Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge Prediction

Charleroi
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Cercle Brugge
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi·Letellier Anthony 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.66
SignalNEUTRALModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+0.4%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Charleroi Rest
5 days
Cercle Brugge Rest
6 days

Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge: result, form and history

Charleroi beat Cercle Brugge 3-2 in the Jupiler Pro League on 19 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Charleroi had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Cercle Brugge.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.66
X
24%4.00
2
14%4.75
Double Chance
1X
86%1.18
X2
38%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.62
No
42%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.92 + 1.1 = 3.02
Over 1.5
84%1.18
Over 2.5
62%1.62
Over 3.5
38%2.59
Under 1.5
16%4.40
Under 2.5
38%2.22
Under 3.5
62%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 3.8 = 10.4
Over 8.5
66%1.28
Over 9.5
56%1.54
Over 10.5
44%1.91
Under 8.5
34%3.05
Under 9.5
44%2.27
Under 10.5
56%1.82
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
47%1.75
Over 4.5
28%2.47
Under 3.5
53%2.00
Under 4.5
72%1.50

Match Events

15'Freddy MbembaAssist: Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
25'Aurelien ScheidlerAssist: Patrick Pflücke
30'Dante VanzeirAssist: Erick Nunes
34'Erick Nunes INViggo Martens out
58'Dante Vanzeir INSteve Ngoura out
58'Lazare Amani INBabatunde Jimoh Akinsola out
61'Aurelien Scheidler(Penalty)
62'Patrick Pflücke INGaku Nawata out
70'Penalty confirmedViggo Martens
73'Steve Ngoura(Penalty)
74'Mardochée Nzita INTriston Rowe out
74'Amine Boukamir INIsaac Cisse out
81'Aurelien Scheidler INMassamba Sow out
81'Freddy Mbemba INAdama Bojang out
81'Lukas Mondele INHannes Van Der Bruggen out
81'Krys-Anthony Madou Kouassi INLucas Michal out
82'Ibrahim DiakiteHandball
82'Yassine KhalifiFoul
90'Mario KohnenDissent
90+2'Aiham OusouDissent

Lineups

Charleroi
4-2-3-1Coach: Mario Kohnen
Cercle Brugge
5-3-2Coach: L. Friis
Avg rating6.59
Avg rating6.34
M. Koné6.530M. Koné
K. Van Den Kerkhof6.23K. Van Den Kerkhof
A. Ousou6.34A. Ousou
C. Keita6.695C. Keita
M. Nzita6.324M. Nzita
Y. Khalifi6.918Y. Khalifi
A. Boukamir6.16A. Boukamir
P. Pflücke7.014P. Pflücke
J. Romsaas7.78J. Romsaas
F. Situmona Mbemba7.620F. Situmona Mbemba
A. Scheidler7.821A. Scheidler
G. Coucke6.71G. Coucke
Erick6.68Erick
I. Diakité5.92I. Diakité
G. Kondo6.824G. Kondo
R. Caicedo6.233R. Caicedo
V. Konaté6.512V. Konaté
L. Amani5.810L. Amani
L. Mondele5.742L. Mondele
G. Magnée5.515G. Magnée
D. Vanzeir7.513D. Vanzeir
K. Kouassi6.341K. Kouassi

Charleroi Substitutes

1M. Delavallée
33N. Solheid
44M. Sow81'for Aurelien Scheidler6.2
51Mory Kera
13G. Nawata62'for Patrick Pflücke6.0
2T. Rowe74'for Mardochée Nzita5.7
9A. Bojang81'for Freddy Mbemba6.5
25A. Colassin
19I. Cisse74'for Amine Boukamir6.0

Cercle Brugge Substitutes

30B. Akinsola58'for Lazare Amani6.1
5Emmanuel Kakou
3Yago Lincoln
21Y. Lienard
28H. Van der Bruggen81'for Lukas Mondele5.8
22L. Michal81'for Krys-Anthony Madou Kouassi6.5
7Abdoul Ouattara
9S. Ngoura58'for Dante Vanzeir73'7.5
71V. Martens34'for Erick Nunes6.1

Match Stats

CharleroiCercle Brugge
64%Ball Possession36%
3Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots7
7Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal1
9Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box0
3Blocked Shots0
15Fouls14
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
574Total Passes317
488Passes Accurate242
12Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

CharleroiCharleroi
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
1693Elo Rating 1542
1.94Attack 1.83
1.49Defense 0.64
58%Hit Rate 46%
15.4Shots per Game 8.7
6.0Shots on Target 4.7
4.9Corners per Game 3.0
3.1Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+151 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CharleroiCharleroi
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CharleroiCharleroi4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge4Wins · 40%
3.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League07/02/2026
CharleroiCercle Brugge
34
Jupiler Pro League14/09/2025
Cercle BruggeCharleroi
23
Jupiler Pro League25/01/2025
CharleroiCercle Brugge
11
Jupiler Pro League03/11/2024
Cercle BruggeCharleroi
20
Jupiler Pro League09/03/2024
CharleroiCercle Brugge
00
Jupiler Pro League05/08/2023
Cercle BruggeCharleroi
20
Jupiler Pro League15/01/2023
CharleroiCercle Brugge
21
Jupiler Pro League21/10/2022
Cercle BruggeCharleroi
41
Jupiler Pro League19/03/2022
CharleroiCercle Brugge
50
Jupiler Pro League20/11/2021
Cercle BruggeCharleroi
12

Recent Form

CharleroiCharleroi
6W1D3L
13/09/2026
Zulte WaregemCharleroi
01
W
05/09/2026
CharleroiUnion St. Gilloise
23
L
29/08/2026
KortrijkCharleroi
13
W
22/08/2026
CharleroiKV Mechelen
20
W
16/08/2026
Lommel UnitedCharleroi
01
W
09/08/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
31
W
01/08/2026
CharleroiRayo Vallecano
23
L
25/07/2026
CharleroiSeraing United
21
W
25/07/2026
LensCharleroi
22
D
17/07/2026
FeyenoordCharleroi
31
L
Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
0W5D5L
12/09/2026
OH LeuvenCercle Brugge
11
D
06/09/2026
Cercle BruggeGent
03
L
29/08/2026
Cercle BruggeLommel United
01
L
23/08/2026
Club Brugge KVCercle Brugge
10
L
14/08/2026
Cercle BruggeSt. Truiden
33
D
08/08/2026
Standard LiegeCercle Brugge
22
D
31/07/2026
MonacoCercle Brugge
22
D
25/07/2026
ReimsCercle Brugge
30
L
18/07/2026
PEC ZwolleCercle Brugge
32
L
11/07/2026
Cercle BruggeLommel United
11
D

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1192030:7+2329WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1191127:9+1828DWWWW
3GentGent1191120:6+1428WLWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi1190226:13+1327WWLWW
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1162314:12+220DWLWW
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1144315:13+216DWDWD
7GenkGenk1143418:15+315LLWWL
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1143418:16+215WDLLL
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1142526:30-414LLDWW
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1133512:17-512WWDDW
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1133513:20-712LWWWD
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1132622:22011WLLLL
13AntwerpAntwerp1132618:24-611DLWLL
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1132613:20-711LLLLL
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1131713:23-1010LLDLL
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1123614:22-89WWLLL
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1121813:24-117LLWLL
18KortrijkKortrijk111194:23-194LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1130:729
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1127:928
3GentGent1120:628
4CharleroiCharleroi1126:1327
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1114:1220
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1115:1316
7GenkGenk1118:1515
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1118:1615
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1126:3014
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1112:1712
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1113:2012
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1122:2211
13AntwerpAntwerp1118:2411
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1113:2011
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1113:2310
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1114:229
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1113:247
18KortrijkKortrijk114:234
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About the Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Charleroi and Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League table

The table shows a wide gap: Charleroi are 4th in the Jupiler Pro League, while Cercle Brugge sit 16th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Charleroi 26-13, Cercle Brugge 14-22. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cercle Brugge have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.