Vitoria vs Palmeiras Prediction

Vitoria
0-4
Finished
HT 0-2
Palmeiras
Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador· Alex Gomes Stefano, Brazil 30/07/2026
VitoriaVitoria
0-4
Finished
PalmeirasPalmeiras

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 2.5
1.91
SignalGOODModel43%RiskHighGap+11.5%
Vitoria Rest
3 days
Palmeiras Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%4.00
X
31%3.15
2
43%2.05
Double Chance
1X
57%1.74
X2
74%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.95
No
47%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.2 = 2.34
Over 1.5
71%1.40
Over 2.5
48%2.25
Over 3.5
25%4.20
Under 1.5
29%2.89
Under 2.5
52%1.65
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.5 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.33
Over 9.5
43%1.61
Over 10.5
29%2.00
Under 8.5
45%2.95
Under 9.5
57%2.20
Under 10.5
71%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.7 = 5.6
Over 3.5
79%1.30
Over 4.5
61%1.64
Under 3.5
21%3.15
Under 4.5
39%2.13

Match Events

14'Marlon FreitasRoughing
27'MauricioElbowing
32'Emmanuel MartinezTripping
37'CacaTripping
40'Luan CandidoUnsportsmanlike conduct
41'Emmanuel Martinez INZe Vitor out
45+1'MauricioAssist: J. Arias
45+6'FabianoOG
46'Rene INT. Pochettino out
46'G. Gomez INJ. Lopez out
46'Marlon Freitas INE. Martinez out
46'Mauricio INKhellven out
46'Matheuzinho IND. Tarzia out
56'FabianoTripping
65'A. Barboza INLucas Evangelista out
66'E. BritezHolding
67'Fabiano INJamerson out
70'J. AriasAssist: J. Piquerez
74'J. Arias INVitor Roque out
74'Baralhas INWalace out
84'R. Sosa

Lineups

Vitoria
5-4-1Coach: Ventura Jair
Palmeiras
3-4-1-2Coach: Ferreira Abel
Lucas Arcanjo1L. ArcanjoLucas Arcanjo
Fabiano Souza70F. SouzaFabiano Souza
Cacá25CacáCacá
Emanuel Brítez2E. BrítezEmanuel Brítez
Luan Cândido36L. CândidoLuan Cândido
Ramon13RamonRamon
Matheuzinho10MatheuzinhoMatheuzinho
Gabriel Baralhas44G. BaralhasGabriel Baralhas
Caique Gonçalves95C. GonçalvesCaique Gonçalves
Emmanuel Martínez6E. MartínezEmmanuel Martínez
Renê Sousa91R. SousaRenê Sousa
Carlos Miguel1C. MiguelCarlos Miguel
Murilo26MuriloMurilo
Gustavo Gómez15G. GómezGustavo Gómez
Alexander Barboza2A. BarbozaAlexander Barboza
Allan40AllanAllan
Andreas Pereira8A. PereiraAndreas Pereira
Marlon Freitas17M. FreitasMarlon Freitas
Joaquín Piquerez22J. PiquerezJoaquín Piquerez
Jhon Arias11J. AriasJhon Arias
Mauricio18MauricioMauricio
Ramón Sosa19R. SosaRamón Sosa

Vitoria Substitutes

88Zé VitorM
12Diego TarziaD
8Tomás PochettinoM
83JamersonD
15WalaceD
71Yuri SenaG
98MateusinhoD
33ErickF
11OsvaldoF
23Fabrício SantosF
79Renato KayzerF
7MarinhoF

Palmeiras Substitutes

12KhellvenD
32Emiliano MartínezM
42José Manuel LópezF
30Lucas EvangelistaM
9Vitor RoqueF
14Marcelo LombaG
21KaiqueG
43Luis BenedettiD
4Agustín GiayD
56Arthur GabrielD
7Felipe AndersonM
37Riquelme FillipiF

Match Stats

VitoriaPalmeiras
32%Ball Possession68%
6Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards2
2Red Cards0
10Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots3
10Fouls15
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
229Total Passes508
162Passes Accurate462
71%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

VitoriaVitoria
PalmeirasPalmeiras
1635Elo Rating 1851
0.93Attack 0.91
1.60Defense 2.86
23%Hit Rate 50%
12.7Shots per Game 17.9
4.4Shots on Target 4.8
4.1Corners per Game 7.2
2.6Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

VitoriaVitoria
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PalmeirasPalmeiras
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Vitoria 17%Draw 42%41% Palmeiras
2.87Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Recent Form

VitoriaVitoria
3W1D1L
27/07/2026
RemoVitoria
20
L
24/07/2026
BotafogoVitoria
00
D
17/07/2026
VitoriaVasco DA Gama
10
W
06/06/2026
VitoriaFortaleza EC
21
W
03/06/2026
Fortaleza ECVitoria
12
W
PalmeirasPalmeiras
4W0D1L
27/07/2026
PalmeirasAtletico-MG
12
L
23/07/2026
CoritibaPalmeiras
13
W
31/05/2026
PalmeirasChapecoense-sc
10
W
29/05/2026
PalmeirasJunior
41
W
24/05/2026
FlamengoPalmeiras
03
W

Referee Profile

Alex Gomes Stefano, Brazil · 27 matches analysed

5.1Avg Yellows
5.5Avg Cards
29.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 90% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo27176453:22+3157WWWWL
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27168347:21+2656WDDWL
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense27137741:31+1046DLDWD
4BahiaBahia271210542:33+946WWWWD
5FluminenseFluminense27129641:35+645LWDWW
6CruzeiroCruzeiro27126939:39042LWLWW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG26116935:31+439WLWDW
8CoritibaCoritiba27108937:38-138DLWWD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino261061032:29+336DLLWD
10SantosSantos2698939:39035WWWDW
11BotafogoBotafogo27981041:43-235WDDLL
12Sao PauloSao Paulo26961131:30+133LWWLD
13VitoriaVitoria27961227:39-1233DWLLW
14CorinthiansCorinthians27881128:29-132LLLLL
15MirassolMirassol27781231:42-1129DWLDD
16GremioGremio27771330:38-828LLLWL
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama26771229:41-1228WLWLL
18InternacionalInternacional276101130:35-528WLLDD
19RemoRemo27581431:45-1423LLLLD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc26381528:52-2417LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo2753:2257
2PalmeirasPalmeiras2747:2156
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2741:3146
4BahiaBahia2742:3346
5FluminenseFluminense2741:3545
6CruzeiroCruzeiro2739:3942
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2635:3139
8CoritibaCoritiba2737:3838
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2632:2936
10SantosSantos2639:3935
11BotafogoBotafogo2741:4335
12Sao PauloSao Paulo2631:3033
13VitoriaVitoria2727:3933
14CorinthiansCorinthians2728:2932
15MirassolMirassol2731:4229
16GremioGremio2730:3828
17Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama2629:4128
18InternacionalInternacional2730:3528
19RemoRemo2731:4523
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc2628:5217
PromotionRelegation

Vitoria vs Palmeiras Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

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Key Factors for This Match

Vitoria and Palmeiras have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.87 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.