Concepción vs Universidad de Concepcion Prediction

Municipal de Collao, Concepción·Fernando Andre Vejar Diaz, Chile 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-0.3%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.56
SignalGOODModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+12.1%
Concepción Rest
7 days
Universidad de Concepcion Rest
4 days

Concepción vs Universidad de Concepcion: result, form and history

Concepción beat Universidad de Concepcion 1-0 in the Primera División on 9 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Concepción had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Universidad de Concepcion.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 4 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them. Universidad de Concepcion tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 3.3 for Concepción.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.91
X
23%3.30
2
18%3.85
Double Chance
1X
82%1.22
X2
41%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
73%1.84
No
27%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 1.22 = 3.06
Over 1.5
87%1.33
Over 2.5
66%2.05
Over 3.5
45%3.60
Under 1.5
13%3.20
Under 2.5
34%1.72
Under 3.5
55%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 3.9 = 8.9
Over 8.5
53%1.47
Over 9.5
38%1.77
Over 10.5
29%2.23
Under 8.5
47%2.50
Under 9.5
62%1.92
Under 10.5
71%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.7 = 5
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

45+4'Y. A. Oyanedel HernandezFoul
45+5'J. Larrivey(Penalty)
53'A. CaceresFoul
63'J. FuentealbaFoul
65'J. LarriveyDelay of game
65'J. Montecinos INF. Romero out
66'J. LarriveyUnsportsmanlike conduct
66'J. LarriveyUnsportsmanlike conduct
67'H. Salgado INI. Gonzalez out
69'O. GonzalezFoul
74'J. HenriquezFoul
75'J. Henriquez INC. Riquelme out
80'F. Mater INC. Mesias out
80'J. Fuentealba INP. Parra out
80'C. MesiasFoul
90'E. Espinoza INM. Cavalleri out
90'M. Sandoval INF. Martinez out
90'B. Ogaz INA. Diaz out
90+7'J. EspejoUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Concepción
4-2-3-1Coach: Patricio Almendra
Universidad de Concepcion
4-1-4-1Coach: Cristhian Duarte
Avg rating6.85
Avg rating6.62
Nicolás Araya7.325N. Araya
Ariel Cáceres6.74A. Cáceres
Norman Rodríguez7.221N. Rodríguez
Fausto Grillo6.937F. Grillo
Dilan Varas6.729D. Varas
Yonathan Rodríguez7.218Y. Rodríguez
Mario Sandoval7.216M. Sandoval
Joaquín Montecinos7.215J. Montecinos
Jorge Henríquez7.020J. Henríquez
Ethan Espinoza6.030E. Espinoza
Joaquín LarriveyC6.532J. Larrivey
Jorge Broun7.01J. Broun
Jorge Espejo7.021J. Espejo
Osvaldo GonzálezC6.64O. González
Bastián Ubal6.96B. Ubal
Yerco Oyanedel6.215Y. Oyanedel
Bryan Ogaz7.316B. Ogaz
Luis Rojas6.320L. Rojas
Facundo Mater7.08F. Mater
Jeison Fuentealba6.310J. Fuentealba
Harol Salgado6.325H. Salgado
Cecilio Waterman6.318C. Waterman

Concepción Substitutes

12Nery Veloso
23Cristian Riquelme75'for J. Henriquez6.3
8Fernando Martinez90'for M. Sandoval
24Matías Cavalleri90'replaced by E. Espinoza
22Misael Dávila
19Aldrix Jara
27Diego Acosta
7Fernando Romero65'for J. Montecinos6.9
9Carlos Escobar

Universidad de Concepcion Substitutes

13José Sanhueza
11Antonio Díaz90'for B. Ogaz
5David Retamal
3Miguel Barbieri
23Patricio Romero
14Pablo Parra80'for J. Fuentealba6.3
19Cristhofer Mesías80'for F. Mater80'6.7
7Iam González67'replaced by H. Salgado6.5
36Martin Suazo

Match Stats

ConcepciónUniversidad de Concepcion
39%Ball Possession61%
4Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards5
1Red Cards0
9Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
13Fouls14
4Goalkeeper Saves1
283Total Passes462
210Passes Accurate383
74%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

ConcepciónConcepción
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
1593Elo Rating 1372
0.69Attack 0.61
1.65Defense 0.35
27%Hit Rate 0%
8.5Shots per Game 14.3
2.8Shots on Target 2.9
3.3Corners per Game 5.7
2.6Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+221 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ConcepciónConcepción
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

ConcepciónConcepción2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Primera División15/02/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionConcepción
21
Primera B24/08/2025
ConcepciónUniversidad de Concepcion
14
Primera B20/04/2025
Universidad de ConcepcionConcepción
12
Copa Chile16/06/2021
ConcepciónUniversidad de Concepcion
10

Recent Form

ConcepciónConcepción
7W1D2L
02/08/2026
ConcepciónU. Catolica
30
W
27/07/2026
ConcepciónO'Higgins
20
W
12/07/2026
ConcepciónD. Puerto Montt
20
W
07/07/2026
ConcepciónDeportes Temuco
20
W
03/07/2026
HuachipatoConcepción
12
W
29/06/2026
D. Puerto MonttConcepción
20
L
25/06/2026
ConcepciónHuachipato
32
W
21/06/2026
Deportes TemucoConcepción
11
D
14/06/2026
ConcepciónDeportes Limache
32
W
06/06/2026
ConcepciónCoquimbo Unido
12
L
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
1W2D7L
05/08/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionCurico Unido
13
L
01/08/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionA. Italiano
01
L
05/07/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionRangers de Talca
20
W
01/07/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionNublense
01
L
28/06/2026
Curico UnidoUniversidad de Concepcion
22
D
26/06/2026
NublenseUniversidad de Concepcion
42
L
21/06/2026
Rangers de TalcaUniversidad de Concepcion
21
L
14/06/2026
U. CatolicaUniversidad de Concepcion
51
L
07/06/2026
NublenseUniversidad de Concepcion
21
L
30/05/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionUnion La Calera
00
D

Referee Profile

Fernando Andre Vejar Diaz136 matches

5.95Cards per match
5.35Yellow cards per match
0.60Red cards per match
22.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fernando Andre Vejar Diaz5.95
Other referees5.49

5.95 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.49).

Cards come from 92 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the Concepción vs Universidad de Concepcion forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Concepción and Universidad de Concepcion in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Concepción are 8th and Universidad de Concepcion 15th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Concepción 30-30, Universidad de Concepcion 22-49. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.