New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough·M. Badawi 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+3.5%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+10.7%
New England Revolution Rest
6 days
Houston Dynamo Rest
6 days

New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo: the result in context

Houston Dynamo beat New England Revolution 2-0 in the Major League Soccer on 8 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Houston Dynamo had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for New England Revolution.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.40
X
28%3.50
2
25%2.77
Double Chance
1X
75%1.40
X2
53%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.62
No
39%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.18 = 2.68
Over 1.5
80%1.23
Over 2.5
57%1.77
Over 3.5
32%2.92
Under 1.5
20%4.00
Under 2.5
43%2.00
Under 3.5
68%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.3 = 9.5
Over 8.5
60%1.46
Over 9.5
46%1.77
Over 10.5
32%2.23
Under 8.5
40%2.54
Under 9.5
54%1.95
Under 10.5
68%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.5 = 5.4
Over 3.5
74%1.67
Over 4.5
57%2.27
Under 3.5
26%2.10
Under 4.5
43%1.51

Match Events

45+1'Guilherme
54'Lawrence EnnaliFoul
54'Matt Polster INCody Baker out
54'Marcos Zambrano INJack Harrison out
63'Agustin ReschAssist: Jack McGlynn
72'Jack McGlynn INAgustín Bouzat out
79'Peyton Miller INGriffin Yow out
79'Alhassan Yusuf INDiego Fagúndez out
81'Ezequiel Ponce INDuncan McGuire out
81'Mateusz Bogusz INIbrahim Aliyu out
87'William Sands INWilson Harris out
89'Guilherme INOndrej Lingr out
89'Héctor Herrera INDiadié Samassékou out
90+3'Brooklyn RainesFoul

Lineups

New England Revolution
Coach: Marko Mitrovic
Houston Dynamo
Coach: Ben Olsen

New England Revolution Starting XI

30Matt Turner7.0
8Matt Polster54'replaced by Cody Baker6.6
22Ethan Kohler7.2
2Mamadou Fofana6.6
23William Sands87'replaced by Wilson Harris5.9
21Brooklyn Raines90+3'7.3
10Carles GilC7.7
80Alhassan Yusuf79'replaced by Diego Fagúndez7.2
25Peyton Miller79'replaced by Griffin Yow6.5
99Dor Turgeman6.0
17Marcos Zambrano54'replaced by Jack Harrison6.6
Avg rating6.73

Houston Dynamo Starting XI

31Jonathan Bond7.3
36Felipe Andrade7.2
5Lucas Halter7.2
34Agustin Resch63'8.9
11Lawrence Ennali54'7.2
6ArturC7.2
16Héctor Herrera89'replaced by Diadié Samassékou6.9
19Mateusz Bogusz81'replaced by Ibrahim Aliyu6.9
8Jack McGlynn72'replaced by Agustín Bouzat7.3
20Guilherme45+1'89'replaced by Ondrej Lingr7.7
10Ezequiel Ponce81'replaced by Duncan McGuire6.9
Avg rating7.09

New England Revolution Substitutes

15Cody Baker54'for Matt Polster6.5
11Jack Harrison54'for Marcos Zambrano7.7
7Griffin Yow79'for Peyton Miller6.3
77Diego Fagúndez79'for Alhassan Yusuf6.3
27Wilson Harris87'for William Sands6.3
33Donovan Parisian
4Tanner Beason
38Eric Klein
14Jackson Yueill

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

30Agustín Bouzat72'for Jack McGlynn6.9
24Ibrahim Aliyu81'for Mateusz Bogusz6.3
23Duncan McGuire81'for Ezequiel Ponce6.3
9Ondrej Lingr89'for Guilherme6.5
18Diadié Samassékou89'for Héctor Herrera6.7
26Blake Gillingham
21Franco Negri
28Erik Sviatchenko
14Duane Holmes

Match Stats

New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo
48%Ball Possession52%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal7
0Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box7
7Blocked Shots2
10Fouls10
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves2
495Total Passes553
430Passes Accurate495
87%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
1632Elo Rating 1602
1.93Attack 1.25
1.53Defense 1.44
73%Hit Rate 23%
10.1Shots per Game 7.8
4.7Shots on Target 1.6
4.2Corners per Game 3.9
1.2Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

New England RevolutionNew England Revolution1Wins · 33%
Draws00%
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2Wins · 67%
3.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer03/10/2024
Houston DynamoNew England Revolution
21
Major League Soccer05/03/2023
New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo
30
Major League Soccer14/09/2022
Houston DynamoNew England Revolution
31

Recent Form

New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
4W3D3L
02/08/2026
CF MontrealNew England Revolution
22
D
26/07/2026
New England RevolutionAtlanta United FC
41
W
23/07/2026
New England RevolutionToronto FC
00
D
24/05/2026
CharlotteNew England Revolution
10
L
17/05/2026
New England RevolutionMinnesota United FC
21
W
14/05/2026
New England RevolutionNashville SC
03
L
10/05/2026
New England RevolutionPhiladelphia Union
21
W
03/05/2026
New England RevolutionCharlotte
10
W
30/04/2026
New England RevolutionOrlando City SC
34
L
26/04/2026
Inter MiamiNew England Revolution
11
D
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
6W2D2L
02/08/2026
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
02
W
26/07/2026
Houston DynamoAustin
30
W
23/07/2026
Houston DynamoDC United
11
D
16/07/2026
Houston DynamoAmerica de Cali
21
W
12/07/2026
Houston DynamoCD Olimpia
30
W
24/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
11
D
20/05/2026
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
4222
L
17/05/2026
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
10
W
14/05/2026
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
30
L
11/05/2026
Los Angeles FCHouston Dynamo
14
W

Referee Profile

M. Badawi92 matches

4.27Cards per match
4.13Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Badawi4.27
Other referees4.34

4.27 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).

Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026

Western Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126

Eastern Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC34238371:25+4677WWDWD
2Inter MiamiInter Miami341612680:59+2160DWDLW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution341841255:47+858LLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire341671164:54+1055LWDWL
5CharlotteCharlotte341591066:51+1554DWWLD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union341481266:52+1450WLDLD
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew341451559:52+747WWWWW
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC341371463:78-1546WLDDW
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3412101267:75-846LWDWW
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls341261648:62-1442WLLWL
11New York City FCNew York City FC3410121249:45+442WDWDD
12Toronto FCToronto FC349121352:67-1539LLWLW
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC34961943:60-1733LWLLL
14DC UnitedDC United347121539:61-2233LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal34682037:69-3226LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3471:2577
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3480:5960
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3455:4758
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3464:5455
5CharlotteCharlotte3466:5154
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3466:5250
7Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3459:5247
8Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3463:7846
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3467:7546
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3448:6242
11New York City FCNew York City FC3449:4542
12Toronto FCToronto FC3452:6739
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3443:6033
14DC UnitedDC United3439:6133
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3437:6926
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About the New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About Major League Soccer

More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

New England Revolution have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.