New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Gillette Stadium, Foxborough· M. Badawi 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel48%RiskMediumGap+3.5%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel46%RiskMediumGap+10.7%
New England Revolution Rest
6 days
Houston Dynamo Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.40
X
28%3.50
2
25%2.77
Double Chance
1X
75%1.40
X2
53%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.62
No
39%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.18 = 2.68
Over 1.5
80%1.23
Over 2.5
57%1.77
Over 3.5
32%2.92
Under 1.5
20%4.00
Under 2.5
43%2.00
Under 3.5
68%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.3 = 9.5
Over 8.5
60%1.46
Over 9.5
46%1.77
Over 10.5
32%2.23
Under 8.5
40%2.54
Under 9.5
54%1.95
Under 10.5
68%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.5 = 5.4
Over 3.5
74%1.67
Over 4.5
57%2.27
Under 3.5
26%2.10
Under 4.5
43%1.51

Match Events

45+1'Guilherme
54'Lawrence EnnaliFoul
54'Matt Polster INCody Baker out
54'Marcos Zambrano INJack Harrison out
63'Agustin ReschAssist: Jack McGlynn
72'Jack McGlynn INAgustín Bouzat out
79'Peyton Miller INGriffin Yow out
79'Alhassan Yusuf INDiego Fagúndez out
81'Ezequiel Ponce INDuncan McGuire out
81'Mateusz Bogusz INIbrahim Aliyu out
87'William Sands INWilson Harris out
89'Guilherme INOndrej Lingr out
89'Héctor Herrera INDiadié Samassékou out
90+3'Brooklyn RainesFoul

Lineups

New England Revolution
Coach: Marko Mitrovic
Houston Dynamo
Coach: Ben Olsen

New England Revolution Starting XI

30Matt TurnerG
8Matt PolsterD
22Ethan KohlerD
2Mamadou FofanaD
23William SandsD
21Brooklyn RainesM
10Carles GilM
80Alhassan YusufM
25Peyton MillerF
99Dor TurgemanF
17Marcos ZambranoF

Houston Dynamo Starting XI

31Jonathan BondG
36Felipe AndradeD
5Lucas HalterD
34Agustin ReschD
11Lawrence EnnaliD
6ArturM
16Héctor HerreraM
19Mateusz BoguszM
8Jack McGlynnM
20GuilhermeM
10Ezequiel PonceF

New England Revolution Substitutes

15Cody BakerD
11Jack HarrisonM
7Griffin YowF
77Diego FagúndezM
27Wilson HarrisF
33Donovan ParisianG
4Tanner BeasonD
38Eric KleinM
14Jackson YueillM

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

30Agustín BouzatM
24Ibrahim AliyuF
23Duncan McGuireF
9Ondrej LingrM
18Diadié SamassékouM
26Blake GillinghamG
21Franco NegriD
28Erik SviatchenkoD
14Duane HolmesM

Match Stats

New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo
48%Ball Possession52%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal7
0Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box7
7Blocked Shots2
10Fouls10
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves2
495Total Passes553
430Passes Accurate495
87%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
1624Elo Rating 1653
1.83Attack 0.60
1.81Defense 2.22
66%Hit Rate 23%
13.2Shots per Game 13.0
5.9Shots on Target 4.3
3.4Corners per Game 4.1
1.9Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 3 historical meetings

New England Revolution 33%Draw 0%67% Houston Dynamo
3.28Avg Goals
67%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
2W2D1L
02/08/2026
CF MontrealNew England Revolution
22
D
26/07/2026
New England RevolutionAtlanta United FC
41
W
23/07/2026
New England RevolutionToronto FC
00
D
24/05/2026
CharlotteNew England Revolution
10
L
17/05/2026
New England RevolutionMinnesota United FC
21
W
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
4W1D0L
02/08/2026
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
02
W
26/07/2026
Houston DynamoAustin
30
W
23/07/2026
Houston DynamoDC United
11
D
16/07/2026
Houston DynamoAmerica de Cali
21
W
12/07/2026
Houston DynamoCD Olimpia
30
W

Referee Profile

M. Badawi · 32 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
23.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 44% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026

Western Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318

Eastern Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC26176353:21+3257WDLDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution26144845:33+1246WWWLW
3Inter MiamiInter Miami261210463:48+1546DDDDW
4CharlotteCharlotte26127747:37+1043WDWDW
5Chicago FireChicago Fire25116845:38+739LLDDD
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union261061050:42+836WWWWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC261041246:60-1434LWWWD
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls26961134:48-1433WWLDL
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2589854:61-733DDLLD
10New York City FCNew York City FC26881039:34+532LWLDD
11DC UnitedDC United25611831:39-829LDWDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC26611939:49-1029LLWDD
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew26751437:42-526WLLWL
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC26751430:43-1326WDLDL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal26561531:53-2221LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC2653:2157
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution2645:3346
3Inter MiamiInter Miami2663:4846
4CharlotteCharlotte2647:3743
5Chicago FireChicago Fire2545:3839
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2650:4236
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC2646:6034
8New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls2634:4833
9FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati2554:6133
10New York City FCNew York City FC2639:3432
11DC UnitedDC United2531:3929
12Toronto FCToronto FC2639:4929
13Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2637:4226
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC2630:4326
15CF MontrealCF Montreal2631:5321
Promotion

New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

New England Revolution have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. New England Revolution and Houston Dynamo have met 3 times recently, averaging 3.28 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.