Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC Prediction

Palmeiras
3-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Fortaleza EC
Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo· Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.28
SignalSOLIDModel60%RiskMediumGap-4.2%
Palmeiras Rest
3 days
Fortaleza EC Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.28
X
22%5.20
2
4%10.95
Double Chance
1X
96%1.04
X2
26%3.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.31
No
52%1.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.1 + 1.05 = 3.15
Over 1.5
86%1.25
Over 2.5
56%1.80
Over 3.5
37%3.00
Under 1.5
14%3.77
Under 2.5
44%2.00
Under 3.5
63%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'Murilo
43'Joao Ricardo
46'Luiz Fernando INNathan Fogaca out
46'Ronald INRodrigo out
48'MauricioAssist: R. Sosa
61'Vitinho INWelliton out
64'J. AriasAssist: Allan Elias
69'R. Sosa INVitor Roque out
69'Mauricio INJ. Lopez out
70'J. Piquerez INArthur Gabriel out
70'Lucas Sasha INRodriguinho out
75'G. Fuentes
76'Paulo Baya INLucas Crispim out
76'Allan Elias INFelipe Anderson out
83'J. Arias INLucas Evangelista out
85'J. Lopez

Lineups

Palmeiras
3-4-2-1Coach: Ferreira Abel
Fortaleza EC
4-3-3Coach: Carpini Thiago
Carlos Miguel1C. MiguelCarlos Miguel
Emiliano Martínez32E. MartínezEmiliano Martínez
Murilo26MuriloMurilo
Alexander Barboza2A. BarbozaAlexander Barboza
Allan40AllanAllan
Andreas Pereira8A. PereiraAndreas Pereira
Marlon Freitas17M. FreitasMarlon Freitas
Joaquín Piquerez22J. PiquerezJoaquín Piquerez
Mauricio18MauricioMauricio
Jhon Arias11J. AriasJhon Arias
Ramón Sosa19R. SosaRamón Sosa
João Ricardo1J. RicardoJoão Ricardo
Maílton22MaíltonMaílton
Neris23NerisNeris
Lucas Gazal3L. GazalLucas Gazal
Gabriel Fuentes18G. FuentesGabriel Fuentes
Ronald8RonaldRonald
Lucas Sasha88L. SashaLucas Sasha
Pierre5PierrePierre
Vitinho11VitinhoVitinho
Luiz Fernando32L. FernandoLuiz Fernando
Paulo Baya77P. BayaPaulo Baya

Palmeiras Substitutes

42José Manuel LópezF
9Vitor RoqueF
56Arthur GabrielD
14Marcelo LombaG
21KaiqueG
12KhellvenD
4Agustín GiayD
43Luis BenedettiD
7Felipe AndersonM
30Lucas EvangelistaM
50Luis PachecoM
10PaulinhoF

Fortaleza EC Substitutes

29Rodrigo SantosM
17Nathan FogaçaF
31WellitonF
75RodriguinhoM
25Vinicius SilvestreG
13Maurício LimaD
4Luan FreitasD
6Tomás CardonaD
28PaulinhoD
10Lucas CrispimM
37Ryan GustavoM
9Juan MiritelloF

Match Stats

PalmeirasFortaleza EC
62%Ball Possession38%
7Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots13
9Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal8
12Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots5
8Fouls9
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves6
577Total Passes345
502Passes Accurate273
87%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

PalmeirasPalmeiras
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
1851Elo Rating 1695
0.91Attack 1.14
2.86Defense 2.56
50%Hit Rate 56%
17.9Shots per Game 13.6
4.8Shots on Target 3.8
7.2Corners per Game 4.1
3.0Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+155 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals
📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

PalmeirasPalmeiras
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Palmeiras 50%Draw 34%17% Fortaleza EC
3.87Avg Goals
83%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil · 3 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.1Avg Cards
21.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 79% of referees analysed

Bracket

Round of 512
Round of 256
Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
On penalties
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
On penalties
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
On penalties
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13
On penalties
Botafogo
Seeded
Chapecoense-sc
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Gremio
Seeded
Vasco DA Gama
Seeded
Corinthians
Seeded
Cruzeiro
Seeded
Bahia
Seeded
Remo
Seeded
Santos
Seeded
Coritiba
Seeded
Internacional
Seeded
Flamengo
Seeded
Vitoria
Seeded
RB Bragantino
Seeded
Mirassol
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Palmeiras
Seeded
Fluminense
Seeded
Atletico Paranaense
Seeded
Ponte Preta
Seeded
Confiança
Seeded
Paysandu
Seeded
Barra
Seeded
Boavista SC
Seeded
Maringá
Seeded
Joinville
Seeded
CSA
Seeded
America-RN
Seeded
GAS
Seeded
Fortaleza EC
Seeded
Castanhal
Seeded
Guarani Campinas
Seeded
Juazeirense
Seeded
Capital Brasilia
Seeded
Atletico Goianiense
Seeded
Novorizontino
Seeded
Nacional AM
Seeded
ABC
Seeded
Londrina
Seeded
Penedense
Seeded
Retrô
Seeded
Uberlandia
Seeded
São Luiz
Seeded
Maranhão
Seeded
Tombense
Seeded
Oratório
Seeded
Anápolis
Seeded
Cianorte
Seeded
Imperatriz
Seeded
Amazonas
Seeded
Ceilândia
Seeded
Jacuipense
Seeded
Águia de Marabá
Seeded
Independência
Seeded
ASA
Seeded
Operario Ferroviario
Seeded
São Bernardo
Seeded
Atlético Alagoinhas
Seeded
Caxias
Seeded
Guarany de Bagé
Seeded
Goias
Seeded
Ypiranga-RS
Seeded
Mixto
Seeded
Botafogo PB
Seeded
Ceara
Seeded
CEOV Operário
Seeded
Porto Velho
Seeded
Portuguesa
Seeded
Altos
Seeded
CRB
Seeded
Figueirense
Seeded
Azuriz
Seeded
Nova Iguaçu
Seeded
Lagarto
Seeded
Tuna Luso
Seeded
Tocantinópolis
Seeded
Vila Nova
Seeded
Avai
Seeded
Porto Vitória
Seeded
Capital
Seeded
Manaus FC
Seeded
Operario-PR
Seeded
Rio Branco ES
Seeded
Athletic Club
Seeded
Cuiaba
Seeded
Volta Redonda
Seeded
Manauara
Seeded
AO Itabaiana
Seeded
America Mineiro
Seeded
Trem
Seeded
Fluminense PI
Seeded
Portuguesa RJ
Seeded
Maracanã
Seeded
Sport Recife
Seeded
Santa Cruz
Seeded
Sousa
Seeded
Juventude
Seeded
Boavista SC2
Maringá3
Joinville1
CSA0
America-RN3
GAS0
Fortaleza EC4
Maguary PE3
Castanhal15
Guarani Campinas13
On penalties
Juazeirense11
Capital Brasilia13
On penalties
Atletico Goianiense1
Primavera MG0
Novorizontino4
Nacional AM0
Madureira1
ABC0
Londrina1
Penedense0
Retrô1
Uberlandia2
São Luiz0
Maranhão1
Tombense14
Oratório12
On penalties
Anápolis3
Cianorte1
Imperatriz0
Amazonas3
Ceilândia11
Jacuipense14
On penalties
Águia de Marabá2
Independência0
ASA1
Operario Ferroviario2
São Bernardo2
Atlético Alagoinhas0
Caxias0
Guarany de Bagé1
Gama24
Goias25
On penalties
Ypiranga-RS2
Ji-Paraná0
Mixto14
Botafogo PB13
On penalties
Ceara2
Primavera SP1
CEOV Operário11
Porto Velho13
On penalties
Portuguesa5
Altos1
CRB6
Porto BA0
Figueirense1
Azuriz0
Nova Iguaçu14
Lagarto13
On penalties
Tuna Luso4
Tocantinópolis1
Velo Clube02
Vila Nova04
On penalties
Avai3
Porto Vitória0
Capital14
Manaus FC15
On penalties
Betim0
Operario-PR2
Rio Branco ES15
Athletic Club16
On penalties
Santa Catarina15
Cuiaba14
On penalties
Ivinhema2
Volta Redonda4
Manauara3
AO Itabaiana1
America Mineiro14
Tirol/CEFAT13
On penalties
Trem03
Fluminense PI04
On penalties
Portuguesa RJ1
Maracanã0
Desportiva ES03
Sport Recife04
On penalties
Santa Cruz02
Sousa04
On penalties
Juventude5
Guaporé0
Botafogo
Seeded
Chapecoense-sc
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Gremio
Seeded
Vasco DA Gama
Seeded
Corinthians
Seeded
Cruzeiro
Seeded
Bahia
Seeded
Remo
Seeded
Santos
Seeded
Coritiba
Seeded
Internacional
Seeded
Flamengo
Seeded
Vitoria
Seeded
RB Bragantino
Seeded
Mirassol
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Palmeiras
Seeded
Fluminense
Seeded
Atletico Paranaense
Seeded
Ponte Preta
Seeded
Confiança
Seeded
Paysandu
Seeded
Barra
Seeded
Portuguesa14
Avai11
On penalties
Joinville0
São Bernardo1
Ponte Preta1
Guarany de Bagé0
Maringá3
Uberlandia2
Athletic Club2
Ypiranga-RS0
Manauara0
Fortaleza EC1
Volta Redonda05
America-RN03
On penalties
Goias3
Fluminense PI0
Confiança2
Tombense0
Castanhal0
Nova Iguaçu4
Santa Catarina0
Jacuipense1
Porto Velho0
Atletico Goianiense1
Manaus FC04
Londrina05
On penalties
Paysandu3
Portuguesa RJ1
Madureira0
Águia de Marabá1
Vila Nova15
Operario Ferroviario14
On penalties
Maranhão0
Ceara1
Operario-PR2
Capital Brasilia0
Sousa0
CRB2
Amazonas0
Figueirense1
Mixto0
Novorizontino3
Barra04
America Mineiro03
On penalties
Sport Recife15
Anápolis13
On penalties
Tuna Luso11
Juventude14
On penalties
Botafogo
Seeded
Chapecoense-sc
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Gremio
Seeded
Vasco DA Gama
Seeded
Corinthians
Seeded
Cruzeiro
Seeded
Bahia
Seeded
Remo
Seeded
Santos
Seeded
Coritiba
Seeded
Internacional
Seeded
Flamengo
Seeded
Vitoria
Seeded
RB Bragantino
Seeded
Mirassol
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Palmeiras
Seeded
Fluminense
Seeded
Atletico Paranaense
Seeded
Nova Iguaçu0
Fortaleza EC1
São Bernardo02
Ceara03
On penalties
Londrina0
Operario-PR1
Portuguesa2
Paysandu3
Sport Recife1
Athletic Club3
Vila Nova03
Confiança05
On penalties
Atletico Goianiense1
Ponte Preta0
CRB1
Figueirense0
Jacuipense05
Novorizontino04
On penalties
Juventude3
Águia de Marabá0
Maringá0
Goias1
Volta Redonda01
Barra03
On penalties
Botafogo
Seeded
Chapecoense-sc
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Gremio
Seeded
Vasco DA Gama
Seeded
Corinthians
Seeded
Cruzeiro
Seeded
Bahia
Seeded
Remo
Seeded
Santos
Seeded
Coritiba
Seeded
Internacional
Seeded
Flamengo
Seeded
Vitoria
Seeded
RB Bragantino
Seeded
Mirassol
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Palmeiras
Seeded
Fluminense
Seeded
Atletico Paranaense
Seeded

Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC Prediction

As a knockout-stage Copa Do Brasil fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Copa Do Brasil

ScorePredicts covers Copa Do Brasil across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.87 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.