CF Montreal vs DC United Prediction

CF Montreal
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
DC United
Saputo Stadium, Montréal·R. Mendoza 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.67
SignalNEUTRALModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+1.2%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+5.0%
CF Montreal Rest
14 days
DC United Rest
14 days

CF Montreal vs DC United: the result in context

CF Montreal and DC United drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee R. Mendoza averages 4.81 cards a game, 0.53 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.15
X
27%3.60
2
33%3.10
Double Chance
1X
67%1.35
X2
60%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.55
No
36%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.33 = 2.83
Over 1.5
82%1.20
Over 2.5
61%1.67
Over 3.5
35%2.64
Under 1.5
18%4.33
Under 2.5
39%2.16
Under 3.5
65%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.41
Over 9.5
47%1.70
Over 10.5
33%2.10
Under 8.5
40%2.69
Under 9.5
53%2.05
Under 10.5
67%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
62%1.38
Over 4.5
42%1.83
Under 3.5
38%2.86
Under 4.5
58%1.90

Match Events

19'J. Hopkins
49'K. Kurokawa
50'P. Owusu(Penalty)
62'B. Ceballos IND. Bugaj out
62'F. Herbers INM. Longstaff out
62'J. Hopkins INJ. Stroud out
63'L. Petrasso
66'T. BariboAssist: K. Nono
77'N. Streit IND. Rios out
80'K. Nono INH. Kijima out
88'B. Servania INN. Markovic out
88'L. Munteanu INN. Ordaz out
90'V. Loturi INO. Escobar out

Lineups

CF Montreal
Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy
DC United
Coach: Rene Weiler

CF Montreal Starting XI

31T. Gillier
3B. Ceballos62'replaced by D. Bugaj
2J. Neal
4B. Vera
13L. Petrasso63'
22V. Loturi90'replaced by O. Escobar
7D. Pereira
21F. Herbers62'replaced by M. Longstaff
18G. Synchuk
9P. Owusu50'
23N. Streit77'replaced by D. Rios

DC United Starting XI

1S. Johnson
5S. Hefti
4M. Peltola
13S. Nealis
6K. Kurokawa49'
2K. Nono80'replaced by H. Kijima
21A. Dozzell
23B. Servania88'replaced by N. Markovic
25J. Hopkins19'62'replaced by J. Stroud
11L. Munteanu88'replaced by N. Ordaz
9T. Baribo66'

CF Montreal Substitutes

1S. Breza
27D. Bugaj62'for B. Ceballos
5B. Craig
8M. Longstaff62'for F. Herbers
26I. Losenko
29O. Escobar90'for V. Loturi
6S. Piette
35O. Graham-Roache
14D. Rios77'for N. Streit

DC United Substitutes

26A. Bono
27N. Markovic88'for B. Servania
77H. Kijima80'for K. Nono
30C. Clark
48G. Turner
40K. Castillo
8J. Stroud62'for J. Hopkins
22N. Ordaz88'for L. Munteanu
7Peglow

Team Comparison

CF MontrealCF Montreal
DC UnitedDC United
1468Elo Rating 1448
0.58Attack 0.54
1.12Defense 0.45
0%Hit Rate 0%
9.8Shots per Game 11.5
2.7Shots on Target 3.0
4.7Corners per Game 6.9
3.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CF MontrealCF Montreal
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
DC UnitedDC United
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CF MontrealCF Montreal3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
DC UnitedDC United3Wins · 30%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer24/05/2026
DC UnitedCF Montreal
44
Major League Soccer17/08/2025
CF MontrealDC United
11
Major League Soccer16/03/2025
DC UnitedCF Montreal
00
Major League Soccer30/05/2024
CF MontrealDC United
42
Major League Soccer31/03/2024
DC UnitedCF Montreal
10
Major League Soccer01/06/2023
DC UnitedCF Montreal
22
Major League Soccer16/04/2023
CF MontrealDC United
01
Major League Soccer02/10/2022
CF MontrealDC United
10
Major League Soccer24/07/2022
DC UnitedCF Montreal
12
Major League Soccer09/08/2021
DC UnitedCF Montreal
21

Recent Form

CF MontrealCF Montreal
3W4D3L
02/08/2026
CF MontrealNew England Revolution
22
D
26/07/2026
CF MontrealInter Miami
01
L
23/07/2026
Nashville SCCF Montreal
10
L
17/07/2026
CF MontrealToronto FC
00
D
13/07/2026
CF MontrealVancouver FC
21
W
09/07/2026
Vancouver FCCF Montreal
12
W
24/05/2026
DC UnitedCF Montreal
44
D
16/05/2026
CF MontrealChicago Fire
02
L
14/05/2026
CF MontrealPortland Timbers
22
D
09/05/2026
CF MontrealOrlando City SC
20
W
DC UnitedDC United
3W6D1L
02/08/2026
DC UnitedNashville SC
22
D
26/07/2026
DC UnitedToronto FC
21
W
23/07/2026
Houston DynamoDC United
11
D
24/05/2026
DC UnitedCF Montreal
44
D
17/05/2026
DC UnitedSt. Louis City
11
D
14/05/2026
DC UnitedChicago Fire
13
L
10/05/2026
Nashville SCDC United
22
D
03/05/2026
New York City FCDC United
02
W
26/04/2026
DC UnitedOrlando City SC
32
W
23/04/2026
New York Red BullsDC United
44
D

Referee Profile

R. Mendoza130 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.58Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Mendoza4.81
Other referees4.28

4.81 cards a match, 0.53 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).

Cards come from 127 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC34238371:25+4677WWDWD
2Inter MiamiInter Miami341612680:59+2160DWDLW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution341841255:47+858LLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire341671164:54+1055LWDWL
5CharlotteCharlotte341591066:51+1554DWWLD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union341481266:52+1450WLDLD
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew341451559:52+747WWWWW
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC341371463:78-1546WLDDW
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3412101267:75-846LWDWW
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls341261648:62-1442WLLWL
11New York City FCNew York City FC3410121249:45+442WDWDD
12Toronto FCToronto FC349121352:67-1539LLWLW
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC34961943:60-1733LWLLL
14DC UnitedDC United347121539:61-2233LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal34682037:69-3226LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3471:2577
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3480:5960
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3455:4758
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3464:5455
5CharlotteCharlotte3466:5154
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3466:5250
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3459:5247
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3463:7846
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3467:7546
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3448:6242
11New York City FCNew York City FC3449:4542
12Toronto FCToronto FC3452:6739
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3443:6033
14DC UnitedDC United3439:6133
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3437:6926
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About the CF Montreal vs DC United forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

CF Montreal and DC United in the Major League Soccer table

DC United and CF Montreal are close in the Major League Soccer table, 14th and 15th, with 7 points between them. League goal record so far: CF Montreal 37-69, DC United 39-61. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.