Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC Prediction
Brazil · Round of 16CupKnockout
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.28
SignalGOODModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Palmeiras Rest
3 days
Fortaleza EC Rest
4 days
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC: the result in context
Palmeiras beat Fortaleza EC 3-0 in the Copa Do Brasil on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
174%1.28
X22%5.20
24%10.95
Double Chance
1X96%1.04
X226%3.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%2.31
No52%1.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.1 + 1.05 = 3.15
Over 1.586%1.25
Over 2.556%1.80
Over 3.537%3.00
Under 1.514%3.77
Under 2.544%2.00
Under 3.563%1.36
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
27'Murilo
43'Joao Ricardo
46'Luiz Fernando INNathan Fogaca out
46'Ronald INRodrigo out
48'MauricioAssist: R. Sosa
61'Vitinho INWelliton out
64'J. AriasAssist: Allan Elias
69'R. Sosa INVitor Roque out
69'Mauricio INJ. Lopez out
70'J. Piquerez INArthur Gabriel out
70'Lucas Sasha INRodriguinho out
75'G. Fuentes
76'Paulo Baya INLucas Crispim out
76'Allan Elias INFelipe Anderson out
83'J. Arias INLucas Evangelista out
85'J. Lopez
Lineups
PalmeirasFortaleza EC
4-3-3Coach: Carpini ThiagoAvg ratingAvg rating
1C. Miguel
32E. Martínez
26Murilo
2A. Barboza
40Allan
8A. Pereira
17M. Freitas
C22J. Piquerez
18Mauricio
11J. Arias
19R. Sosa
C1J. Ricardo
22Maílton
23Neris
3L. Gazal
18G. Fuentes
8Ronald
88L. Sasha
5Pierre
11Vitinho
32L. Fernando
77P. BayaPalmeiras Substitutes
42José Manuel López69'for Mauricio85'
9Vitor Roque69'for R. Sosa
56Arthur Gabriel70'for J. Piquerez
14Marcelo Lomba
21Kaique
12Khellven
4Agustín Giay
43Luis Benedetti
7Felipe Anderson76'for Allan Elias
30Lucas Evangelista83'for J. Arias
50Luis Pacheco
10Paulinho
Fortaleza EC Substitutes
29Rodrigo Santos46'for Ronald
17Nathan Fogaça46'for Luiz Fernando
31Welliton61'for Vitinho
75Rodriguinho70'for Lucas Sasha
25Vinicius Silvestre
13Maurício Lima
4Luan Freitas
6Tomás Cardona
28Paulinho
10Lucas Crispim76'for Paulo Baya
37Ryan Gustavo
9Juan Miritello
Match Stats
PalmeirasFortaleza EC 62%Ball Possession38%
7Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots17
9Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal9
12Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box10
4Blocked Shots6
9Fouls9
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
579Total Passes346
504Passes Accurate274
87%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
PalmeirasFortaleza EC1874Elo Rating 1701
2.18Attack 1.32
2.59Defense 2.21
66%Hit Rate 34%
17.3Shots per Game 14.3
5.6Shots on Target 3.7
5.9Corners per Game 6.2
1.9Cards per Game 2.7
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+173 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Palmeiras- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)
Fortaleza EC- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Palmeiras5Wins · 50%Draws330%
Fortaleza EC2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10
Previous meetings
21/09/2025PalmeirasFortaleza EC41
20/04/2025Fortaleza ECPalmeiras12
26/10/2024PalmeirasFortaleza EC22
27/06/2024Fortaleza ECPalmeiras30
26/11/2023Fortaleza ECPalmeiras22
22/07/2023PalmeirasFortaleza EC31
01/06/2023Fortaleza ECPalmeiras10
18/05/2023PalmeirasFortaleza EC30
03/11/2022PalmeirasFortaleza EC40
10/07/2022Fortaleza ECPalmeiras00
Recent Form
Palmeiras6W2D2L
30/07/2026
VitoriaPalmeirasPalmeiras
Atletico-MG
CoritibaPalmeiras
VitoriaPalmeiras04
W27/07/2026PalmeirasAtletico-MG12
L23/07/2026CoritibaPalmeiras13
W31/05/2026Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
PalmeirasChapecoense-sc10
W29/05/2026Palmeiras
Junior
PalmeirasJunior41
W24/05/2026
FlamengoPalmeiras
FlamengoPalmeiras03
W21/05/2026Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
PalmeirasCerro Porteno01
L17/05/2026Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
PalmeirasCruzeiro11
D14/05/2026
JacuipensePalmeiras
JacuipensePalmeiras14
W10/05/2026
RemoPalmeiras
RemoPalmeiras11
DFortaleza EC5W1D4L
29/07/2026Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
22/07/2026Fortaleza ECBotafogo SP10
W
Vila NovaFortaleza EC21
L18/07/2026Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino10
W12/07/2026
Atletico GoianienseFortaleza EC10
L03/07/2026Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta20
W28/06/2026Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife21
W21/06/2026
CRBFortaleza EC11
D17/06/2026Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro03
L10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC01
W06/06/2026VitoriaFortaleza EC
VitoriaFortaleza EC21
LReferee Profile
5.31Cards per match
5.05Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.31 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.25).
Cards come from 118 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
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Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Sampaio Corrêa RJ11
Desportiva ES13
Porto BA2
Serra Branca1
Maguary PE1
Laguna0
Baré0
Madureira3
Araguaína0
Primavera SP3
América SE13
Tirol/CEFAT15
Betim1
Piauí0
Gama2
Monte Roraima0
Santa Catarina2
IAPE0
Ji-Paraná2
Pantanal0
Ivinhema1
Independente AP0
Galvez12
Guaporé13
Primavera MG2
Bragantino PA1
Vasco da Gama AC12
Velo Clube13
BotafogoChapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
BahiaRemoCruzeiro
SantosCoritiba
Internacional
RB Bragantino
MirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
FluminensePonte Preta
Confiança
Paysandu
Barra
Boavista SC
Maringá
Joinville
CSA
America-RN
GASFortaleza EC
Castanhal
Guarani Campinas
Juazeirense
Capital BrasiliaAtletico GoianienseNovorizontino
Nacional AM
ABC
Londrina
Penedense
Retrô
Uberlandia
São Luiz
Maranhão
Tombense
Oratório
Anápolis
Cianorte
Imperatriz
Amazonas
CeilândiaJacuipense
Águia de Marabá
Independência
ASA
Operario Ferroviario
São Bernardo
Atlético Alagoinhas
Caxias
Guarany de Bagé
Goias
Ypiranga-RS
Mixto
Botafogo PB
Ceara
CEOV Operário
Porto Velho
Portuguesa
AltosCRB
Figueirense
Azuriz
Nova Iguaçu
Lagarto
Tuna Luso
TocantinópolisVila Nova
Avai
Porto Vitória
Capital
Manaus FC
Operario-PR
Rio Branco ES
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Volta Redonda
Manauara
AO ItabaianaAmerica Mineiro
Trem
Fluminense PI
Portuguesa RJ
MaracanãSport Recife
Santa Cruz
Sousa
JuventudeBoavista SC2Maringá3Joinville1CSA0America-RN3GAS0Fortaleza EC4Maguary PE3Castanhal15Guarani Campinas13Juazeirense11Capital Brasilia13Atletico Goianiense1Primavera MG0Novorizontino4Nacional AM0Madureira1ABC0Londrina1Penedense0Retrô1Uberlandia2São Luiz0Maranhão1Tombense14Oratório12Anápolis3Cianorte1Imperatriz0Amazonas3Ceilândia11Jacuipense14Águia de Marabá2Independência0ASA1Operario Ferroviario2São Bernardo2Atlético Alagoinhas0Caxias0Guarany de Bagé1Gama24Goias25Ypiranga-RS2Ji-Paraná0Mixto14Botafogo PB13Ceara2Primavera SP1CEOV Operário11Porto Velho13Portuguesa5Altos1CRB6Porto BA0Figueirense1Azuriz0Nova Iguaçu14Lagarto13Tuna Luso4Tocantinópolis1Velo Clube02Vila Nova04Avai3Porto Vitória0Capital14Manaus FC15Betim0Operario-PR2Rio Branco ES15Athletic Club16Santa Catarina15Cuiaba14Ivinhema2Volta Redonda4Manauara3AO Itabaiana1America Mineiro14Tirol/CEFAT13Trem03Fluminense PI04Portuguesa RJ1Maracanã0Desportiva ES03Sport Recife04Santa Cruz02Sousa04Juventude5Guaporé0BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminensePonte PretaConfiançaPaysanduBarraPortuguesa14Avai11Joinville0São Bernardo1Ponte Preta1Guarany de Bagé0Maringá3Uberlandia2Athletic Club2Ypiranga-RS0Manauara0Fortaleza EC1Volta Redonda05America-RN03Goias3Fluminense PI0Confiança2Tombense0Castanhal0Nova Iguaçu4Santa Catarina0Jacuipense1Porto Velho0Atletico Goianiense1Manaus FC04Londrina05Paysandu3Portuguesa RJ1Madureira0Águia de Marabá1Vila Nova15Operario Ferroviario14Maranhão0Ceara1Operario-PR2Capital Brasilia0Sousa0CRB2Amazonas0Figueirense1Mixto0Novorizontino3Barra04America Mineiro03Sport Recife15Anápolis13Tuna Luso11Juventude14BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseNova Iguaçu0Fortaleza EC1São Bernardo02Ceara03Londrina0Operario-PR1Sport Recife1Athletic Club3Portuguesa2Paysandu3Vila Nova03Confiança05Atletico Goianiense1Ponte Preta0CRB1Figueirense0Jacuipense05Novorizontino04Maringá0Goias1Juventude3Águia de Marabá0Volta Redonda01Barra03BotafogoChapecoense-scSao PauloGremioCorinthiansVasco DA GamaBahiaRemoCruzeiroSantosCoritibaInternacionalRB BragantinoMirassolFlamengoVitoriaAtletico-MGPalmeirasAtletico ParanaenseFluminenseExplore more predictions
This match
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About the Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC forecast
As a knockout tie in the Copa Do Brasil, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
About Copa Do Brasil
More Copa Do Brasil fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Do Brasil Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Palmeiras have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.