Concepción vs U. Catolica Prediction

Concepción
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
U. Catolica
Estadio Ester Roa, Concepción· D. Flores 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel38%RiskHighGap+4.8%
Concepción Rest
6 days
U. Catolica Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.35
X
27%3.48
2
49%2.00
Double Chance
1X
51%1.73
X2
76%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.70
No
47%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.25 = 2.34
Over 1.5
72%1.25
Over 2.5
48%1.83
Over 3.5
26%3.10
Under 1.5
28%3.60
Under 2.5
52%1.92
Under 3.5
74%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'B. CerezoFoul
10'J. Montecinos
26'Y. RodriguezUnsportsmanlike conduct
30'J. ValenciaFoul
32'J. LarriveyAssist: J. Montecinos
42'D. GarneroUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'C. Cuevas INM. Palavecino out
55'F. GrilloDelay of game
66'B. AmpueroFoul
67'J. Montecinos INF. Romero out
69'N. RodriguezAssist: J. Henriquez
69'D. Corral INM. Gomez out
69'J. Giani INJ. Rossel out
69'Y. Rodriguez INF. Martinez out
79'J. Henriquez INC. Riquelme out
79'J. Larrivey IND. Acosta out
85'E. Espinoza INM. Cavalleri out
85'B. Cerezo INA. Farias out
85'J. Valencia INI. Perez out
87'Goal Disallowed - offsideF. Romero
90+3'J. DiazHandling

Lineups

Concepción
4-2-3-1Coach: Patricio Almendra
U. Catolica
4-2-3-1Coach: Daniel Garnero
Nicolás Araya25N. ArayaNicolás Araya
Ariel Cáceres4A. CáceresAriel Cáceres
Norman Rodríguez21N. RodríguezNorman Rodríguez
Fausto Grillo37F. GrilloFausto Grillo
Dilan Varas29D. VarasDilan Varas
Yonathan Rodríguez18Y. RodríguezYonathan Rodríguez
Mario Sandoval16M. SandovalMario Sandoval
Joaquín Montecinos15J. MontecinosJoaquín Montecinos
Jorge Henríquez20J. HenríquezJorge Henríquez
Ethan Espinoza30E. EspinozaEthan Espinoza
Joaquín Larrivey32J. LarriveyJoaquín Larrivey
Darío Melo27D. MeloDarío Melo
Bernardo Cerezo28B. CerezoBernardo Cerezo
Branco Ampuero19B. AmpueroBranco Ampuero
Juan Ignacio Díaz26J. Ignacio DíazJuan Ignacio Díaz
Eugenio Mena3E. MenaEugenio Mena
Fernando Zuqui8F. ZuquiFernando Zuqui
Jhojan Valencia20J. ValenciaJhojan Valencia
Diego Corral25D. CorralDiego Corral
Cristián Cuevas15C. CuevasCristián Cuevas
Justo Giani7J. GianiJusto Giani
Fernando Zampedri9F. ZampedriFernando Zampedri

Concepción Substitutes

7Fernando RomeroF
8Fernando MartinezM
23Cristian RiquelmeD
27Diego AcostaF
24Matías CavalleriF
12Nery VelosoG
3Diego CarrascoD
19Aldrix JaraF
9Carlos EscobarF

U. Catolica Substitutes

10Matías PalavecinoM
22Martín GómezM
18Juan Francisco RosselF
4Ignacio PérezD
5Agustín FaríasM
12Francisco ValdésG
39Nicolás L'HuillerD
14Jimmy MartínezM
13Alfred CanalesM

Match Stats

ConcepciónU. Catolica
37%Ball Possession63%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards4
10Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal7
5Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots4
10Fouls13
2Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves0
279Total Passes474
202Passes Accurate378
72%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

ConcepciónConcepción
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
1627Elo Rating 1711
0.91Attack 2.09
2.34Defense 1.62
34%Hit Rate 86%
14.6Shots per Game 10.9
3.7Shots on Target 3.7
4.5Corners per Game 4.6
2.3Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ConcepciónConcepción
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Concepción 0%Draw 0%100% U. Catolica
2Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

ConcepciónConcepción
4W0D1L
27/07/2026
ConcepciónO'Higgins
20
W
12/07/2026
ConcepciónD. Puerto Montt
20
W
07/07/2026
ConcepciónDeportes Temuco
20
W
03/07/2026
HuachipatoConcepción
12
W
29/06/2026
D. Puerto MonttConcepción
20
L
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
3W1D1L
26/07/2026
U. CatolicaD. La Serena
33
D
11/07/2026
San LuisU. Catolica
40
L
05/07/2026
U. CatolicaDeportes Copiapo
21
W
01/07/2026
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
21
W
28/06/2026
U. CatolicaSan Luis
42
W

Referee Profile

D. Flores · 30 matches analysed

5.8Avg Yellows
6.4Avg Cards
22.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 99% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

Concepción vs U. Catolica Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

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Key Factors for This Match

Concepción have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. U. Catolica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Concepción and U. Catolica have met 1 times recently, averaging 2 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.