Sassuolo vs Cesena Prediction

Coppa ItaliaItaly Italy · Round of 64
CupKnockout
Sassuolo
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Cesena
Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia· Niccolo Turrini, Italy 17/08/2026
SassuoloSassuolo
3-0
Finished
CesenaCesena

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.56
SignalGOODModel40%RiskMediumGap+11.6%
Sassuolo Rest
9 days
Cesena Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.46
X
27%4.50
2
27%6.20
Double Chance
1X
74%1.11
X2
54%2.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.67
No
47%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 2.83 = 4.42
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
50%1.53
Over 3.5
29%2.38
Under 1.5
18%4.75
Under 2.5
50%2.35
Under 3.5
71%1.56
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'M. Piacentini INM. Ilic out
13'C. VolpatoAssist: S. Cinquegrano
45+2'V. AdzicAssist: J. Doig
46'M. Caprini INA. Fiori out
64'A. David
66'K. Bowie INA. Ghion out
66'N. Matic INB. Dominguez out
68'R. Pagano INM. Francesconi out
68'M. Guidi INL. Schirone out
72'L. Schirone
72'V. Adzic INL. Lipani out
75'L. LipaniAssist: D. Bakola
82'S. Cinquegrano INF. Missori out
82'T. Macchioni INA. Di Bitonto out
83'C. Shpendi INA. Debenedetti out

Lineups

Sassuolo
4-3-3Coach: Alberto Aquilani
Cesena
4-3-3Coach: Alessandro Diamanti
Arijanet Murić49A. MurićArijanet Murić
Simone Cinquegrano46S. CinquegranoSimone Cinquegrano
Cas Odenthal26C. OdenthalCas Odenthal
Tommaso Macchioni31T. MacchioniTommaso Macchioni
Josh Doig3J. DoigJosh Doig
Vasilije Adžić17V. AdžićVasilije Adžić
Nemanja Matić18N. MatićNemanja Matić
Darryl Bakola50D. BakolaDarryl Bakola
Cristian Volpato7C. VolpatoCristian Volpato
Kieron Bowie9K. BowieKieron Bowie
Armand Laurienté45A. LaurientéArmand Laurienté
Alessandro Siano1A. SianoAlessandro Siano
Andrea Ciofi15A. CiofiAndrea Ciofi
Matteo Piacentini26M. PiacentiniMatteo Piacentini
Massimiliano Mangraviti24M. MangravitiMassimiliano Mangraviti
Antonio David3A. DavidAntonio David
Dimitri Bisoli25D. BisoliDimitri Bisoli
Riccardo Pagano10R. PaganoRiccardo Pagano
Matteo Guidi18M. GuidiMatteo Guidi
Xavello Druiventak14X. DruiventakXavello Druiventak
Cristian Shpendi9C. ShpendiCristian Shpendi
Maat Daniel Caprini11M. Daniel CapriniMaat Daniel Caprini

Sassuolo Substitutes

8Andrea GhionM
25Benjamín DomínguezF
35Luca LipaniM
23Alessandro Di BitontoD
2Filippo MissoriD
80Stefano TuratiG
22Lorenzo NyarkoG
21Jay IdzesD
33Rafael ObradorD
44Edoardo IannoniM
20Riccardo CiervoM
30Patrick Amiamo NuamahF
77Nicholas PieriniF
24Luca MoroF
14Gabriel KullaF

Cesena Substitutes

6Mihajlo IlićD
80Antonio FioriF
8Matteo FrancesconiM
5Luca SchironeM
91Alessandro DebenedettiF
90Tommaso MazziG
39Niccolo FontanaG
23Vittorio MagniD
2Mark NattaD
20Matteo CasadeiM
76Enea CasadeiM
43Filippo BertacciniF

Match Stats

SassuoloCesena
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots9
8Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
6Fouls11
5Goalkeeper Saves5
512Total Passes374
455Passes Accurate322
89%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

SassuoloSassuolo
CesenaCesena
1769Elo Rating 1542
1.93Attack 1.32
1.36Defense 1.45
44%Hit Rate 19%
14.0Shots per Game 10.3
5.9Shots on Target 3.3
4.8Corners per Game 4.7
1.9Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+226 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy4.43 goals
📈BTTS Trend46% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SassuoloSassuolo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CesenaCesena
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

Sassuolo 100%Draw 0%0% Cesena
2.46Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Recent Form

SassuoloSassuolo
1W1D3L
08/08/2026
FC AugsburgSassuolo
32
L
05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
14
L
31/07/2026
SassuoloFolgore Caratese
00
D
22/07/2026
SassuoloPadova
41
W
24/05/2026
ParmaSassuolo
10
L
CesenaCesena
2W2D1L
08/08/2026
ForliCesena
00
D
05/08/2026
CesenaVis Pesaro
30
W
01/08/2026
CesenaFossombrone
30
W
08/05/2026
CesenaPadova
34
L
01/05/2026
CarrareseCesena
00
D

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Vicenza Virtus13
Catania14
On penalties
Ascoli3
Potenza1
Arezzo2
Union Brescia0
Benevento5
Ravenna3
Parma
Seeded
Cagliari
Seeded
Monza
Seeded
Avellino
Seeded
Fiorentina
Seeded
Catanzaro
Seeded
Sudtirol
Seeded
Udinese
Seeded
Padova
Seeded
Venezia
Seeded
Modena
Seeded
Torino
Seeded
Carrarese
Seeded
Frosinone
Seeded
Juve Stabia
Seeded
Genoa
Seeded
Hellas Verona
Seeded
Virtus Entella
Seeded
Lazio
Seeded
Mantova
Seeded
Pisa
Seeded
Empoli
Seeded
Sassuolo
Seeded
Cesena
Seeded
Cremonese
Seeded
Sampdoria
Seeded
Palermo
Seeded
Lecce
Seeded
Parma2
Catania0
Cagliari1
Arezzo0
Monza3
Avellino0
Fiorentina4
Benevento1
Catanzaro23
Sudtirol24
On penalties
Udinese1
Padova0
Venezia3
Modena2
Torino1
Carrarese0
Frosinone4
Juve Stabia1
Genoa4
Ascoli1
Hellas Verona23
Virtus Entella22
On penalties
Lazio0
Mantova2
Pisa14
Empoli13
On penalties
Sassuolo3
Cesena0
Cremonese2
Sampdoria0
Palermo2
Lecce0
Parma0
Cremonese2
Torino0
Monza1
Sassuolo14
Frosinone13
On penalties
Udinese2
Venezia1
Palermo5
Mantova2
Cagliari1
Hellas Verona2
Genoa1
Sudtirol0
Fiorentina3
Pisa0
Parma2
Catania0
Cagliari1
Arezzo0
Monza3
Avellino0
Fiorentina4
Benevento1
Catanzaro23
Sudtirol24
On penalties
Udinese1
Padova0
Venezia3
Modena2
Torino1
Carrarese0
Frosinone4
Juve Stabia1
Genoa4
Ascoli1
Hellas Verona23
Virtus Entella22
On penalties
Lazio0
Mantova2
Pisa14
Empoli13
On penalties
Sassuolo3
Cesena0
Cremonese2
Sampdoria0
Palermo2
Lecce0

Sassuolo vs Cesena Prediction

As a knockout-stage Coppa Italia fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Cesena have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Sassuolo and Cesena have met 2 times recently, averaging 2.46 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.