4.56Cards per match
4.26Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias4.56
Other referees5.03

4.56 cards a match, 0.47 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.03).

Cards come from 135 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona12110148:13+3533WWLWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid12100231:10+2130WWWWW
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1291223:10+1328LWWWW
4Real BetisReal Betis1282220:15+526WWDLW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1271421:20+122WLWWW
6SevillaSevilla1253417:19-218DLWLD
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1144315:11+416WWLDD
8VillarrealVillarreal1243517:15+215WLWDL
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1236315:14+115DWLDL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1242617:30-1314WLWLD
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1227310:10013DLDWD
12AlavesAlaves1234515:17-213DLDLL
13EspanyolEspanyol1233613:14-112DWLLD
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1133515:21-612WLDDD
15GetafeGetafe123368:18-1012LWLDL
16OsasunaOsasuna1233612:23-1112DLLWL
17LevanteLevante1225516:21-511DLLWD
18ElcheElche1224614:20-610LLWDD
19ValenciaValencia122378:20-129LWLDD
20MalagaMalaga120579:23-145LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1248:1333
2Real MadridReal Madrid1231:1030
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1223:1028
4Real BetisReal Betis1220:1526
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1221:2022
6SevillaSevilla1217:1918
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1115:1116
8VillarrealVillarreal1217:1515
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1215:1415
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1217:3014
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1210:1013
12AlavesAlaves1215:1713
13EspanyolEspanyol1213:1412
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1115:2112
15GetafeGetafe128:1812
16OsasunaOsasuna1212:2312
17LevanteLevante1216:2111
18ElcheElche1214:2010
19ValenciaValencia128:209
20MalagaMalaga129:235
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Barcelona vs Athletic Club forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Barcelona and Athletic Club in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Barcelona are 1st and Athletic Club 7th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Barcelona 48-13, Athletic Club 15-11. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Barcelona have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Athletic Club have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.