Coritiba vs Palmeiras Prediction

Coritiba
1-3
Finished
HT 0-2
Palmeiras
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba· Anderson Daronco, Brazil 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Over 3.5
1.34
SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+12.7%
Coritiba Rest
53 days
Palmeiras Rest
52 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%4.25
X
29%3.31
2
48%1.94
Double Chance
1X
52%1.85
X2
77%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.95
No
46%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.36 = 2.53
Over 1.5
74%1.36
Over 2.5
50%2.20
Over 3.5
31%3.95
Under 1.5
26%3.00
Under 2.5
50%1.67
Under 3.5
69%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.8 + 4.9 = 8.7
Over 8.5
51%1.34
Over 9.5
37%1.60
Over 10.5
28%1.97
Under 8.5
49%2.94
Under 9.5
63%2.18
Under 10.5
72%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.8 = 5.7
Over 3.5
81%1.34
Over 4.5
64%1.73
Under 3.5
19%2.87
Under 4.5
36%2.00

Match Events

9'MauricioAssist: Ramón Sosa
15'Ramón SosaArgument
19'Mauricio
38'Alexander BarbozaFoul
45'Thiago SantosFoul
46'Sebastian Gomez INVini Paulista out
59'Joaquín Lavega INLucas Ronier out
65'Renato Marques INPaulo Roberto out
65'Bruno Melo INFelipe Jonatan out
67'Ramón SosaAssist: Joaquín Piquerez
68'Paulo RobertoAssist: Josué
77'Thiago Santos INJoão Pedro Chermont out
77'Tinga INBrian Ocampo out
79'KhellvenFoul
79'Mauricio INEmiliano Martínez out
80'Jhon Arias INRiquelme Fillipi out
90'Andreas Pereira INLucas Evangelista out
90'Ramón Sosa INHeittor out

Lineups

Coritiba
4-2-3-1Coach: Seabra Fernando
Palmeiras
3-4-1-2Coach: Ferreira Abel
Pedro Rangel22P. RangelPedro Rangel
Tinga2TingaTinga
Tiago Cóser23T. CóserTiago Cóser
Jacy Maranhão55J. MaranhãoJacy Maranhão
Bruno Melo26B. MeloBruno Melo
Thiago Santos21T. SantosThiago Santos
Sebastian Gomez19S. GomezSebastian Gomez
Joaquín Lavega7J. LavegaJoaquín Lavega
Josué10JosuéJosué
Breno Lopes77B. LopesBreno Lopes
Renato Marques78R. MarquesRenato Marques
Carlos Miguel1C. MiguelCarlos Miguel
Murilo26MuriloMurilo
Gustavo Gómez15G. GómezGustavo Gómez
Alexander Barboza2A. BarbozaAlexander Barboza
Khellven12KhellvenKhellven
Andreas Pereira8A. PereiraAndreas Pereira
Marlon Freitas17M. FreitasMarlon Freitas
Joaquín Piquerez22J. PiquerezJoaquín Piquerez
Jhon Arias11J. AriasJhon Arias
Mauricio18MauricioMauricio
Ramón Sosa19R. SosaRamón Sosa

Coritiba Substitutes

36Vini PaulistaF
11Lucas RonierF
6Felipe JonatanD
18Paulo RobertoM
44João Pedro ChermontD
17Brian OcampoF
1Pedro MoriscoG
3MaiconD
4Rodrigo MoledoD
50Vitor Gonçalves TissiM
39GustavoM
20KenoF

Palmeiras Substitutes

32Emiliano MartínezM
37Riquelme FillipiF
30Lucas EvangelistaM
39HeittorF
21KaiqueG
14Marcelo LombaG
56Arthur GabrielD
43Luis BenedettiD
3Bruno FuchsD
45Erick BeléM
48LarsonM
29Miguel Cinoncelli BilongF

Match Stats

CoritibaPalmeiras
51%Ball Possession49%
8Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots13
6Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box5
11Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots3
10Fouls16
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
436Total Passes435
384Passes Accurate379
88%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

CoritibaCoritiba
PalmeirasPalmeiras
1652Elo Rating 1851
2.09Attack 0.91
1.04Defense 2.86
36%Hit Rate 50%
16.2Shots per Game 17.9
5.5Shots on Target 4.8
5.5Corners per Game 7.2
2.7Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CoritibaCoritiba
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PalmeirasPalmeiras
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Coritiba 0%Draw 0%100% Palmeiras
2.99Avg Goals
27%BTTS Rate
49%Over 2.5

Recent Form

CoritibaCoritiba
2W1D2L
30/05/2026
FlamengoCoritiba
30
L
26/05/2026
CoritibaBahia
32
W
17/05/2026
SantosCoritiba
03
W
14/05/2026
CoritibaSantos
02
L
09/05/2026
CoritibaInternacional
22
D
PalmeirasPalmeiras
3W1D1L
31/05/2026
PalmeirasChapecoense-sc
10
W
29/05/2026
PalmeirasJunior
41
W
24/05/2026
FlamengoPalmeiras
03
W
21/05/2026
PalmeirasCerro Porteno
01
L
17/05/2026
PalmeirasCruzeiro
11
D

Referee Profile

Anderson Daronco, Brazil · 29 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
26.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 49% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11BotafogoBotafogo27981041:43-235WDDLL
12Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
13VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
14CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio27771330:38-828LLLWL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11BotafogoBotafogo2741:4335
12Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
13VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
14CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2730:3828
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
PromotionRelegation

Coritiba vs Palmeiras Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

ScorePredicts covers Brazil football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Coritiba and Palmeiras have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.99 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.