Cerro vs Cerro Largo Prediction
Uruguay · Clausura - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-2.6%
Cerro Rest
6 days
Cerro Largo Rest
5 days
Cerro vs Cerro Largo: the result in context
Cerro and Cerro Largo drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 16 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 1.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%2.23
X30%3.00
226%3.12
Double Chance
1X74%1.30
X256%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.98
No52%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1 = 2.35
Over 1.566%1.44
Over 2.540%2.33
Over 3.521%4.50
Under 1.534%2.62
Under 2.560%1.54
Under 3.579%1.18
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
13'rodrigo mederos
28'Juan Cruz Guasone
36'Emiliano Rodriguez INbruno morales out
43'Nahuel Arena
46'rodrigo mederos INFrancisco Bregante Torres out
61'Cristian Barros INEzequiel Forclaz out
64'Gustavo Viera INandres cordoba out
64'joaquin bruno alvarez hernandez INaxel pandiani out
71'Juan Cruz Guasone
71'Brian Lozano
73'Leonardo Pais
83'Leonardo Pais INJorge Alejandro Severo Cordero out
83'Alexander Nahuel·Hernandez Dominguez INDiego Daguerre out
83'Brian Lozano INBorys Barone out
84'Ezequiel Forclaz
86'alexis piegas
90+10'
Lineups
CerroCerro Largo
4-3-3Coach: B. Silva
12Y. Irrazábal
35P. Nongoy
16J. Guasone
21N. Arena
17G. Rodríguez
5A. Macelli
8A. Miranda
32R. Mederos
27C. Barros
70L. Pais
14E. Rodriguez
12P. González
17A. Hernández
3A. Piegas
19A. Prado
20S. Franca
15A. Assis
5S. Marcel3030j. bruno alvarez hernandez
7G. Viera
26E. de León
29B. LozanoCerro Substitutes
6F. Bregante46'for rodrigo mederos
1D. Denis
11E. Forclaz61'for Cristian Barros84'
2facundo iraola
3A. Lima
9B. Morales36'for Emiliano Rodriguez
13B. Quinteros
7A. Severo83'for Leonardo Pais
20Mauro Villar
33Alan Zamurio
Cerro Largo Substitutes
23A. Cordoba64'for Gustavo Viera
10Axel Michele Pandiani64'replaced by joaquin bruno alvarez hernandez
25E. Jourdan
24L. González
8M. García
6R. Ergas
18Diego Daguerre83'for Alexander Nahuel·Hernandez Dominguez
21Ezequiel Cabral
22N. Bertochi
13Borys Santiago Barone Grillo83'for Brian Lozano
Match Stats
CerroCerro Largo 41%Ball Possession59%
3Corner Kicks6
5Yellow Cards2
3Total Shots6
2Shots on Goal2
1Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0
Team Comparison
CerroCerro Largo1469Elo Rating 1457
1.10Attack 0.54
1.60Defense 1.98
23%Hit Rate 14%
9.5Shots per Game 6.8
4.5Shots on Target 1.9
2.9Corners per Game 4.8
4.5Cards per Game 3.2
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cerro- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
Cerro Largo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Cerro2Wins · 25%Draws450%
Cerro Largo2Wins · 25%
2Wins · 25%1.4Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8
Previous meetings
30/05/2026Cerro LargoCerro20
11/04/2026Cerro LargoCerro11
19/06/2025CerroCerro Largo21
17/03/2025Cerro LargoCerro00
14/07/2024CerroCerro Largo01
24/03/2024CerroCerro Largo11
02/07/2023Cerro LargoCerro01
29/04/2023CerroCerro Largo00
Recent Form
Cerro3W3D4L
10/10/2026
Defensor SportingCerro
Defensor SportingCerro23
W04/10/2026Cerro
Wanderers
CerroWanderers02
L27/09/2026
JuventudCerro
JuventudCerro00
D24/09/2026Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
CerroDeportivo Maldonado12
L19/09/2026Cerro
Penarol
CerroPenarol12
L13/09/2026
ProgresoCerro
ProgresoCerro13
W10/09/2026Cerro
Cerrito
CerroCerrito02
L06/09/2026Cerro
Racing Montevideo
CerroRacing Montevideo10
W01/09/2026WanderersCerro
WanderersCerro11
D29/08/2026
Boston RiverCerro
Boston RiverCerro11
DCerro Largo1W3D6L
11/10/2026Cerro Largo
Albion FC
DanubioCerro LargoCerro Largo
Club NacionalDeportivo MaldonadoCerro LargoCerro LargoDefensor Sporting
Cerro LargoAlbion FC01
L04/10/2026DanubioCerro Largo21
L30/09/2026Cerro Largo
Rentistas
26/09/2026Cerro LargoRentistas10
WCerro LargoClub Nacional02
L19/09/2026Deportivo MaldonadoCerro Largo20
L13/09/2026Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
10/09/2026Cerro LargoCentral Espanol00
DCerro LargoDefensor Sporting11
D05/09/2026
Atletico TorqueCerro Largo
Atletico TorqueCerro Largo21
L31/08/2026Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo11
D26/08/2026
Plaza ColoniaCerro Largo
Plaza ColoniaCerro Largo21
LReferee Profile
5.57Cards per match
5.50Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.57 cards a match, 0.37 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).
Cards come from 14 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 64 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 57:40 | +17 | 60 | DLDLL |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 51:40 | +11 | 58 | LLWWL |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:30 | +12 | 57 | DWWWD |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 44:31 | +13 | 53 | WLDDL |
| 7 | Wanderers | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 50 | LLLWL |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 9 | Juventud | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37:41 | -4 | 41 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:38 | -6 | 37 | LDDWL |
| 12 | Boston River | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 | WLWWL |
| 13 | Cerro | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 28:51 | -23 | 37 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 | DWLDD |
| 15 | Progreso | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 | WLLDD |
| 16 | Danubio | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 28:43 | -15 | 32 | DDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 34 | 51:27 | 64 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 34 | 57:40 | 60 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 33 | 51:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 34 | 42:30 | 57 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 33 | 44:31 | 53 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 34 | 41:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 9 | Juventud | 34 | 37:41 | 41 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 34 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 34 | 32:38 | 37 |
| 12 | Boston River | 34 | 33:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Cerro | 34 | 28:51 | 37 |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 34 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Progreso | 34 | 31:47 | 35 |
| 16 | Danubio | 34 | 28:43 | 32 |
Primera: Promedios
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 43 | 14 | 14 | 117:61 | +56 | 143 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 70 | 42 | 14 | 14 | 127:73 | +54 | 137 | LLWWL |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 70 | 32 | 22 | 16 | 95:68 | +27 | 118 | WLDDL |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 29 | 23 | 19 | 81:68 | +13 | 110 | DWWWD |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 71 | 31 | 16 | 24 | 111:91 | +20 | 109 | DLDLL |
| 7 | Juventud | 71 | 28 | 18 | 25 | 82:80 | +2 | 102 | DWLLL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 71 | 26 | 19 | 26 | 75:81 | -6 | 97 | DWLDD |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 10 | Boston River | 71 | 24 | 20 | 27 | 83:84 | -1 | 92 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 71 | 21 | 23 | 27 | 73:79 | -6 | 86 | LDDWL |
| 12 | Cerro | 71 | 22 | 18 | 31 | 61:93 | -32 | 83 | DDWLW |
| 13 | Wanderers | 71 | 20 | 21 | 30 | 66:90 | -24 | 81 | LLLWL |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Danubio | 71 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 69:84 | -15 | 75 | DDDLD |
| 16 | Progreso | 71 | 20 | 14 | 37 | 69:107 | -38 | 74 | WLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 117:61 | 143 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 70 | 127:73 | 137 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 70 | 95:68 | 118 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 81:68 | 110 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 71 | 111:91 | 109 |
| 7 | Juventud | 71 | 82:80 | 102 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 71 | 75:81 | 97 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 10 | Boston River | 71 | 83:84 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 71 | 73:79 | 86 |
| 12 | Cerro | 71 | 61:93 | 83 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 71 | 66:90 | 81 |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 15 | Danubio | 71 | 69:84 | 75 |
| 16 | Progreso | 71 | 69:107 | 74 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | +9 | 16 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 | LDDWL |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 10 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 | WLDDL |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 9 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 | DWLDD |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 | WLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 5:10 | 5 |
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 31 | DWWWD |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 28 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | +7 | 27 | DLWLW |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 24 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 | DLDLL |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | +5 | 22 | LLWWL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 21 | DWLDD |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 20 | WLDDL |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 | LLLWL |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 | DDDLD |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 | LDDWL |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 | WLWWL |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | DWLLL |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 | WLLDD |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | DDWLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
Primera: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24:13 | +11 | 25 | DLDLL |
| 2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | +11 | 24 | WLDDL |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | +6 | 23 | LLWWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | +8 | 21 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Penarol | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | 21 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Progreso | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Juventud | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | 18 | DWLLL |
| 8 | Cerro | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 | DDWLW |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | +2 | 16 | DWWWD |
| 10 | Boston River | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Wanderers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | WWDDW |
| 13 | Danubio | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 10 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 | LDDWL |
| 15 | Defensor Sporting | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6:21 | -15 | 5 | LDWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 12 | 24:13 | 25 |
| 2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 11 | 19:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 11 | 17:11 | 23 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 18:10 | 21 |
| 5 | Penarol | 12 | 16:8 | 21 |
| 6 | Progreso | 12 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Juventud | 12 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro | 12 | 14:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 12 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Boston River | 12 | 14:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 12 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Danubio | 12 | 6:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Defensor Sporting | 12 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 12 | 6:21 | 5 |
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About the Cerro vs Cerro Largo forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cerro and Cerro Largo in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Cerro (13th) and Cerro Largo (11th) are level on 37 points. League goal record so far: Cerro 28-51, Cerro Largo 32-38. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.