Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting Prediction

10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.43
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+6.7%
Cerro Largo Rest
5 days
Defensor Sporting Rest
3 days

Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting: result, form and history

Cerro Largo and Defensor Sporting drew 1-1 in the Copa Uruguay on 9 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 9 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.90
X
27%2.79
2
27%2.50
Double Chance
1X
73%1.43
X2
54%1.35
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'
44'J. Neris

Team Comparison

Cerro LargoCerro Largo
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
1464Elo Rating 1476
0.89Attack 1.84
1.69Defense 1.20
23%Hit Rate 27%
5.7Shots per Game 7.7
1.9Shots on Target 3.9
3.7Corners per Game 4.3
2.7Cards per Game 3.6

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cerro LargoCerro Largo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Cerro LargoCerro Largo0Wins · 0%
Draws444%
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting5Wins · 56%
2.0Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera División22/08/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
Primera División - Apertura14/07/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
Primera División - Apertura21/02/2026
Defensor SportingCerro Largo
10
Primera División - Apertura25/05/2025
Defensor SportingCerro Largo
32
Primera División - Apertura23/03/2025
Defensor SportingCerro Largo
00
Primera División - Apertura26/05/2024
Defensor SportingCerro Largo
31
Primera División - Apertura19/03/2023
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
03
Primera División - Apertura25/06/2022
Defensor SportingCerro Largo
10
Primera División - Apertura09/04/2022
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
00

Recent Form

Cerro LargoCerro Largo
1W6D3L
05/09/2026
Atletico TorqueCerro Largo
21
L
31/08/2026
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
11
D
26/08/2026
Plaza ColoniaCerro Largo
21
L
22/08/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
16/08/2026
WanderersCerro Largo
11
D
08/08/2026
Cerro LargoJuventud
11
D
01/08/2026
PenarolCerro Largo
30
L
25/07/2026
Central EspanolCerro Largo
01
W
14/07/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
09/06/2026
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
00
D
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
1W4D5L
06/09/2026
Central EspanolDefensor Sporting
11
D
29/08/2026
Defensor SportingAtletico Torque
13
L
25/08/2026
Defensor SportingRentistas
00
D
22/08/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
16/08/2026
Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo
04
L
09/08/2026
Defensor SportingWanderers
01
L
04/08/2026
Defensor SportingCerro
21
W
25/07/2026
Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo
12
L
14/07/2026
Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting
11
D
04/07/2026
CruzeiroDefensor Sporting
20
L

About the Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sporting forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Copa Uruguay

More Copa Uruguay fixtures and forecasts are on the Copa Uruguay Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.