Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras Prediction

Cerro Porteno
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Palmeiras
Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asuncion·F. Tello 20/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.8 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.45
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+6.5%
Cerro Porteno Rest
3 days
Palmeiras Rest
4 days

Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras: result, form and history

Palmeiras beat Cerro Porteno 1-0 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on 19 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Palmeiras have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game. Cerro Porteno tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 4.1 for Palmeiras.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
17%4.75
X
35%3.33
2
48%1.80
Double Chance
1X
52%2.00
X2
83%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.15
No
55%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.07 = 2.27
Over 1.5
70%1.45
Over 2.5
37%2.42
Over 3.5
18%4.50
Under 1.5
30%2.67
Under 2.5
63%1.54
Under 3.5
82%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 3.5 = 8.2
Over 8.5
58%1.66
Over 9.5
45%2.05
Over 10.5
34%2.63
Under 8.5
42%2.12
Under 9.5
55%1.68
Under 10.5
66%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.2 = 4.8
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
52%1.45
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
48%2.48

Match Events

41'Gustavo GómezAssist: Jhon Arias
46'Iván Ramírez INMateo Klimowicz out
52'Fabricio DomínguezFoul
53'José Manuel LópezFoul
62'Ariel Gamarra INJuan Iturbe out
62'Marcelo Chaparro INGuillermo Benitez out
74'Vitor Roque INMauricio out
76'Ignacio Aliseda INJonatan Torres out
81'Fabricio Domínguez INJosué Servín out
81'Murilo INBruno Fuchs out
90'Lucas Evangelista INEmiliano Martínez out
90'Jhon Arias INLuis Pacheco out
90'Allan INAgustín Giay out
90+2'Jorge MorelFoul

Lineups

Cerro Porteno
Coach: Jorge Achucarro
Palmeiras
Coach: Ferreira Abel

Cerro Porteno Starting XI

1Manuel Roffo6.7
16Iván Ramírez46'replaced by Mateo Klimowicz6.6
24Alexis Canete6.9
23Gustavo VelázquezC6.5
14Lucas Quintana7.0
35Marcelo Chaparro62'replaced by Guillermo Benitez6.3
2Fabricio Domínguez52'81'replaced by Josué Servín6.7
18Ariel Gamarra62'replaced by Juan Iturbe6.5
5Jorge Morel90+2'6.9
31Ignacio Aliseda76'replaced by Jonatan Torres6.5
19Pablo Vegetti5.9
Avg rating6.60

Palmeiras Starting XI

1Carlos Miguel7.2
26Murilo81'replaced by Bruno Fuchs7.0
15Gustavo GómezC41'8.2
2Alexander Barboza7.7
40Allan90'replaced by Agustín Giay6.9
17Marlon Freitas6.9
30Lucas Evangelista90'replaced by Emiliano Martínez6.9
22Joaquín Piquerez7.3
11Jhon Arias90'replaced by Luis Pacheco7.3
42José Manuel López53'7.2
9Vitor Roque74'replaced by Mauricio6.2
Avg rating7.08

Cerro Porteno Substitutes

40Mateo Klimowicz46'for Iván Ramírez6.6
13Guillermo Benitez62'for Marcelo Chaparro6.9
11Juan Iturbe62'for Ariel Gamarra6.5
27Jonatan Torres76'for Ignacio Aliseda6.5
39Josué Servín81'for Fabricio Domínguez6.6
25Roberto Fernández
44Lucas Merolla
46Carlos Chena
3Álvaro Espínola
28Carlos Franco
26Piris da Motta
36Fredy Noguera

Palmeiras Substitutes

18Mauricio74'for Vitor Roque6.3
3Bruno Fuchs81'for Murilo6.9
4Agustín Giay90'for Allan
50Luis Pacheco90'for Jhon Arias
32Emiliano Martínez90'for Lucas Evangelista
14Marcelo Lomba
43Luis Benedetti
56Arthur Gabriel
48Larson
7Felipe Anderson
39Heittor
37Riquelme Fillipi

Match Stats

Cerro PortenoPalmeiras
57%Ball Possession43%
7Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal7
6Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots3
17Fouls17
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
394Total Passes296
285Passes Accurate199
72%Pass Accuracy67%

Team Comparison

Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
PalmeirasPalmeiras
1614Elo Rating 1874
1.86Attack 1.94
1.53Defense 2.58
34%Hit Rate 86%
14.6Shots per Game 16.0
5.9Shots on Target 6.7
7.8Corners per Game 4.1
1.0Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
PalmeirasPalmeiras
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1Wins · 11%
Draws222%
PalmeirasPalmeiras6Wins · 67%
2.4Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

CONMEBOL Libertadores13/08/2026
PalmeirasCerro Porteno
11
CONMEBOL Libertadores21/05/2026
PalmeirasCerro Porteno
01
CONMEBOL Libertadores30/04/2026
Cerro PortenoPalmeiras
11
CONMEBOL Libertadores08/05/2025
Cerro PortenoPalmeiras
02
CONMEBOL Libertadores10/04/2025
PalmeirasCerro Porteno
10
CONMEBOL Libertadores25/05/2023
Cerro PortenoPalmeiras
03
CONMEBOL Libertadores21/04/2023
PalmeirasCerro Porteno
21
CONMEBOL Libertadores07/07/2022
PalmeirasCerro Porteno
50
CONMEBOL Libertadores30/06/2022
Cerro PortenoPalmeiras
03

Recent Form

Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno
5W1D4L
16/08/2026
Cerro PortenoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
10
W
13/08/2026
PalmeirasCerro Porteno
11
D
08/08/2026
Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
10
L
01/08/2026
Cerro PortenoSportivo Luqueno
30
W
28/07/2026
2 de MayoCerro Porteno
21
L
24/07/2026
Cerro PortenoSportivo Trinidense
12
L
29/05/2026
Cerro PortenoSporting Cristal
20
W
24/05/2026
Cerro PortenoRubio NU
20
W
21/05/2026
PalmeirasCerro Porteno
01
W
15/05/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseCerro Porteno
31
L

Referee Profile

F. Tello242 matches

5.27Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

F. Tello5.29
Other referees5.12

5.29 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).

Cards come from 229 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals

League Table

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno64116:2+413WWWDW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras632110:5+511WLWDW
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal62046:9-36LLLWL
4JuniorJunior61145:11-64LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno66:213
2PalmeirasPalmeiras610:511
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal66:96
4JuniorJunior65:114

About the Cerro Porteno vs Palmeiras forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cerro Porteno and Palmeiras in the CONMEBOL Libertadores table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Cerro Porteno are 1st in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, 2 points ahead of Palmeiras in 2nd. League goal record so far: Cerro Porteno 6-2, Palmeiras 10-5. The full standings are on the CONMEBOL Libertadores Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cerro Porteno have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Palmeiras have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.