Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction
Belgium · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise: the result in context
Union St. Gilloise beat Charleroi 3-2 in the Jupiler Pro League on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Union St. Gilloise have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Referee Nicolas Laforge averages 4.89 cards a game, 0.76 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Charleroi
Avg ratingAvg rating
30M. Kone
3K. Van Den Kerkhof
4A. Ousou
95C. Keita
24M. Nzita
6A. Boukamir
18Y. Khalifi
14P. Pflucke
8J. Romsaas
20F. Mbemba
21A. Scheidler
12H. Koffi
5K. Mac Allister
29M. Sylla
80O. Kricfalusi
27L. Patris
6K. Van De Perre
8A. Zorgane
11G. Smith
23B. Zeneli
30R. Florucz
9M. BiondicCharleroi Substitutes
Union St. Gilloise Substitutes
Match Stats
CharleroiUnion St. Gilloise Team Comparison
CharleroiUnion St. GilloiseAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Charleroi- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Union St. Gilloise- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Charleroi0Wins · 0%8Wins · 80%Previous meetings
11/02/2026Union St. GilloiseCharleroi04/02/2026CharleroiUnion St. Gilloise
14/12/2025CharleroiUnion St. Gilloise18/10/2025Union St. GilloiseCharleroi11/01/2025CharleroiUnion St. Gilloise16/08/2024Union St. GilloiseCharleroi10/12/2023CharleroiUnion St. Gilloise01/10/2023Union St. GilloiseCharleroi28/01/2023CharleroiUnion St. Gilloise29/07/2022Union St. GilloiseCharleroiRecent Form
Charleroi
KortrijkCharleroiCharleroi
KV Mechelen
Lommel UnitedCharleroiCharleroi
OH LeuvenCharleroi
Rayo VallecanoCharleroi
Seraing United
LensCharleroi
FeyenoordCharleroiCharleroi
Reims
Standard LiegeCharleroiUnion St. Gilloise
St. TruidenUnion St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
AnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
Zulte Waregem
Bodo/GlimtUnion St. Gilloise
KVC WesterloUnion St. GilloiseUnion St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
Club Brugge KVUnion St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
Patro Eisden
PSV EindhovenUnion St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
AarhusReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.89 cards a match, 0.76 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.13).
Cards come from 151 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union St. Gilloise | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30:7 | +23 | 29 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27:9 | +18 | 28 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Gent | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20:6 | +14 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Charleroi | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26:13 | +13 | 27 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Lommel United | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 16 | DWDWD |
| 7 |  Genk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 15 | LLWWL |
| 8 | Standard Liege | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 15 | WDLLL |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26:30 | -4 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 10 | OH Leuven | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 | WWDDW |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 12 | LWWWD |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22:22 | 0 | 11 | WLLLL |
| 13 |  Antwerp | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 11 | DLWLL |
| 14 | Zulte Waregem | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  SK Beveren | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 10 | LLDLL |
| 16 |  Cercle Brugge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 9 | WWLLL |
| 17 |  RAAL La Louvière | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 7 | LLWLL |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4:23 | -19 | 4 | LLDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union St. Gilloise | 11 | 30:7 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 27:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Gent | 11 | 20:6 | 28 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 11 | 26:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 11 | 14:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Lommel United | 11 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 11 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 8 | Standard Liege | 11 | 18:16 | 15 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 11 | 26:30 | 14 |
| 10 | OH Leuven | 11 | 12:17 | 12 |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 13:20 | 12 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 11 | 22:22 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 11 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 14 | Zulte Waregem | 11 | 13:20 | 11 |
| 15 | SK Beveren | 11 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cercle Brugge | 11 | 14:22 | 9 |
| 17 | RAAL La Louvière | 11 | 13:24 | 7 |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 11 | 4:23 | 4 |
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About the Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise forecast
The forecasts for this Jupiler Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Charleroi and Union St. Gilloise in the Jupiler Pro League table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Union St. Gilloise are 1st in the Jupiler Pro League, 2 points ahead of Charleroi in 4th. League goal record so far: Charleroi 26-13, Union St. Gilloise 30-7. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.