Concepción vs U. Catolica Prediction

Concepción
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
U. Catolica
Estadio Ester Roa, Concepción·D. Flores 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.33
SignalHIGHModel38%SurpriseHighGap+4.8%
Concepción Rest
6 days
U. Catolica Rest
7 days

Concepción vs U. Catolica: the result in context

Concepción beat U. Catolica 3-0 in the Primera División on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee D. Flores averages 6.64 cards a game, 0.82 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.35
X
27%3.48
2
49%2.00
Double Chance
1X
51%1.73
X2
76%1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.70
No
47%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.25 = 2.34
Over 1.5
72%1.25
Over 2.5
48%1.83
Over 3.5
26%3.10
Under 1.5
28%3.60
Under 2.5
52%1.92
Under 3.5
74%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'B. CerezoFoul
10'J. Montecinos
26'Y. RodriguezUnsportsmanlike conduct
30'J. ValenciaFoul
32'J. LarriveyAssist: J. Montecinos
42'D. GarneroUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'C. Cuevas INM. Palavecino out
55'F. GrilloDelay of game
66'B. AmpueroFoul
67'J. Montecinos INF. Romero out
69'N. RodriguezAssist: J. Henriquez
69'D. Corral INM. Gomez out
69'J. Giani INJ. Rossel out
69'Y. Rodriguez INF. Martinez out
79'J. Henriquez INC. Riquelme out
79'J. Larrivey IND. Acosta out
85'E. Espinoza INM. Cavalleri out
85'B. Cerezo INA. Farias out
85'J. Valencia INI. Perez out
87'Goal Disallowed - offsideF. Romero
90+3'J. DiazHandling

Lineups

Concepción
4-2-3-1Coach: Patricio Almendra
U. Catolica
4-2-3-1Coach: Daniel Garnero
Avg rating7.17
Avg rating6.39
Nicolás Araya8.225N. Araya
Ariel Cáceres7.34A. Cáceres
Norman Rodríguez8.721N. Rodríguez
Fausto Grillo7.337F. Grillo
Dilan Varas6.929D. Varas
Yonathan Rodríguez6.518Y. Rodríguez
Mario Sandoval7.316M. Sandoval
Joaquín Montecinos8.015J. Montecinos
Jorge Henríquez7.220J. Henríquez
Ethan Espinoza7.330E. Espinoza
Joaquín LarriveyC7.332J. Larrivey
Darío Melo5.727D. Melo
Bernardo Cerezo6.028B. Cerezo
Branco Ampuero5.919B. Ampuero
Juan Ignacio Díaz5.926J. Ignacio Díaz
Eugenio Mena6.23E. Mena
Fernando Zuqui7.08F. Zuqui
Jhojan Valencia6.520J. Valencia
Diego Corral6.725D. Corral
Cristián Cuevas6.215C. Cuevas
Justo Giani6.57J. Giani
Fernando ZampedriC6.59F. Zampedri

Concepción Substitutes

7Fernando Romero67'for J. Montecinos6.2
8Fernando Martinez69'for Y. Rodriguez6.6
23Cristian Riquelme79'for J. Henriquez6.7
27Diego Acosta79'for J. Larrivey6.9
24Matías Cavalleri85'replaced by E. Espinoza6.3
12Nery Veloso
3Diego Carrasco
19Aldrix Jara
9Carlos Escobar

U. Catolica Substitutes

10Matías Palavecino46'for C. Cuevas6.5
22Martín Gómez69'for D. Corral6.3
18Juan Francisco Rossel69'for J. Giani6.9
4Ignacio Pérez85'for J. Valencia6.9
5Agustín Farías85'for B. Cerezo6.5
12Francisco Valdés
39Nicolás L'Huiller
14Jimmy Martínez
13Alfred Canales

Match Stats

ConcepciónU. Catolica
37%Ball Possession63%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards4
10Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal7
5Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots4
10Fouls13
2Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves0
279Total Passes474
202Passes Accurate378
72%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

ConcepciónConcepción
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
1593Elo Rating 1677
0.69Attack 0.83
1.65Defense 2.05
27%Hit Rate 27%
8.5Shots per Game 11.2
2.8Shots on Target 2.9
3.3Corners per Game 3.6
2.6Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ConcepciónConcepción
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

ConcepciónConcepción0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
U. CatolicaU. Catolica1Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Primera División09/02/2026
U. CatolicaConcepción
20

Recent Form

ConcepciónConcepción
6W1D3L
27/07/2026
ConcepciónO'Higgins
20
W
12/07/2026
ConcepciónD. Puerto Montt
20
W
07/07/2026
ConcepciónDeportes Temuco
20
W
03/07/2026
HuachipatoConcepción
12
W
29/06/2026
D. Puerto MonttConcepción
20
L
25/06/2026
ConcepciónHuachipato
32
W
21/06/2026
Deportes TemucoConcepción
11
D
14/06/2026
ConcepciónDeportes Limache
32
W
06/06/2026
ConcepciónCoquimbo Unido
12
L
30/05/2026
Universidad de ChileConcepción
21
L
U. CatolicaU. Catolica
8W1D1L
26/07/2026
U. CatolicaD. La Serena
33
D
11/07/2026
San LuisU. Catolica
40
L
05/07/2026
U. CatolicaDeportes Copiapo
21
W
01/07/2026
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
21
W
28/06/2026
U. CatolicaSan Luis
42
W
24/06/2026
Everton de VinaU. Catolica
13
W
20/06/2026
Deportes CopiapoU. Catolica
03
W
14/06/2026
U. CatolicaUniversidad de Concepcion
51
W
07/06/2026
U. CatolicaCobresal
51
W
31/05/2026
HuachipatoU. Catolica
03
W

Referee Profile

D. Flores135 matches

6.64Cards per match
6.05Yellow cards per match
0.59Red cards per match
21.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. Flores6.64
Other referees5.82

6.64 cards a match, 0.82 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.82).

Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the Concepción vs U. Catolica forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Concepción and U. Catolica in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, U. Catolica are 3rd and Concepción 8th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Concepción 30-30, U. Catolica 56-37. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Concepción and U. Catolica have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.