Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction

Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi· Nicolas Laforge, Belgium 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.90
SignalGOODModel41%RiskHighGap+9.4%
Charleroi Rest
6 days
Union St. Gilloise Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.25
X
26%3.40
2
50%2.16
Double Chance
1X
50%1.66
X2
76%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.70
No
42%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.53 = 2.80
Over 1.5
82%1.28
Over 2.5
58%1.90
Over 3.5
33%3.25
Under 1.5
18%3.50
Under 2.5
42%1.89
Under 3.5
67%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'Ondrej KricfalusiFoul
9'Mardochée NzitaFoul
12'Mohamed KonéOG
27'Freddy MbembaAssist: Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
41'Patrick PflückeAssist: Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
44'Adem Zorgane
45+2'Louis PatrisFoul
49'Kamiel Van De PerreAssist: Besfort Zeneli
64'Freddy Mbemba INAntoine Colassin out
64'Amine Boukamir INTriston Rowe out
72'Raul Florucz INDarius Olaru out
72'Louis Patris INDenzel De Roeve out
72'Patrick Pflücke INAdama Bojang out
80'Mateo Biondic INIlan Hurtevent out
80'Besfort Zeneli INNikki Havenaar out
84'Adem Zorgane INRob Schoofs out
86'Mardochée Nzita INGaku Nawata out

Lineups

Charleroi
4-2-3-1Coach: Mario Kohnen
Union St. Gilloise
3-4-1-2Coach: David Hubert
M. Kone30M. KoneM. Kone
K. Van Den Kerkhof3K. Van Den KerkhofK. Van Den Kerkhof
A. Ousou4A. OusouA. Ousou
C. Keita95C. KeitaC. Keita
M. Nzita24M. NzitaM. Nzita
A. Boukamir6A. BoukamirA. Boukamir
Y. Khalifi18Y. KhalifiY. Khalifi
P. Pflucke14P. PfluckeP. Pflucke
J. Romsaas8J. RomsaasJ. Romsaas
F. Mbemba20F. MbembaF. Mbemba
A. Scheidler21A. ScheidlerA. Scheidler
H. Koffi12H. KoffiH. Koffi
K. Mac Allister5K. Mac AllisterK. Mac Allister
M. Sylla29M. SyllaM. Sylla
O. Kricfalusi80O. KricfalusiO. Kricfalusi
L. Patris27L. PatrisL. Patris
K. Van De Perre6K. Van De PerreK. Van De Perre
A. Zorgane8A. ZorganeA. Zorgane
Guilherme Smith11G. SmithGuilherme Smith
B. Zeneli23B. ZeneliB. Zeneli
R. Florucz30R. FloruczR. Florucz
M. Biondic9M. BiondicM. Biondic

Charleroi Substitutes

1M. Delavallee
2T. RoweD
44M. SowD
33N. SolheidD
51M. KeraM
19I. CisseM
25A. ColassinF
13G. NawataM
9A. BojangF

Union St. Gilloise Substitutes

1V. ChambaereG
55N. HavenaarD
21D. De RoeveD
17R. SchoofsM
28D. OlaruM
14I. PavlicM
20D. AquinoF
25I. Hurtevent
38R. MofokengF

Match Stats

CharleroiUnion St. Gilloise
60%Ball Possession40%
5Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal3
16Shots Inside Box12
4Shots Outside Box5
8Blocked Shots7
12Fouls17
1Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves3
475Total Passes334
391Passes Accurate254
16Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

CharleroiCharleroi
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
1734Elo Rating 1907
2.21Attack 3.46
1.71Defense 2.61
81%Hit Rate 100%
15.2Shots per Game 19.5
5.1Shots on Target 9.4
3.6Corners per Game 3.7
1.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend77% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CharleroiCharleroi
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Charleroi 0%Draw 42%58% Union St. Gilloise
2.82Avg Goals
77%BTTS Rate
58%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Nicolas Laforge, Belgium · 12 matches analysed

4.1Avg Yellows
4.2Avg Cards
23.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 35% of referees analysed

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise761021:3+1819WWWWW
2GentGent761013:4+919WDWWW
3Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV760115:3+1218WWWLW
4CharleroiCharleroi760115:7+818WWLWW
5AnderlechtAnderlecht74127:5+213WWDWL
6Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem732210:7+311LLWDW
7Standard LiegeStandard Liege732213:12+111LLWWW
8KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo731315:16-110WWWDL
9SK BeverenSK Beveren73047:11-49LWWLL
10GenkGenk723213:12+19LDDWD
11St. TruidenSt. Truiden722312:1208LLWLW
12Lommel UnitedLommel United72236:8-28DLLWW
13AntwerpAntwerp721411:15-47LLLLD
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière71157:14-74LWLDL
15OH LeuvenOH Leuven71155:13-84WDLLL
16KortrijkKortrijk71062:15-133WLLLL
17Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge70348:14-63LDLLL
18KV MechelenKV Mechelen70345:14-93DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise721:319
2GentGent713:419
3Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV715:318
4CharleroiCharleroi715:718
5AnderlechtAnderlecht77:513
6Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem710:711
7Standard LiegeStandard Liege713:1211
8KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo715:1610
9SK BeverenSK Beveren77:119
10GenkGenk713:129
11St. TruidenSt. Truiden712:128
12Lommel UnitedLommel United76:88
13AntwerpAntwerp711:157
14RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière77:144
15OH LeuvenOH Leuven75:134
16KortrijkKortrijk72:153
17Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge78:143
18KV MechelenKV Mechelen75:143
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Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Jupiler Pro League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Jupiler Pro League

ScorePredicts covers Belgium football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Charleroi have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Union St. Gilloise have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Charleroi and Union St. Gilloise have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.82 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.